Azerbaijan has long been an island of unchanging continuity, but a generational overhaul is underway. With mounting expectations and a resurgent opposition, 2020 will be a testing year for Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev.
The political dynamics of the wider European space have changed dramatically in recent years. The directions of democratic influence now run multiple ways, and the core assumptions underpinning EU democracy support policies need to be rethought.
Syria’s Armenians risk losing their identity and language as they move to the Republic of Armenia.
Mass protests garner significant attention, but what happens next is just as vital for achieving real and lasting change.
Any future effort to revise the regional order in post-Soviet Europe and Eurasia must address the region’s protracted conflicts. It will be impossible to address the other disputes over the security architecture and economic integration without parallel steps on the conflicts.
The Georgian breakaway region of Abkhazia is under pressure. As Georgian-Russian relations suffer a downturn, Abkhazia risks becoming closed off from the outside world just like South Ossetia.
The recent events have both damaged the Georgian government’s domestic legitimacy and spelled an end to its thaw with Russia.
There has been a global transformation of political and civic activism, with innovative new forms and often dramatic impact, even in the face of widespread efforts by governments to limit civic and political space.
On the tenth anniversary of the Eastern Partnership, dilemmas inherent in the policy design still remain unchanged.
The Eastern Partnership was designed to tie the Eastern neighbors to the EU, keep Russia out, and EU membership off the table. These objectives have been achieved—but the region has become neither more stable nor secure.