China and the World

    Hong Kong After the Elections: The Future of `One Country, Two Systems'

    Carnegie’s associate Dr. Veron Hung testified before the Congressional-Executive Commission on China. Her testimony focused on one issue: Will Hu Jintao, who finally took over China’s military chairmanship from Jiang Zemin last Sunday, soften Beijing’s stance on democratization in Hong Kong?

    A Turning Point in Beijing: With Jiang Gone, China Can Rebalance

    • Minxin Pei
    • September 21, 2004
    • International Herald Tribune

    China's Peaceful Rise?

    A major two-day conference in September explored a wide range of questions related to China's foreign relations and political and economic development. 

    Hong Kong's September 12 Legislative Elections

    Despite widespread hopes, democrats in Hong Kong were unable to secure a majority of legislative seats in the September 12 elections. Why were democrats unsuccessful? What are the implications of the elections on democratization in Hong Kong and on cross-Strait relations? And what role should the U.S. should play with regard to Hong Kong?

    Beijing's Closed Politics Hinders 'New Diplomacy'

    There are two contradictions between China's internal dynamics and the requirements of an internationalist foreign policy. First, because nationalism legitimizes the Communist party, Beijing's leaders will be tempted to sacrifice long-term diplomatic objectives for short-term political gains. Second, a liberal internationalist foreign policy is incompatible with China's illiberal governance.

    China Is Still Far From Being a Free-Market Economy

    Getting to Democracy in Hong Kong

    Recognizing the growing public demand for democratization, the communist leadership of Beijing is prepared to enter a dialogue with Hong Kong democrats. Some in the U.S. Congress want to show solidarity with Hong Kong democrats and toughness toward Beijing by removing beneficial economic treatment that Hong Kong receives. This would be a mistake; better options exist.

    Deterring Conflict In The Taiwan Strait: The Successes and Failures of Taiwan’s Defense Reform and Modernization Program

    The first section of this paper looks at the basic objectives of Taiwan’s defense reform and modernization programs and the successes and failures to date. The second section assesses the underlying reasons for those successes and failures. A final section assesses the prospects for the future and the implications for U.S. policy and U.S.–ROC relations.

    Recent Developments in Hong Kong

    There are currently widespread concerns regarding the "one country, two systems." Recent steps taken by Beijing and pro-democracy advocates in Hong Kong show their strong interest in developing constructive dialogue. Such dialogue would help develop mutual trust, which is crucial for democratic development in Hong Kong and the successful implementation of the "one country, two systems" principle.

    Testimony on Recent Developments in Hong Kong

    • June 23, 2004
    • Carnegie

    There are currently widespread concerns regarding the "one country, two systems." Recent steps taken by Beijing and pro-democracy advocates in Hong Kong show their strong interest in developing constructive dialogue. Such dialogue would help develop mutual trust, which is crucial for democratic development in Hong Kong and the successful implementation of the "one country, two systems" principle.

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