In 2013, Europe was a peaceful place, but elsewhere in Eurasia, things were not as peaceful. This eventful year promises an interesting 2014.
In responding to the challenge of nuclear proliferation, nuclear trade controls and nuclear disarmament have separate missions.
The big strategic question is whether testing Iran’s intentions through negotiations is riskier than continuing to sanction and threaten to bomb it.
With the initial Iran Deal done, it is time to look forward to its implementation and verification. That means that the International Atomic Energy Agency will have more work to do over the next six months. But what, exactly, will it be doing?
The recent reports in the U.S. media suggest that Russia has violated the INF Treaty seem to echo, at a new stage, previous claims made almost six months ago. At that time, questions arose in connection with the Rubezh missile flight tests and assumptions were made that the Rubezh missiles are actually intermediate-range missiles.
As the debate over intervention in Syria demonstrated, the American public is not eager to go to war in the Middle East when the United States itself is not in danger.
The existence of this six-month deal creates a very clear deadline by which Iran must commit to steps that will demonstrably end its efforts to develop nuclear weapons.
Agreements like the Iran nuclear deal in Geneva always contain risks, but in this instance, the rewards are sufficient to justify the risks.
The endgame for negotiations would be an Iran whose entire nuclear program would be subject to routine but rigorous oversight to make sure everything is accounted for.
Iran’s ongoing negotiations over its nuclear program, most recently this weekend in Geneva, have not yet resulted in a deal.