Asia

The Carnegie Asia Program in Beijing and Washington provides clear and precise analysis to policy makers on the complex economic, security, and political developments in the Asia-Pacific region.

The Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy is a joint U.S.–China research center based at Tsinghua University in Beijing, China. The Center brings together senior scholars and experts from the United States and China for collaborative research on common global challenges that face the United States and China.
 
In the spotlight
 

How Will Indonesia’s Next President Bend the Arc of History?

In the upcoming elections, Indonesians will not merely be choosing between two very different leaders. They will be choosing between two very different futures.

Arresting China's Slowdown: The Search for Sustainable Growth

Expanding the role of the private sector and encouraging efficient urbanization has the potential to sustain Chinese GDP growth of at least 7 percent for the remainder of the decade.

Banking on Myanmar: A Strategy for Financial Sector Reform

Myanmar’s government needs a reform strategy that supports the financial sector’s rapid development while ensuring its stability, efficiency, and accessibility.

The Four Stages of Chinese Growth

The past two decades of Chinese growth have disproportionately benefited a small elite that has become increasingly entrenched; the next stage must focus on liberal reforms to build social capital more broadly.

Thailand is Broken: Can the Military Come to the Rescue?

The recent military coup could provide an opportunity to break Thailand’s political impasse if the Thai military rises above partisan politics and acts in the genuine interest of the country’s political development.

The Debt Surge Will Not Ruin China

China will see a rise in banks’ nonperforming loans and increasingly frequent defaults in the bond and shadow banking markets. This process will be very messy but is unlikely to derail the economy.

 
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    Russia Doesn’t Care About Relationships
    Yukon Huang September 5, 2014 CNBC

    When countries export raw materials, as Russia does, they do not need to worry about their relationships with other countries because their products are easily marketable everywhere.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    China and the U.S.-Japan Alliance
    Michael Swaine July 11, 2014 Diplomat

    With Japan’s recent embrace of collective self-defense, the U.S.-Japan alliance is once again in the spotlight.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    Pivot Off-Balance?
    Douglas H. Paal July 10, 2014 RT’s Worlds Apart

    The U.S. rebalance toward East Asia is an effective strategy to unite diplomacy, economics and trade, and security in a critical and fast-growing region of the world.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    Why the United States, China Need a ‘Track Record of Success’
    Evan A. Feigenbaum July 8, 2014 CNBC

    While China’s increasing regional assertiveness is bleeding over into U.S.-China relations, the two countries also have many opportunities for greater economic cooperation.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    Understanding Thailand’s Coup
    Vikram Nehru June 2, 2014 Diplomat

    Thailand’s coup is rooted in the clash between the rising voice of the rural poor and the established power of the Bangkok elite. The resolution of this clash will determine the character of Thai democracy.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    Impact of the U.S. Pivot on the Asia Pacific Region
    Douglas H. Paal May 16, 2014 CCTV America

    The Obama administration’s pivot to Asia has not emboldened America’s regional partners, nor has U.S. reluctance to directly intervene in territorial disputes signaled waning support for U.S. allies.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    Upcoming Highlights for the NPC
    Douglas H. Paal March 10, 2014 CCTV America

    The driving motivation behind the decision by the National People’s Congress to set the growth target at 7.5 percent is their desire to guarantee full employment.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    China-Taiwan Relations Warming Up
    Douglas H. Paal February 17, 2014 Australia Network News

    The meeting between officials representing China and Taiwan is an important symbolic milestone and reflects broad progress in in improving cross-strait relations.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    Weaknesses and Strengths of U.S.-China Ties
    Douglas H. Paal January 3, 2014 CCTV America

    It will take time and hard work to dispel the mistrust which currently characterizes U.S.-China relations.

     
  • TV/Radio Broadcast
    Solving China’s Swelling Local Debt Problem
    Yukon Huang December 31, 2013 China View

    Addressing China’s local debt problem requires fiscal reforms to increase local revenues. Sustaining growth also requires expanding the role of private firms and a more efficient urbanization process.

     
  • Event
    Admiral Greenert on the Asia-Pacific Rebalance
    Douglas H. Paal, Jonathan Greenert September 8, 2014 Washington, DC

    China’s Navy is embarking on “new historic missions” that reflect China’s interest in expanding its operational reach and global influence. From cooperative piracy patrols in the Gulf of Aden, to China’s first participation in the Rim of the Pacific naval exercise, the U.S. and Chinese Navies are expanding the boundaries of their burgeoning relationship.

     
  • Event
    The UK in the Asian Century
    Douglas H. Paal, Hugo Swire July 15, 2014 Washington, DC

    The UK’s future in Asia extends far beyond China. Going beyond mutually beneficial bilateral relations, the UK is focused on reinforcing a multi-faceted approach encompassing business, security, and values.

     
  • Event
    Economic Prospects in Post-Election Indonesia
    James Castle, Vikram Nehru June 23, 2014 Washington, DC

    On July 9 Indonesians will go to the polls to elect their next president for a five-year term, after a decade of steady—albeit recently slowing—growth.

     
  • Event
    The Challenge of Political Legitimacy in Southeast Asia
    Muthiah Alagappa, Vikram Nehru June 18, 2014 Washington, DC

    In Southeast Asia, political dynamics appear to be outrunning political institutional frameworks. Although Thailand is the obvious case, political systems in other Southeast Asian countries, such as Malaysia and Singapore, are also under strain.

     
  • Event
    Separating Substance From Style in Japan’s Southeast Asia Diplomacy
    James L. Schoff, Kei Koga, Brian Harding June 5, 2014 Washington, DC

    Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is placing a high priority on his country’s diplomacy in Southeast Asia, and policy coordination in the region is now firmly on the U.S.-Japan alliance agenda following last month’s Obama-Abe summit.

     
  • Event
    President Habibie on Indonesian Democracy
    Jessica Tuchman Mathews, B.J. Habibie June 4, 2014 Washington, DC

    Former President B.J. Habibie led Indonesia’s democratization process beginning in 1998, making bold reforms toward political openness and decentralization. Thanks in part to his efforts, Indonesia is emerging as one of Asia’s foremost democracies and rising powers.

     
  • Event
    One Year After Sunnylands: Assessing the U.S.-China Relationship

    President Obama’s recent visit to Asia underscored the importance of the U.S.-China relationship and the challenge of managing it in the context of increasing interdependence, but also tension and mistrust.

     
  • Event
    Will China’s Economy Crash?
    Yukon Huang, David Dollar, Canyon Bosler May 21, 2014 Washington, DC

    China’s growth rate continues to slide. Many observers see its surging debt and housing indicators as signaling an imminent financial crisis and the inevitability of a hard landing. How likely is this to occur, and can the new leadership engineer a more sustainable growth path?

     
  • Event
    India, China, and Russia: Prospects for Cooperation
    Stephen Blank, Yong Deng, Frederic Grare, Marlene Laruelle, Jessica Tuchman Mathews, Teresita Schaffer, Andrew Scobell, Michael Swaine, Ashley J. Tellis, Richard Weitz May 14, 2014 Washington, DC

    India, China, and Russia are all set to play a major role on the global stage throughout the rest of the twenty-first century. The relationships between the three nations are complex, however, with opportunities for cooperation in areas of convergent interests often being hamstrung by long-standing disputes and rivalries.

     
  • Event
    Where Next for Japan’s Economic Revitalization?
    Yasutoshi Nishimura, Matthew Goodman, James L. Schoff May 1, 2014 Washington, DC

    Japan is beginning to emerge from its prolonged economic stagnation following the success of Abenomics. But successful implementation of the administration’s action plan, adopted in January, is critical for sustained economic revitalization.

     

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China Insights

Carnegie Experts on Asia

  • Muthiah Alagappa
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Alagappa, a nonresident senior associate in the Asia Program, was the first holder of the Tun Hussein Onn Chair in international studies at the Institute of Strategic and International Studies in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. His research focuses primarily on Asian security, the political legitimacy of governments, civil society and political change, and the political role of the military in Asia.

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  • Evan A. Feigenbaum
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Feigenbaum’s work focuses principally on China and India, geopolitics in Asia, and the role of the United States in East, Central, and South Asia. His previous positions include deputy assistant secretary of state for South Asia, deputy assistant secretary of state for Central Asia, and member of the secretary of state’s policy planning staff with principal responsibility for East Asia and the Pacific.

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  • François Godement
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Godement, an expert on Chinese and East Asian strategic and international affairs, is a nonresident senior associate in the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

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  • Paul Haenle
    Director
    Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

    Haenle served as the director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolian Affairs on the National Security Council staffs of former president George W. Bush and President Barack Obama prior to joining Carnegie.

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  • John L. Holden
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Holden is a nonresident senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program. He also advises corporations and other organizations on their operations in China and assists Chinese companies overseas.

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  • Yukon Huang
    Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Huang is a senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program, where his research focuses on China’s economic development and its impact on Asia and the global economy.

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  • Vikram Nehru
    Senior Associate
    Asia Program
    Bakrie Chair in Southeast Asian Studies

    Nehru is a senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program. An expert on development economics, growth, poverty reduction, debt sustainability, governance, and the performance and prospects of East Asia, his research focuses on the economic, political, and strategic issues confronting Asia, particularly Southeast Asia.

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  • Douglas H. Paal
    Vice President for Studies

    Paal previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.

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  • Michael Pettis
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Pettis, an expert on China’s economy, is professor of finance at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets.

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  • James L. Schoff
    Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Schoff is a senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program. His research focuses on U.S.-Japanese relations and regional engagement, Japanese politics and security, and the private sector’s role in Japanese policymaking.

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  • Michael Swaine
    Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Swaine is a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and one of the most prominent American analysts in Chinese security studies.

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About the Program

The Carnegie Asia Program in Beijing and Washington provides clear and precise analysis to policy makers on the complex economic, security, and political developments in the Asia-Pacific region.

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