As Iran and the United States were preparing for another round of talks on Iran’s nuclear program in Geneva, Carnegie’s Karim Sadjadpour discussed the possible outcomes of the ongoing talks with WBUR Here and Now. He said that the main outstanding issues between the negotiating parties right now include the number of centrifuges Iran should be allowed, the length of time the agreement should hold for, and how the sanctions should be phased out.
Sadjadpour added that more recent news about the talks offer some optimistic signs about concluding the deal, but the news often swing between optimism and pessimism. One of the obstacles to successfully concluding the talks is the hardliners in Tehran “who are fearful that if a nuclear deal happens that could spur greater U.S.-Iran cooperation, which could undermine their hold on power,” Sadjadpour said.
Sadjadpour concluded that if the talks failed, this would not necessarily lead to military action against Tehran. Instead, “a more likely possibility is that there isn’t a comprehensive resolution.” This would lead to what Sadjadpour refers to as a “managed irresolution,” which means that “the two sides fail to meet in the same place” but also recognize that it is in the best interest of both parties to “have the talks keep going.”