While it’s hard to predict what will happen when Trump and Putin meet at the G-20, both leaders could potentially claim success without resolving the core issues that divide them.
Even if it won't rebuild an imperial state, Moscow has many tools at its disposal to influence the political, economic, social, and foreign policy trajectories of its neighbors.
Pursuing an ambitious mission against Iran, Assad, and the Russians in Syria is dangerous, imprudent, and unnecessary to protect vital U.S. security interests.
The president’s general approach to foreign policy—two-thirds disrupter, one-third mainstreamer—is likely to continue. His domestic travails will not constrain what he chooses to do abroad.
The break between Russia and the West is not a passing phase, but a long-term condition that will shape the course of European security for the foreseeable future.
Geopolitical conditions in the South Caucasus have experienced a substantial shift in recent years. Washington needs to adjust assumptions in advancing U.S. interests in the region to make the most of its capabilities.
Belarus and Russia share strong historical ties, but differences between the two countries following the annexation of Crimea call into question how durable this partnership is today.
The United States has important but not vital interests in the South Caucasus, which include preserving regional stability; preventing the resumption of frozen conflicts; and supporting democratic change and better governance as well as the international integration of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia.
Should Trump be ready to offer Kim Jong-un US security guarantees for his regime in exchange for limiting North Korea’s missile program so that the US West Coast remains safe from North Korean projectiles, Russia could also offer to host a six-party summit in Vladivostok so close to the two Koreas, as well as China and Japan.
Georgia has made steady progress since independence, but ongoing challenges call for further integration with the West, improved relations with Russia, and deeper ties with other partners.