The domestic implications of Taiwan’s legislative and presidential elections will be important for the region, as China’s slowing economy and Taiwan’s growing resistance to mainland influence continue to play out. Relations across the Taiwan Strait will be subject to reformulation after seven-plus years of calm, pragmatic interaction on the basis of the 1992 Consensus, which Taipei has defined as “one China, with respective interpretations.” The reformulation will be the subject of intense jockeying within Taiwan, and between Taiwan and the mainland, with uncertain implications not only for future cross-strait relations but also for U.S. interests and the American role in the U.S.-PRC-Taiwan triangular relationship. Alan D. Romberg and Douglas H. Paal explored these implications in a post-election review.
Alan D. Romberg
Alan D. Romberg is distinguished fellow and the director of the East Asia program at the Stimson Center. He previously was the principal deputy director of the U.S. State Department’s Policy Planning staff, principal deputy assistant secretary of state for public affairs and deputy spokesman of the department.
Douglas H. Paal
Douglas H. Paal is vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.