Since 2011, nearly half of Syria’s prewar population has been displaced inside and outside the country. Given the scale of displacement, destruction, and territorial fragmentation refugee return will require concerted focus on several key areas.
Despite political progress, socioeconomic frustration is rising, while confidence in institutions is declining. Tunisians are no longer clear about the benefits of democracy, but they are certain that they do not want to go back to the way things were.
It is unrealistic to expect all NATO allies to spend 2 percent of GDP on defense. Yet the metric persists—and it has assumed a significance beyond its face value.
Oil is changing. Conventional oil resources are dwindling as tight oil, oil sands, heavy oils, and others emerge.
The EU’s perspective and action are clearly global in nature. However, the scope of the union’s international ambitions remains uncertain.
Unless the Congress is able to arrest its hasty decline, the party could be writing itself into electoral irrelevance.
Technological advances are driving the development of unconventional oils further and faster than ever before.
In coming years, Indonesia is likely to witness a gradual ascent in the powers and effectiveness of the Indonesian president relative to that of the legislature.
China’s economy is in for a bumpy ride. But if Chinese leaders implement the right macroeconomic policies and structural reforms, the challenges should be manageable.
Egypt is far more violent and unstable than it has been in decades. With government repression driving a cycle of political violence, a different approach is needed.