The 2024 election will be one in which the generation of “Putin’s children,” those who have made their careers and profited from the twenty years of Putin’s presidency, face a serious challenge to keep the assets they have acquired.
Despite flagging oil revenues and the introduction of conscription in the Gulf, the use of foreign contract soldiers, sometimes called mercenaries, is here to stay.
If the thirst for political change continues to gain momentum in Russia, a full-scale demand for political freedoms and alternatives may emerge quite soon.
Today’s Turkey is more nationalist and more inclined to assert its political and military power than in recent years. To deal with Ankara, NATO and the EU must be firm, resolute, and yet cooperative.
For the EU to assert itself as a genuine geopolitical player, it must develop a more flexible and nuanced view of responding to world challenges. What is needed is a reenergized mind-set from a union that is not in denial but determined to act.
Countries worldwide are experimenting with permanent citizen engagement in public decisionmaking. Could "ordinary citizens" become a new cornerstone of democracy?
Fifteen years after the 2004 enlargement, the EU still behaves as two halves rather than a whole. The real source of tensions is unfamiliarity with the nature of East-West differences rather than the differences themselves.
Trump and Brexit are challenging Europe’s defense cooperation. The incoming European Commission will need to devote time and effort to make up for any shortfall.
The European Commission has become more involved in EU defense policy. To see changes implemented, however, it must prove it can help the EU develop into a more capable defense actor.
Younger generations of Central Asian citizens are demanding more from their governments, but their leaders continue to cling to a rapidly eroding status quo.
China’s economy faces uncertainty and choppy waters in the years ahead, a trend that the trade conflict with the United States seems likely to deepen.
Getting national legislators more involved in EU affairs could help the European Parliament boost its legitimacy in the eyes of voters.
After Lebanon’s civil war ended in 1990, it began rapidly expanding the public debt. This debt has exacerbated widening socioeconomic inequalities, now threatening the country’s stability.
With a steadily expanding fleet of satellites for both civilian and military purposes, the technological ability to secure these is a national imperative, as is the diplomatic ability to proactively shape the global governance of outer space with like-minded partners.
In the aftermath of Syria's civil war, Bashar al-Assad's regime has deepened its neoliberal economic approach. This is heightening the inequality that led to war in the first place.
Brexit opens up many geopolitical questions. Not in the least, the UK, the EU, and the United States will have to decide how to work together or independently.
The CIDCA’s highly ambitious agenda is a clear sign that, after years of considerable growth in China’s development finance, the underlying bureaucratic system is now beginning to mature. Yet key questions remain unanswered.
Artificial intelligence, or AI, has become a major source of economic value, contributing as much as $2 trillion to today’s global economy. Sophisticated machine learning technology is driving this growth, but not everyone is investing equally—or reaping the rewards.
The playbook that Russia relied on to deal with European security institutions and their firm linkage of hard security to human rights no longer works—leaving Russia isolated.
In Europe, initiatives to increase citizen participation have made substantial progress, but there are severe difficulties to overcome if these participative forums are to address the core issues of democratic decline and contribute more significantly to its restoration.