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Initial Report of U.S.-China Security Perceptions Project Released

September 18, 2012

The U.S.-China Security Perceptions Project has released its first report on U.S. public and elite attitudes. Future project reports will also include data from surveys of Chinese public and elites, and will assess the policy implications of these survey results.
Op-Ed

Taiwan and the 'Gold Standard'

Mark Hibbs July 23, 2012 Arms Control Wonk

Taiwan's resolve not to enrich or reprocess has nothing to do with the "gold standard" and nearly everything to do with U.S. leverage over Taiwan's security arrangements.
Article

Taiwan: Outlook for Cross-Strait Relations

Douglas H. Paal June 12, 2012 中文

Although cross-strait relations appear more stable than they have been in more than sixty years, that does not mean that observers should expect further big steps to improve relations between Taipei and Beijing.
Op-Ed

Don’t Blame China’s Currency for U.S. Trade Deficit

Yukon Huang April 19, 2012 Bloomberg

China's trade surplus has less to do with the value of its currency than it does with rapid urbanization and the rise of production networks across East Asia.
Op-Ed

Global Non-Proliferation and the Taiwan Dilemma

Togzhan Kassenova March 22, 2012 Global Asia

In the pursuit of nuclear security, Taiwan represents a special case for the international community because its legal status as an 'outsider' prevents it from formally participating in the many global arrangements to prevent nuclear proliferation.
Article

Taiwan: Ma Brings Sigh of Relief, but has Much to do

Douglas H. Paal January 23, 2012 中文

President Ma faces a full agenda as he prepares to launch his second four-year term on May 20, with high costs of housing and education, stagnant incomes, and changing lifestyles threatening Taiwan's economic growth.
Op-Ed

Taiwan Election has the United States and China on Edge

Douglas H. Paal January 11, 2012 Asia Pacific Brief 中文

As Taiwan's elections approach, Beijing and Washington are quietly hoping for the re-election of Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou and the maintenance of the status quo in cross-strait relations.
Article

The Potential Crisis of Asian-Pacific Stability

Yang-ming Sun December 5, 2011

Stability in cross-Strait relations is based on policies in Taipei, Beijing, and Washington, but with all three countries looking toward potential changes in leadership, the framework for peace remains fragile.
Op-Ed

China, Taiwan, U.S.: Status Quo Challenged

Michael Swaine October 11, 2011 National Interest 中文

Given that maintaining the status quo in the Taiwan Strait risks a serious confrontation with China, Washington should consider negotiating directly with Beijing, in consultation with Taipei, to move toward a more stable cross-strait relationship.
Op-Ed

A Black Hole in the Global Nonproliferation Regime: The Case of Taiwan

Togzhan Kassenova September 8, 2011 Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability

Taiwan is effectively a legal black hole in the realm of nonproliferation cooperation. The international community needs to find a way to ensure a sustainable commitment to nonproliferation by those, like Taiwan, who are outside the international system.

Book

The China–India Nuclear Crossroads

Lora Saalman September 25, 2012 Washington

Leading Chinese and Indian experts examine the political, military, and technical factors that affect Sino-Indian nuclear relations, providing a comprehensive framework through which China and India can pursue enhanced cooperation.
Policy Outlook

A Regional Approach to WMD Nonproliferation in the Asia-Pacific

Togzhan Kassenova August 14, 2012

The Asia-Pacific region epitomizes the type of proliferation challenges the international community faces.
Paper

Making the Transition: From Middle-Income to Advanced Economies

Fernando Sossdorf, Alejandro Foxley September 21, 2011

In order to for middle-income countries to successfully transition into advanced economies, their policymakers should look at the lessons learned by countries that successfully made the jump.
Report

Recovery: The Global Financial Crisis and Middle-Income Countries

Alejandro Foxley July 9, 2009

There is no single solution to the financial crisis for middle-income countries, but fundamental labor markets reforms that create high-paying jobs are key to restarting economic growth.
Book

Sino-American Crisis Management and the U.S.-Japan Alliance

Michael Swaine January 29, 2009 In The Japan-U.S. Alliance and China-Taiwan Relations

An assessment of the degree to which Washington and Beijing are willing or able to implement crisis management principles like maintaining direct channels of communication and preserving military flexibility.
Policy Outlook

Avoiding Mutual Misunderstanding: Sino-U.S. Relations and the New Administration

Meredith Wen, Tianjian Shi January 14, 2009 中文

The U.S. and China have developed good relations over the past eight years, but mutual misunderstanding persists. President Obama should recognize the importance of cultivating personal ties with Chinese leaders and visiting East Asia soon after taking office and avoid aggressive public language on hot-button issues.
Book

Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security

Evan Medeiros, Andrew Yang, Michael Swaine, Oriana Mastro July 16, 2007 Washington

Bringing together experts from the U.S. and Taiwan, Assessing the Threat provides a comprehensive look at the dangers of military escalation in the Taiwan Strait, the latest advances in capabilities of the People’s Liberation Army, and China’s security relationship with the United States and the Asia-Pacific.
Policy Outlook

Punching the U.S. Military's "Soft Ribs": China's Antisatellite Weapon Test in Strategic Perspective

Ashley J. Tellis June 19, 2007 Carnegie Endowment

In a provocative new policy brief, Ashley Tellis challenges the conventional wisdom that China’s antisatellite test (ASAT) was a protest against U.S. space policy, arguing instead that it was part of a loftier strategy to combat U.S. military superiority and one that China will not trade away in any arms-control regime.
Book

Managing Relations with the United States

Michael Swaine June 30, 2005 EastBridge

Chen Shui-Bien focused excessively on electoral politics in Taiwan, allowing them to trump a careful consideration of the long-term strategic importance of its delicate relationship with the United States.
Report

Taiwan's Management of Relations with the United States During the First Chen Shui-bian Administration

Michael Swaine May 5, 2005

This report was prepared for a conference on the first Chen Shui-bian Administration, held in Annapolis Maryland in May 2005, and sponsored by Harvard University and the School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London.

TV/Radio Broadcast

Obama Meets Xi: A Chance To Make History

Douglas H. Paal June 4, 2013 NPR’s Talk of the Nation

Presidents Barack Obama and Xi Jinping have the chance to make history when they meet for an informal meeting near Palm Springs, California. The meeting offers a rare chance to make progress on issues ranging from the economy to cybersecurity.
TV/Radio Broadcast

U.S.-China Relationship After Bush

Douglas H. Paal , Jessica Tuchman Mathews November 10, 2008 CCTV's Dialogue

The Sino-American relationship is one of the issues that looms largest as President-elect Obama prepares to assume office in less than two weeks. To asses the developments in that relationship over the last eight years, CCTV sat down with Jessica Mathews, president of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Douglas Paal, Vice President for Studies.

Event

TPP vs. RCEP: Southeast Asia’s Trade Dilemma

Sourabh Gupta, Matt Goodman, Vikram Nehru, Arvind Subramanian, Meredith Miller June 18, 2013 Washington, DC

Southeast Asian countries are involved in negotiations for two very different trade agreements: the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). How do they differ and which one is best for Southeast Asia?
Event

Economic Dimensions of U.S. Engagement with Southeast Asia

Atul Keshap, Robert Dohner, Vikram Nehru, Walter Lohman May 23, 2013 Washington, DC

At a time of fiscal stress at home and economic challenges abroad, the credibility and sustainability of America’s economic engagement with Southeast Asia will be central to its success.
Event

Asian Development Outlook 2013

Changyong Rhee, Andrew Burns, Uri Dadush April 17, 2013 Washington, DC

The Asia and the Pacific region continues to be the global growth leader even as it faces significant development challenges and downside risks.
Event

Assessing Taiwanese President Ma’s Message to America

Robert Sutter, Randall Schriver, Douglas H. Paal, Richard Bush April 16, 2013 Washington, DC

As Taiwan peacefully manages its differences with mainland China, it seeks dignity within the international system and believes it can play a positive role supporting its close unofficial relationship with the United States.
Event

A Critical Assessment of U.S. Rebalancing to Asia

Christopher Clarke, Robert Ross, Michael Swaine December 14, 2012 Washington, D.C.

The Obama administration argues that the realignment of American military might and political focus is not meant to counter a more assertive China, but to refresh relationships with allies and to maintain regional stability.
Event

Untangling Maritime Disputes in Asia

Edward Chen, Yann-huei Song, James L. Schoff, Peter Dutton December 6, 2012 Washington, D.C.

Tensions have escalated in the South and East China Seas. As events progress, what was already a complex and complicated issue over minuscule territories has drawn big power attention.
Event

The 41st Taiwan-U.S. Conference on Contemporary China

December 3, 2012 Washington, D.C.

With the U.S. presidential election and the 18th Party Congress in China now complete, American and Chinese leaders can turn their attention to larger issues.
Event

The Prospects and Challenges of Cross-Strait Relations

Raymond Burghardt, Douglas H. Paal , Michael Swaine July 13, 2012 Washington, D.C.

With the upcoming U.S. presidential election and the 18th Party Congress in China, both countries are facing an important political year. The political climate in the region is influenced by a number of factors, including both countries' relationships with Taiwan.
Event

"Rebalancing" America's Ties to Asia: An Assessment of the Obama Initiative

Dino Djalal, Vikram Nehru , Douglas H. Paal December 6, 2011 Washington, D.C.

While much attention was paid to the competitive aspects of U.S.-China relations during President Obama's recent trip to Asia, the broader consequences and outcomes of the trip are more nuanced.
Event

America's Challenge: Engaging a Rising China in the Twenty-First Century

Geoff Dyer, David Lampton, Michael Swaine November 30, 2011 Washington, D.C.

As the world's predominant political, economic, and military force, the United States faces a significant challenge in responding to China's rising power and influence, especially in Asia.

Event

TPP vs. RCEP: Southeast Asia’s Trade Dilemma

Sourabh Gupta, Matt Goodman, Vikram Nehru, Arvind Subramanian, Meredith Miller June 18, 2013 Washington, DC

Southeast Asian countries are involved in negotiations for two very different trade agreements: the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). How do they differ and which one is best for Southeast Asia?
TV/Radio Broadcast

Obama Meets Xi: A Chance To Make History

Douglas H. Paal June 4, 2013 NPR’s Talk of the Nation

Presidents Barack Obama and Xi Jinping have the chance to make history when they meet for an informal meeting near Palm Springs, California. The meeting offers a rare chance to make progress on issues ranging from the economy to cybersecurity.
Event

Economic Dimensions of U.S. Engagement with Southeast Asia

Atul Keshap, Robert Dohner, Vikram Nehru, Walter Lohman May 23, 2013 Washington, DC

At a time of fiscal stress at home and economic challenges abroad, the credibility and sustainability of America’s economic engagement with Southeast Asia will be central to its success.
Event

Asian Development Outlook 2013

Changyong Rhee, Andrew Burns, Uri Dadush April 17, 2013 Washington, DC

The Asia and the Pacific region continues to be the global growth leader even as it faces significant development challenges and downside risks.
Event

Assessing Taiwanese President Ma’s Message to America

Robert Sutter, Randall Schriver, Douglas H. Paal, Richard Bush April 16, 2013 Washington, DC

As Taiwan peacefully manages its differences with mainland China, it seeks dignity within the international system and believes it can play a positive role supporting its close unofficial relationship with the United States.
Event

A Critical Assessment of U.S. Rebalancing to Asia

Christopher Clarke, Robert Ross, Michael Swaine December 14, 2012 Washington, D.C.

The Obama administration argues that the realignment of American military might and political focus is not meant to counter a more assertive China, but to refresh relationships with allies and to maintain regional stability.
Event

Untangling Maritime Disputes in Asia

Edward Chen, Yann-huei Song, James L. Schoff, Peter Dutton December 6, 2012 Washington, D.C.

Tensions have escalated in the South and East China Seas. As events progress, what was already a complex and complicated issue over minuscule territories has drawn big power attention.
Event

The 41st Taiwan-U.S. Conference on Contemporary China

December 3, 2012 Washington, D.C.

With the U.S. presidential election and the 18th Party Congress in China now complete, American and Chinese leaders can turn their attention to larger issues.
Book

The China–India Nuclear Crossroads

Lora Saalman September 25, 2012 Washington

Leading Chinese and Indian experts examine the political, military, and technical factors that affect Sino-Indian nuclear relations, providing a comprehensive framework through which China and India can pursue enhanced cooperation.
Other Publications

Initial Report of U.S.-China Security Perceptions Project Released

September 18, 2012

The U.S.-China Security Perceptions Project has released its first report on U.S. public and elite attitudes. Future project reports will also include data from surveys of Chinese public and elites, and will assess the policy implications of these survey results.

Evan A. Feigenbaum

Nonresident Senior Associate
Asia Program

Feigenbaum’s work focuses principally on China and India, geopolitics in Asia, and the role of the United States in East, Central, and South Asia. His previous positions include deputy assistant secretary of state for South Asia, deputy assistant secretary of state for Central Asia, and member of the secretary of state’s policy planning staff with principal responsibility for East Asia and the Pacific.

Paul Haenle

Director
Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

Haenle served as the director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolian Affairs on the National Security Council staffs of former president George W. Bush and President Barack Obama prior to joining Carnegie.

Douglas H. Paal

Vice President for Studies

Paal previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.

Michael Swaine

Senior Associate
Asia Program

Swaine is a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and one of the most prominent American analysts in Chinese security studies.

Ashley J. Tellis

Senior Associate
South Asia Program

Tellis is a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace specializing in international security, defense, and Asian strategic issues.

Kevin Tu

Senior Associate
Energy and Climate Program

Tu is a senior associate in Carnegie’s Energy and Climate Program, where he leads the organization’s work on China’s energy and climate policies.