Forecasting the future is a notoriously difficult but necessary part of policymaking. Using our conference app, this session will harness both expert judgement and the wisdom of crowds to gather opinions in real time about the global nuclear future. Topics will likely include the fate of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action and the future of the putative nuclear ban treaty. The results of a similar forecasting exercise at the 2015 conference will also be revealed.
James M. Acton, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Angela Kane, Vienna Center for Disarmament and Nonproliferation
Laura Kennedy, World Affairs Council
Bruno Tertrais, Foundation for Strategic Research
Ramesh Thakur, Center for Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament, Australian National University