Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Join Aaron David Miller as he sits down with Brett McGurk, the President’s point person on the Middle East to discuss these and other issues.
Given the global rise in nuclear activity, the world should move quickly to create such a system. When existing powers are less able to prevent uranium enrichment—and even hand over highly enriched material to other countries—it incentivizes competitors to double down on their programs.
In the last two decades, the Balkans appear to have become a new arena for religious competition between Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran. The strategies used by these very different actors show their efforts in exporting faith in the name of power and in projecting their identity and domestic structures.
If Iran goes back to enrichment, then you have the rather nightmare prospect, even though the odds are poor of success, of an Israeli preemptive military strike or a conflict in which the United States could be involved
While the United States needs Tehran to stop its enrichment program, the Islamic Republic is fighting for survival.
While a successful Iran nuclear deal is far from guaranteed, alternatives to diplomacy are bleak. The United States’ apparent unwillingness to signal its intention to honor the agreement, Iran’s nuclear progress, and rising tensions between Washington and Beijing stand in the way of a renewed compromise.
It did raise serious questions about the administration's competency and credibility and whether or not it could basically deliver on commitments that it had made to its allies. Getting out of lost wars is never an easy enterprise.
Iran apparently has not abandoned this ambition to acquire nuclear weapons, but at the same time sees no urgency in achieving this aim, while also seeking to minimize the risks entailed pursuing it. Therefore, Israel's intelligence assessments on the timing of Iran's nuclearization have consistently proven wrong.
The Israeli prime minister visited the United Arab Emirates this week, highlighting a number of current realities.
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