Economy

 
  • Op-Ed
    The Global Economy and China: The View From a Mountain Top
    Uri Dadush January 30, 2015 Guangming Online

    China’s very high rates of saving and investment in infrastructure, plants and equipment, research and development, and human capital should be seen more as a source of strength than of weakness.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Inverted Balance Sheets and Doubling the Financial Bet
    Michael Pettis January 21, 2015 China Financial Markets

    Chinese economic growth will continue to slow. Although many economic analyses are based on the success of economic reforms, near-term growth is more accurately forecast in terms of balance sheet constraints.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Middle East Detour on China’s New Silk Road?
    Wang Tao January 20, 2015 UKSA Analist Monthly Journal 中文

    The Middle East is vital to China’s present and future energy interests, but the region’s thorny geopolitics make Chinese state-owned firms hesitant to make large investments there.

     
  • Op-Ed
    A Better Year Ahead?
    Uri Dadush January 14, 2015 L’Espresso

    The most plausible global economic forecast for 2015 is moderate growth, similar to 2014; not a good year, but not a disaster either.

     
  • Op-Ed
    On Chinese CPI and PPI Data for December
    Michael Pettis January 9, 2015 China Financial Markets

    China’s consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) data suggest that China is facing deflationary pressures. Beijing must tackle the country’s debt and create alternative sources of demand to address them.

     
  • Op-Ed
    China, Latin America, and the End of the Commodity Boom
    Matt Ferchen January 9, 2015 El Pais 中文

    Dropping commodity prices will benefit China and create challenges for Latin American countries, yet this trend also opens the possibility of a more sustainable economic relationship.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Revamping China’s Fiscal System
    Yukon Huang January 7, 2015 Wall Street Journal

    Contrary to popular belief, banks aren’t the source of China’s major economic headaches. They’re merely the accommodators. The real culprit is the current fiscal system.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Insecurity from Asia’s Growing Oil Imbalance
    Deborah Gordon January 5, 2015 Boao Review

    As many economies across Asia are slowing, it is an opportune time to think strategically about physical resource limitations, associated environmental concerns, and evolving geopolitical realities.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Debt Crisis Fears Unfounded
    Yukon Huang December 30, 2014 Business Now

    The argument that rising debt levels indicate that China’s economy is about to collapse is unfounded. Still, more aggressive economic reforms are needed to ensure China’s long-term financial stability.

     
  • Op-Ed
    China Flexes Diplomatic Muscles to Match Growing Economic Size
    Paul Haenle December 25, 2014 Insight 中文

    To allay neighboring countries’ misgivings about Beijing’s growing assertiveness, China must match its verbal commitment to harmony and win-win collaboration with concrete actions.

     
  • Event
    The ASEAN Economic Community in 2015: A Progress Report from Japan and the Region
    Yoshifumi Fukunaga, James Wallar, James L. Schoff January 29, 2015 Washington, DC

    In 2009, Southeast Asian political leaders accelerated their target date for realizing the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) to 2015. As the deadline looms, there are competing opinions on what can be accomplished by the end of this year, the AEC’s potential impact, and its near-term priorities.

     
  • Event
    Japan in 2015: A Look at the Year Ahead
    James L. Schoff January 22, 2015 Washington, DC

    A number of major foreign and domestic policy challenges face Japan in 2015.

     
  • Event
    China Oil Forum
    Deborah Gordon, Xu Qinhua, Mikkal Herberg, Matt Ferchen, Wang Tao, Scott Moore, David Livingston, Bo Kong, Andrew S. Weiss, Robert Hormats, Jessica Tuchman Mathews December 2, 2014 Washington, DC

    With China’s economy slowing after decades of double-digit growth, now is the time to think strategically about how the nation will deal with its physical resource limitations, their associated environmental concerns, and oil’s evolving geopolitical realities. The China Oil Forum will engage key thinkers, policymakers, and civil society in a discussion about these strategic questions.

     
  • Event
    China-Africa Economic Cooperation in a Global Context
    Tang Xiaoyang, Shi Zhiqin, Li Anshan, He Wenping, Zhang Haisen November 21, 2014 Beijing

    As interactions between China and African countries grow, observers see potential for the cooperative relationship to revitalize Africa and promote much-needed economic development.

     
  • Event
    Democracy Is More Difficult Than Physics
    Giovanna Dore, Karl Jackson, Vikram Nehru November 19, 2014 Washington, DC

    Emerging democracies are periodically vulnerable to legitimacy crises by the expansion of popular participation.

     
  • Event
    National Insecurity
    David Rothkopf, Joshua Bolten, Zbigniew Brzezinski, Brent Scowcroft October 30, 2014 Washington, DC

    From the Middle East to Eastern Europe, crises grip the globe. A growing group of rivals and dangerous non-state actors now pose an array of new threats to the international order.

     
  • Event
    Corruption, Crime, and Terrorism
    Moisés Naím, Milan Vaishnav, Louise Shelley October 22, 2014 Washington, DC

    The entangled threat of crime, corruption, and terrorism remain important security challenges in the twenty-first century.

     
  • Event
    The End of Convergence?
    Uri Dadush, Vikram Nehru, Carl Dahlman October 15, 2014 Washington, DC

    Convergence, the narrowing of the income gap between poor and rich countries, is one of the great stories of our time. A recent report shows that convergence has slowed in recent years, and that productivity in developing countries is not rising rapidly enough in key sectors.

     
  • Event
    Asian Poverty: The Untold Story
    Shang-Jin Wei, Vikram Nehru October 9, 2014 Washington, DC

    According to the World Bank’s standard poverty measure, one in five Asians live in extreme poverty. However, a recent Asian Development Bank (ADB) report, asserts that this standard measure does not capture the true extent of extreme poverty in the region.

     
  • Event
    Abenomics: Will It Work for Japan and the Region?
    Dennis Botman, Charles Collyns, Stephen Danninger, Vikram Nehru, Tsuney Yanagihara, James L. Schoff October 2, 2014 Washington, DC

    A recent IMF staff report on Japan finds some progress for so-called Abenomics, but says that progress is uneven and substantial medium-term risks remain. The success or failure of the policies have important implications for both Japan and the region.

     

Carnegie Economists

  • Uri Dadush
    Senior Associate
    International Economics Program

    Dadush is a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He focuses on trends in the global economy and is currently tracking developments in the eurozone crisis.

  •  
  • Shi Han
    Resident Scholar
    Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

    Shi Han is a resident scholar at the Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy concentrating on international business issues. His economic research addresses challenges arising from interactions between American and Chinese businesses and the competition and cooperation between state and non-state economic entities.

  •  
  • Yukon Huang
    Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Huang is a senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program, where his research focuses on China’s economic development and its impact on Asia and the global economy.

  •  
  • Moisés Naím
    Distinguished Fellow
    International Economics Program

    Naím is a distinguished fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where his research focuses on international economics and global politics. He is currently the chief international columnist for El País, Spain’s largest newspaper, and his weekly column is published worldwide.

  •  
  • Vikram Nehru
    Senior Associate
    Asia Program
    Bakrie Chair in Southeast Asian Studies

    Nehru is a senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program. An expert on development economics, growth, poverty reduction, debt sustainability, governance, and the performance and prospects of East Asia, his research focuses on the economic, political, and strategic issues confronting Asia, particularly Southeast Asia.

  •  
  • Michael Pettis
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Pettis, an expert on China’s economy, is professor of finance at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets.

  •  
  • Sinan Ülgen
    Visiting Scholar
    Carnegie Europe

    Ülgen is a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, where his research focuses on the implications of Turkish foreign policy for Europe and the United States, nuclear policy, and the security and economic aspects of transatlantic relations.

  •  

Carnegie Experts on Political Economy

  • Cornelius Adebahr
    Associate
    Europe Program

    Adebahr is an associate in the Europe Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington, DC. His research focuses on European foreign policy.

  •  
  • Thomas Carothers
    Vice President for Studies

    Carothers is a leading authority on international support for democracy, rights, and governance and on comparative democratization as well as an expert on U.S. foreign policy.

  •  
  • Sarah Chayes
    Senior Associate
    Democracy and Rule of Law Program
    South Asia Program

    Chayes, formerly special adviser to the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, is an expert in South Asia policy, kleptocracy and anticorruption, and civil-military relations.

  •  
  • James Collins
    Senior Associate, Russia and Eurasia Program;
    Diplomat in Residence

    Ambassador Collins was the U.S. ambassador to the Russian Federation from 1997 to 2001 and is an expert on the former Soviet Union, its successor states, and the Middle East.

  •  
  • Judy Dempsey
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Carnegie Europe
    Editor in chief
    Strategic Europe

    Dempsey is a nonresident senior associate at Carnegie Europe and editor in chief of Strategic Europe.

  •  
  • Gilles Dorronsoro
    Nonresident Scholar
    South Asia Program

    Dorronsoro’s research focuses on security and political development in Afghanistan. He was a professor of political science at the Sorbonne in Paris and the Institute of Political Studies of Rennes.

  •  
  • Evan A. Feigenbaum
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Feigenbaum’s work focuses principally on China and India, geopolitics in Asia, and the role of the United States in East, Central, and South Asia. His previous positions include deputy assistant secretary of state for South Asia, deputy assistant secretary of state for Central Asia, and member of the secretary of state’s policy planning staff with principal responsibility for East Asia and the Pacific.

  •  
  • Matt Ferchen
    Resident Scholar
    Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

    Ferchen specializes in China’s political-economic relations with emerging economies. At the Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, he runs a program on China’s economic and political relations with the developing world, including Latin America.

  •  
  • François Godement
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Godement, an expert on Chinese and East Asian strategic and international affairs, is a nonresident senior associate in the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

  •  
  • Paul Haenle
    Director
    Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

    Haenle served as the director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolian Affairs on the National Security Council staffs of former president George W. Bush and President Barack Obama prior to joining Carnegie.

  •  
  • John L. Holden
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Holden is a nonresident senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program. He also advises corporations and other organizations on their operations in China and assists Chinese companies overseas.

  •  
  • Kheder Khaddour
    Visiting Scholar
    Middle East Center

    Khaddour is a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut. His research focuses on issues of identity and society in Syria.

  •  
  • Jessica Tuchman Mathews
    President

    Mathews is president of the Carnegie Endowment. Before her appointment in 1997, her career included posts in both the executive and legislative branches of government, in management and research in the nonprofit arena, and in journalism and science policy.

  •  
  • Marwan Muasher
    Vice President for Studies

    Muasher is vice president for studies at Carnegie, where he oversees research in Washington and Beirut on the Middle East.

  •  
  • Douglas H. Paal
    Vice President for Studies

    Paal previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.

  •  
  • Pang Xun
    Deputy Director
    Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

    Pang Xun is a resident scholar and the deputy director at the Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, where she is part of the China and the Developing World Program.

  •  
  • George Perkovich
    Vice President for Studies

    Perkovich’s research focuses on nuclear strategy and nonproliferation, with a concentration on South Asia, Iran, and the problem of justice in the international political economy.

  •  
  • David Rothkopf
    Visiting Scholar

    Rothkopf, author of the recent book Power, Inc.: The Epic Rivalry Between Big Business and Government and the Reckoning that Lies Ahead, served as deputy undersecretary of commerce for international trade policy in the Clinton administration.

  •  
  • Tang Xiaoyang
    Resident Scholar
    Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy

    Tang Xiaoyang is a Resident Scholar at the Carnegie–Tsinghua Center for Global Policy and an assistant professor in the Department of International Relations at Tsinghua University. His research interests include political philosophy, China’s modernization process, and China’s engagement in Africa.

  •  
  • Jan Techau
    Director
    Carnegie Europe

    Techau is the director of Carnegie Europe, the European center of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Techau works on EU integration and foreign policy, transatlantic affairs, and German foreign and security policy.

  •  
  • Dmitri Trenin
    Director
    Moscow Center

    Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, has been with the center since its inception. He also chairs the research council and the Foreign and Security Policy Program.

  •  
  • Milan Vaishnav
    Associate
    South Asia Program

    Vaishnav’s primary research focus is the political economy of India, and he examines issues such as corruption, ethnic politics, governance and state capacity, election finance, and distributive politics.

  •  
  • Richard Youngs
    Senior Associate
    Democracy and Rule of Law Program

    Youngs is an expert on the foreign policy of the European Union, in particular on questions of democracy support.

  •  

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