Carnegie China

Research and analysis on China’s foreign policy and role in the world.

    • Commentary

    Get Used to Slower Chinese Growth

    As China tries to rebalance its economy, a small but rising number of Chinese economists are beginning to predict sharply lower annual growth rates in the coming years.

    • Commentary

    A Warning for China’s Nuclear Sector

    China’s leadership should consider the recent Wenzhou train crash a warning of the need to reevaluate the safety risks of the country’s ambitious nuclear power construction targets.

    • Multimedia

    Japan's 66th Anniversary of Nuclear Bombs

    Japan's Fukushima nuclear accident in early March 2011 is likely to have a primarily economic impact and is unlikely to result in a strengthened push for nuclear disarmament.

    • Commentary

    What U.S. Fiscal Woes Teach China

    While the current U.S. economic tensions are likely to hurt Washington's democracy and human rights agenda as far as Beijing is concerned, they are also likely to help China's international financial situation.

    • Commentary

    Wenzhou Crash Shows the Dangers of China's Nuclear Power Ambitions

    • Kevin Tu, David Livingston
    • July 29, 2011
    • China Brief

    Beijing can learn important lessons from the tragedy on the train tracks in Wenzhou about the management of its rail networks and also the more critical issue of its 2020 nuclear energy goals.

    • Commentary

    Industrial Organization of the Chinese Coal Industry

    Statistical distortion on the use of coal in China is likely to not only severely undermine Beijing’s energy conservation and carbon abatement policy initiatives, but also make it difficult for the international community to verify achievements claimed by the Chinese government.

    • Commentary

    China: A Dangerous Neighbor or a Trusted Partner?

    China and Russia share significant common ground on a number of issues, but a number of concerns still shape Sino-Russian bilateral relations.

    • Commentary

    China's Economy: Incentives and Debt

    Distorted incentive structures in China are encouraging many Chinese corporations to borrow—and increase their unsustainable level of debt—even though investments are not generating sufficient economic value.

    • Commentary

    Divergence, Similarity and Symmetry in Sino-Indian Threat Perceptions

    A close comparison of the security perceptions of Chinese and Indian strategic, scientific, and academic experts reveals that the Sino-Indian security dilemma cannot be simply viewed through the prism of the border anymore.

    • Commentary

    China's Debt Monster: Where Is This Train Going?

    China’s economy can only continue to grow rapidly through ever riskier increases in debt. Eventually, Chinese authorities will either choose to slow growth and curtail investment sharply or they will be forced to do so by their excessive debt.

    • Commentary

    Small Companies Feel the Pain in China

    Rising wages and capital costs are squeezing China's small- and medium-sized enterprises, while administrative attempts to mandate lending through quotas are distorting credit markets.

    • Commentary

    U.S. Nuclear Posture Review

    While strategic stability in China has traditionally reflected a concern for maintaining balance, the discussion has broadened in the past years to include concerns over issues such as nuclear terrorism and disarmament.

    • Commentary

    Engaging China and Russia on Nuclear Disarmament

    • Lora Saalman
    • June 16, 2011
    • The Asian Institute for Policy Studies

    Carnegie's Beijing-based associate Lora Saalman speaks at The Asian Institute for Policy Studies' panel, Engaging China and Russia on Nuclear Disarmament.

    • Commentary

    The Myth of China's Unbalanced Growth

    Despite China's low consumption and high investment relative to GDP, key indicators suggest that its growth is not actually unbalanced.

    • Commentary

    China, Russia Ties on Sound Base

    With the bureaucratic infrastructure for solid bilateral relations between China and Russia already in place, the next step is increased dialogue between the countries’ intellectuals, who can examine the relationship from a broader perspective.

    • Commentary

    The Lessons of Lagarde's IMF Coronation

    Although Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa enjoy significantly more power individually nowadays, as a group they still haven't mastered the methods for transforming their newfound economic prowess into global power.

    • Commentary

    Is China Really Rebalancing? No.

    In spite of nominal changes in the value of China’s currency and domestic interest rates and wages, China’s economy remains unbalanced, as real interest rates continue to outpace real wages and any real appreciation of the renminbi.

    • Research

    The Chinese Are Coming!

    While China’s new aircraft carrier does not pose a major threat to U.S. forces or allies in the Western Pacific, the United States needs to take steps to communicate this message of reassurance to countries in the region.

    • Commentary

    Expand Cities to Stop Dissent

    In order to reduce rural-urban inequality and prevent widespread unrest, China needs to invest its citizens with greater mobility and property rights by reforming its system for household registration.

    • Research

    Talks Set to Start with North Korea

    Although movement is being made toward the resumption of six-party talks with North Korea, persistent disagreements will likely prevent any meaningful progress toward the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.

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