U.S.-Asia

Condoleezza Rice

Diplomacy in Asia

U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice’s decision to attend the ASEAN Forum in Singapore this week is a welcomed acknowledgment of Asia’s status as a new global center of gravity. Doug Paal writes in the Wall Street Journal that for years U.S. diplomacy has shortchanged much of Asia, and that an effective U.S. engagement strategy should include building a regional organization that can address the full scope of issues facing the continent.
Engaging Asia:
Asia- Shaping the Future
Experts Discuss the U.S.-Asia Relationship

Islamist Movements

Fatah Supporters Protest

Redefining the Islamist Party Movement

Morocco’s leading Islamist party—the Party for Justice and Development Party (PJD)—is facing growing disillusionment among its supporters after a shift toward secular reforms did not lead to greater national political influence. Amr Hamzawy argues that the PJD is struggling to define a balance between the pragmatic demands of political participation and accusations that they are compromising religious commitments for political advancement.
Islamist Reform:
The Islamist Conundrum

Arab Diplomacy

Fatah Supporters Protest

Filling the Diplomatic Vacuum
in the Arab World

Arab countries are undertaking diplomatic initiatives that clearly contradict U.S. policy, because they no longer trust the U.S. capacity to contend with escalating regional crises. Marina Ottaway and Mohammed Herzallah assess these initiatives in The New Arab Diplomacy: Not With the U.S. and Not Against the U.S., and concluding that even Arab countries traditionally aligned with the United States are no longer willing to follow Washington’s lead on policies toward Iran, Lebanon, or Hamas.
Arab Diplomatic Initiatives:
Hope in the Levant
Regional Arab Diplomacy (Al Ahram Weekly)

China's Economy

China Shoppers

China: World’s Largest Economy by 2035

China’s economy will surpass the U.S. by 2035 and be twice its size by midcentury. Albert Keidel argues in his new report, China’s Economic Rise—Fact and Fiction, that China's rapid growth today is driven by domestic demand—not exports—and will sustain high single-digit growth rates well into this century. China’s ascendency as the preeminent world commercial influence requires U.S. leaders to reassess a broad array of economic and military policies.

India

Singh and Bush

U.S.-India Nuclear Deal

India's UPA Government on Tuesday won a confidence vote in the Lok Sabha with a comfortable margin, enabling the ruling coalition to push ahead with the Indo-US civilian nuclear deal. The agreement would lift the U.S. ban on nuclear trade with India and allow it to assist India’s civilian nuclear program. Ashley Tellis discusses the details of the deal on NPR’s Morning Edition and notes that it is unlikely to make India a closer U.S. ally.

More Analysis

Next January, the new U.S. President will be confronted with the longest list of severe challenges any president has faced in decades. Prioritizing among them will be even more important than usual. In its new series, "Foreign Policy for the Next President", the Carnegie Endowment’s experts endeavor to do just that. They separate good ideas from dead ends and go beyond widely agreed goals to describe how to achieve them.

In this series... More on this series ►
Fatah Supporters Protest Resolving Palestinian Election Dispute
A presidential election in Palestine will not take place until both Fatah and Hamas reach consensus—and Israel permits it—resulting in a political deadlock with no clear path toward reconciliation. Nathan Brown offers an analysis of Palestinian law and the core disagreements between the Palestinian factions that cast new doubt on President Mahmud Abbas’s political future.

Israel-Palestine Conflict:
Sunset for the Two-State Solution?
Road Out of Gaza
The New Middle East
Dimitry Medvedev Medvedev’s Foreign Policy
Dmitry Medvedev’s decision to veto a recent UN Security Council resolution for sanctions against Zimbabwe was a clear signal that he will not deviate from Vladimir Putin’s foreign policy. Dmitri Trenin explains that like Putin, Medvedev seeks to pit U.S. economic and military power against the authority of existing international law. Moscow’s ultimate objective is to “replace U.S. hegemony with an oligarchy of the new global powers.”

Russia’s Global Posture:
Is Russia's foreign policy a tool for modernization?
Does Medvedev Make a Difference?
Eiffel Tower The European Union at the Start of the French Presidency
France assumed the presidency of the European Union earlier this month as Europe tries to move forward after Ireland’s rejection of the Lisbon Treaty. To better understand where the EU is today and French leadership objectives, the Carnegie Endowment hosted French Ambassador to the United States Pierre Vimont for an in-depth discussion on the future of the EU.

Europe in the World:
France's Leadership Moment
The End of the End of History
Europe and the U.S.

Commentary

Javier Solana US Joins EU-Iran Talks
Undersecretary of State William Burns met with EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana and Iran’s nuclear envoy, Saeed Jalili, in Geneva last weekend—a move which could open the door to dialogue between the US and Iran on the nuclear issue. On NPR’s Weekend Edition, George Perkovich argued that the administration’s policy of threatening Iran with military force is not an effective strategy for moving it toward greater nuclear transparency.

Inside Iran:
Iran's Failed Leadership
Iran's Missle Tests
EU-US Posture Toward Iran
Iran Sanctions
Taiwan Military Parade Supporting Taiwan
Despite President Bush’s 2001 commitment to supply Taiwan with F-16's for its self defense, the administration froze the final part of the arms deal last week. Ashley Tellis argues in the Wall Street Journal that Washington’s concern over offending Beijing is misplaced: the deal should move forward, not only to support a democratic ally whose leader is committed to improving cross-straits relations, but also as a pragmatic step toward balancing China’s military build-up. 

U.S.-Taiwan Relations:
Assessing U.S.-Taiwan Policy
The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security

Lebanon Lebanon’s New Status Quo
The formal formation of Lebanon's national unity government is a milestone for the political agreement reached in Doha in May between Hezbollah and Lebanon’s U.S.-backed government. But Paul Salem cautions that although the Doha agreement might allow a number of months—or years—of relative calm, Lebanon is unlikely to know real stability until it is able to integrate or dominate non-state militias.

Middle East Political Movements
Lebanon’s Sunni Islamists

U.S. Troop in Iraq Achieving Long-Term Stability in Iraq
President Bush and Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki's agreement to pursue further U.S. troop withdrawals may lead to finalization of a long-term bilateral security arrangement. Iraqi legislators argued at a recent Carnegie briefing that negotiations on the agreement should only occur after national reconciliation between Iraq's political parties.
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