The latest crisis between China and India has set off an unseemly round of finger-pointing between the Bharatiya Janata Party and its principal national rival, the Congress, with both sides accusing the other of cozying up to the communist regime.
India now plays a crucial role in the Indo-Pacific region. But how will the country define its approach as the region takes on new geopolitical importance?
Is there a way to upgrade Indo-Russian economic and technological ties and make geopolitical and security interaction more effective, while not upending India’s connections with the United States, and Russia’s with China?
India has been embroiled in a foreign policy crisis with China, after violent clashes along their mountainous border. But if Delhi really wants to get tough with Beijing, it must first ensure its economy is in fighting shape.
Although India holds strategic reserves of crude oil and food, it entered the coronavirus pandemic with severe shortages of essential medical equipment.
The Indian government’s COVID-19 economic package is smaller than the government is touting, and cloaked in a lot of self-reliance rhetoric that multinationals hear as protectionism. A slow economic recovery may hurt the BJP at the state level, but is unlikely to nationally.
While Prime Minister Modi’s handling of the COVID-19 outbreak in India is not going without criticism, he retains the political advantage over the opposition. He is likely to push the burden of responsibility to the states.
Covid-19 measures prevent large gatherings during the upcoming state elections, pushing more campaigns online. The BJP has a more pervasive presence online, but opposition parties like Congress are catching up.
Once again, Chinese and Indian forces find themselves locked into a tense border standoff. That the latest encounters are occurring at multiple locations along the Line of Actual Control suggests a high degree of Chinese premeditation and approval for the military’s activities from the very top.
With the United States set to leave Afghanistan, India’s involvement there may be at risk. India needs to update its priorities to prepare for this change.