Emerging Economies

 
  • Op-Ed
    The Global Economy and China: The View From a Mountain Top
    Uri Dadush January 30, 2015 Guangming Online

    China’s very high rates of saving and investment in infrastructure, plants and equipment, research and development, and human capital should be seen more as a source of strength than of weakness.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Still Waiting for Davos Woman
    David Rothkopf January 22, 2015 Foreign Policy

    The Davos Alpine retreat is both absurd and worthy-but it cannot achieve its goals as long as it is primarily a guy thing.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Inverted Balance Sheets and Doubling the Financial Bet
    Michael Pettis January 21, 2015 China Financial Markets

    Chinese economic growth will continue to slow. Although many economic analyses are based on the success of economic reforms, near-term growth is more accurately forecast in terms of balance sheet constraints.

     
  • Op-Ed
    A Better Year Ahead?
    Uri Dadush January 14, 2015 L’Espresso

    The most plausible global economic forecast for 2015 is moderate growth, similar to 2014; not a good year, but not a disaster either.

     
  • Op-Ed
    On Chinese CPI and PPI Data for December
    Michael Pettis January 9, 2015 China Financial Markets

    China’s consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) data suggest that China is facing deflationary pressures. Beijing must tackle the country’s debt and create alternative sources of demand to address them.

     
  • Op-Ed
    China, Latin America, and the End of the Commodity Boom
    Matt Ferchen January 9, 2015 El Pais 中文

    Dropping commodity prices will benefit China and create challenges for Latin American countries, yet this trend also opens the possibility of a more sustainable economic relationship.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Malaysia’s Big Chance to Help Shape ASEAN’s New Era
    Vikram Nehru, Yun Tang January 8, 2015 Nikkei Asian Review

    As the 2015 ASEAN chair, Malaysia should demonstrate genuine and forward-looking regional leadership on the ASEAN Economic Community.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Revamping China’s Fiscal System
    Yukon Huang January 7, 2015 Wall Street Journal

    Contrary to popular belief, banks aren’t the source of China’s major economic headaches. They’re merely the accommodators. The real culprit is the current fiscal system.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Despite Crisis, Reform Elusive for Russia
    Dmitri Trenin December 31, 2014 Global Times

    For the Russian economic and political system, as well as for the country’s foreign relations, the current economic crisis is an existential one. Russia will exit from it in a very different form from what it is today.

     
  • Op-Ed
    Debt Crisis Fears Unfounded
    Yukon Huang December 30, 2014 Business Now

    The argument that rising debt levels indicate that China’s economy is about to collapse is unfounded. Still, more aggressive economic reforms are needed to ensure China’s long-term financial stability.

     
  • Event
    The ASEAN Economic Community in 2015: A Progress Report from Japan and the Region
    Yoshifumi Fukunaga, James Wallar, James L. Schoff January 29, 2015 Washington, DC

    In 2009, Southeast Asian political leaders accelerated their target date for realizing the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) to 2015. As the deadline looms, there are competing opinions on what can be accomplished by the end of this year, the AEC’s potential impact, and its near-term priorities.

     
  • Event
    Supporting Myanmar’s Economic Development
    Stephen Groff, Vikram Nehru January 20, 2015 Washington, DC

    The economic and social development challenges facing Myanmar are enormous and require sustained support from its international development partners.

     
  • Event
    China Oil Forum
    Deborah Gordon, Xu Qinhua, Mikkal Herberg, Matt Ferchen, Wang Tao, Scott Moore, David Livingston, Bo Kong, Andrew S. Weiss, Robert Hormats, Jessica Tuchman Mathews December 2, 2014 Washington, DC

    With China’s economy slowing after decades of double-digit growth, now is the time to think strategically about how the nation will deal with its physical resource limitations, their associated environmental concerns, and oil’s evolving geopolitical realities. The China Oil Forum will engage key thinkers, policymakers, and civil society in a discussion about these strategic questions.

     
  • Event
    Democracy Is More Difficult Than Physics
    Giovanna Dore, Karl Jackson, Vikram Nehru November 19, 2014 Washington, DC

    Emerging democracies are periodically vulnerable to legitimacy crises by the expansion of popular participation.

     
  • Event
    U.S.-Myanmar Relations: The Significance of Obama’s Visit
    Suzanne DiMaggio, Priscilla Clapp, Vikram Nehru November 18, 2014 Washington, DC

    As President Obama travels to Myanmar for the East Asia Summit and U.S.-ASEAN Summit on November 12, pressure on the Myanmar government is mounting to revise its pro-military constitution and enact real reform.

     
  • Event
    Rising Democracies Network Meets in Brazil
    Thomas Carothers, Richard Youngs November 5, 2014 São Paulo, Brazil

    Carnegie’s Rising Democracies Network met in Brazil to engage with local and regional actors and exchange ideas for cooperation toward international democracy and human rights support.

     
  • Event
    Modi’s Transformative Moment?
    Christophe Jaffrelot, Milan Vaishnav October 17, 2014 Washington, DC

    The first 100 days of a new government can be tumultuous as power shifts hands and leaders make dramatic decisions. But Prime Minister Narendra Modi has thus far proceeded in a more nuanced fashion, making an assessment of his first four months in office more complicated.

     
  • Event
    The End of Convergence?
    Uri Dadush, Vikram Nehru, Carl Dahlman October 15, 2014 Washington, DC

    Convergence, the narrowing of the income gap between poor and rich countries, is one of the great stories of our time. A recent report shows that convergence has slowed in recent years, and that productivity in developing countries is not rising rapidly enough in key sectors.

     
  • Event
    Asian Poverty: The Untold Story
    Shang-Jin Wei, Vikram Nehru October 9, 2014 Washington, DC

    According to the World Bank’s standard poverty measure, one in five Asians live in extreme poverty. However, a recent Asian Development Bank (ADB) report, asserts that this standard measure does not capture the true extent of extreme poverty in the region.

     
  • Event
    The Impact of Asian Investment on Africa’s Textile Industries
    Tang Xiaoyang, Pang Xun, Jeremy Goldkorn, Liu Haifang September 26, 2014 Beijing

    The investment of Asian firms in Africa’s cotton, textile, and apparel sectors could be both a boon and a hindrance for Africa’s own internal production.

     

Carnegie Experts on Emerging Economies

  • Amr Adly
    Nonresident Scholar
    Middle East Center

    Adly is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Middle East Center, where his research centers on political economy, development studies, and economic sociology of the Middle East, with a focus on Egypt.

  •  
  • James Collins
    Senior Associate, Russia and Eurasia Program;
    Diplomat in Residence

    Ambassador Collins was the U.S. ambassador to the Russian Federation from 1997 to 2001 and is an expert on the former Soviet Union, its successor states, and the Middle East.

  •  
  • Uri Dadush
    Senior Associate
    International Economics Program

    Dadush is a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He focuses on trends in the global economy and is currently tracking developments in the eurozone crisis.

  •  
  • Evan A. Feigenbaum
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Feigenbaum’s work focuses principally on China and India, geopolitics in Asia, and the role of the United States in East, Central, and South Asia. His previous positions include deputy assistant secretary of state for South Asia, deputy assistant secretary of state for Central Asia, and member of the secretary of state’s policy planning staff with principal responsibility for East Asia and the Pacific.

  •  
  • François Godement
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Godement, an expert on Chinese and East Asian strategic and international affairs, is a nonresident senior associate in the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

  •  
  • John L. Holden
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Holden is a nonresident senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program. He also advises corporations and other organizations on their operations in China and assists Chinese companies overseas.

  •  
  • Yukon Huang
    Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Huang is a senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program, where his research focuses on China’s economic development and its impact on Asia and the global economy.

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  • Marwan Muasher
    Vice President for Studies

    Muasher is vice president for studies at Carnegie, where he oversees research in Washington and Beirut on the Middle East.

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  • Vikram Nehru
    Senior Associate
    Asia Program
    Bakrie Chair in Southeast Asian Studies

    Nehru is a senior associate in the Carnegie Asia Program. An expert on development economics, growth, poverty reduction, debt sustainability, governance, and the performance and prospects of East Asia, his research focuses on the economic, political, and strategic issues confronting Asia, particularly Southeast Asia.

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  • Douglas H. Paal
    Vice President for Studies

    Paal previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.

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  • Michael Pettis
    Nonresident Senior Associate
    Asia Program

    Pettis, an expert on China’s economy, is professor of finance at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets.

  •  
  • Dmitri Trenin
    Director
    Moscow Center

    Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, has been with the center since its inception. He also chairs the research council and the Foreign and Security Policy Program.

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