• Proliferation Analysis

    Annus Horribilis in Iraq

    Former National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski has been making a lot of sense all year. A man known for his hard-line views and no nonsense style, he told CNN’s Wolf Blitzer Christmas weekend that prospects for success in Iraq were dim.

    "We have paid a high price in blood, and it's increasing, " he said.  "You cannot underestimate the suffering that this has already produced to tens of thousands of American families. We have killed tens of thousands of Iraqis; no one knows precisely how many. We're spending billions of dollars. And we have isolated ourselves internationally. Now, that is simply not worth the price of removing Saddam, because we were containing him."

    • Proliferation Analysis

    UN High-Level Panel Report: Reducing Demand for Nuclear Weapons

    • Caterina Dutto
    • December 23, 2004

    The new UN report, "A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility," addresses emerging threats of the 21st century. It identifies erosion of the Non-Proliferation Treaty, the stagnation of disarmament efforts, illicit nuclear trafficking, and the potential threat of nuclear terrorism major crises of the nonproliferation regime as. The report proposes a multi-layered response to these threats.

    • Proliferation Analysis

    Iran’s Nuclear Program May Trigger the Young Turks to Think Nuclear

    • Mustafa Kibaroglu, Ph.D
    • December 20, 2004

    Iran's nuclear program is becoming an increasingly large issue in Turkey. Despite abundant publications worldwide about Iran’s alleged efforts to develop nuclear weapons for more than two decades, Turkish security elite have only recently started to express concerns about the subject. To date, their stance vis-à-vis Iran’s nuclear program would be categorized as one of negligence.

    • Proliferation Analysis

    Phil Coyle Explains Why the Alaska Site Doesn't Work

    • Phil Coyle
    • December 16, 2004

    It's time for some straight talk about missile defense, including the scientific and technical challenges which it faces and which, if not solved, will prevent the system from being effective, no matter how much money is spent on heavy construction, re-bar and concrete.

    • Proliferation Analysis

    One Year Later in Libya

    One year ago this December 19, Libya announced it was abandoning its nuclear weapon and missile programs after over two decades of trying to build a bomb. Since then, Libya has permitted international officials to inspect 10 previously undisclosed nuclear sites and to remove and destroy all key components of its programs. Libya is a model for how to end a nation’s nuclear weapon program by changing regime behavior rather than by changing the regime.

    • Op-Ed

    Strengthening non-proliferation rules and norms- the three state problem

    • George Perkovich
    • December 02, 2004
    • United Nations Institue for Disarmament Research

    • Op-Ed

    Persian Dilemmas: The discouraging lessons of U.S.-Iranian relations

    Carnegie senior associate Michael McFaul reviews Kenneth Pollack's new book, The Persian Puzzle: The Conflict Between Iran and Ameri

    • Op-Ed

    How the U.S. Should Take on Iran

    Senior associate Michael McFaul and Hoover fellow Abbas Milani on the Iran nuclear crisis.

    • Op-Ed

    Taming Tehran

    • Proliferation Analysis

    Walking on Eggshells in Tehran

    • George Perkovich
    • November 23, 2004
    • c 2004 Yale Center for the Study of Globalization

    Much of the world breathed a sigh of relief when Iran and three European Union countries recently agreed on a course to resolve the boiling crisis over Iran's nuclear activities. With Iran agreeing to suspend those activities as long as progress is made in structuring a longer-term cooperative relationship with  Europe, the nuclear issue shifted to the backburner. But the relief was cut short by the US claim of new evidence that Iran is violating its commitment not to pursue nuclear weapons.

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