Rozlyn (Roz) C. Engel is a nonresident scholar in the Geoeconomics and Strategy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where she focuses on macroeconomic risks, U.S. economic policy (foreign and domestic), long-term economic trends shaping the global security landscape, and economic intelligence analysis.
Engel spent more than 15 years at the nexus of economics, national security, and U.S. policy development. From October 2016 to August 2018, she was the senior career executive at the U.S. Treasury Department in charge of U.S. macroeconomic analysis. From January 2017 onward, she also fulfilled the duties of the deputy assistant secretary for macroeconomic policy, the senior U.S. macroeconomist at the Treasury Department. Her office closely monitored U.S. economic developments, maintained long-term forecasts of the U.S. economy, worked closely with other policy offices, and presented the U.S. outlook to foreign and domestic delegations. From 2013 to 2016, Engel was the national intelligence manager and national intelligence officer for economics in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), where she oversaw all global economic analysis in support of U.S. national security priorities. Her office worked closely with the National Security Council, covering U.S. foreign economic policies involving sanctions, trade agreements, and foreign investment (CFIUS) reviews, as well as macroeconomic stability in key countries and developments in global markets. Before ODNI, she was a distinguished research fellow in economics at the National Defense University and an associate professor of economics at West Point. Engel holds a PhD in economics from Columbia University and a MSc in economic history from the London School of Economics. One of her chief goals at Carnegie is to illuminate the economic dimensions of U.S. foreign policy and national security strategy in the context of an increasingly competitive global environment.
Engel also teaches at New York University’s Wagner School of Public Service and independently consults on U.S. policy developments and broader macro risks facing organizations.