Gradual shifts in international global institutions have upended expectations about how key players will behave and could fundamentally change the calculus for pricing in risks and potential returns.
During U.S. President Donald Trump’s visit to China, U.S. officials will be looking to see what Chinese President Xi Jinping’s speech to the 19th Party Congress means for solving security issues and growing the global economy.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to undo the Iran Nuclear Deal hands leverage over to Iran, and reduces international confidence in the United States.
Every one of the very real challenges Iran poses in the world would be made more difficult to manage if Iran were freed of the nuclear limits agreed in the JCPOA, and every one of them would be made more difficult if the United States isolates itself from its partners.
U.S. and Afgani leaders have agreed to ask Qatar to close the Taliban's political commission office. This would be a mistake that would prevent further negotiations to end the war in Afghanistan. The office has previously proved its usefulness in a prisoner exchange.
President Trump has the option to not certify Iranian compliance with the nuclear deal, breaking with European allies and signatories of the deal. If the United States chooses to re-impose sanctions, they will do so without international support, leaving empty sanctions against Iran.
Concern over ballistic missiles should not be the impetus for withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal. Ballistic missiles were intentionally left out of the deal because of the lack of international consensus.
The influence of U.S. sanctions derives from America’s central position in international finance—particularly its control over the invisible plumbing that allows money to move around the world.
Donald Trump and Brexit were only two visible manifestations spurred in part by the revolt of the middle classes in rich countries, and the furies of middle class in poor and middle-income countries are also boiling, with unpredictable consequences.
Trump could either seek to enhance the United States’ position in the current international order or pursue U.S. interests defined in more narrow, neo-mercantile terms.
The Geoeconomics and Strategy Program seeks to promote and provoke collaboration and debate among experts in national security strategy, foreign policy, and international economic policy, in order to enhance understanding of: 1) the use of economic instruments to promote geopolitical goals; 2) the development of national security strategy and foreign policy to advance national economic interests and the stability of the global economy; and 3) the future of the international political and economic order.