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The United Kingdom looks certain to remain in the EU at least into the summer of 2019—and, very possibly, indefinitely.
Social cohesion in many European countries is fraying as the impact of globalization and all its attributes undermine governing.
At this crucial juncture in the Brexit process, the United States should concentrate its efforts on avoiding a no-deal situation while weighing in on particular issues of clear U.S. interest.
A multitude of challenges confront the EU in 2019. How European leaders address these developments over the course of the next year will have far-reaching consequences.
The UK has traditionally played a prominent role in European defense, serving as the bridge to Washington. The combined effect of Brexit and Trump will created new challenges and consequently new opportunities.
The chances of a new Brexit referendum sometime in 2019 are growing—as is the possibility that the UK will not, in the end, leave the EU at all.
If the talks for the UK’s exit from the European Union fall apart, it could precipitate a major crisis for Britain’s government and Parliament.
Closing this round of Brexit talks requires concessions from either the UK or the EU that neither side can politically afford without first demonstrating that no other solution is possible.
Whatever happens in the next few weeks, implementing Brexit could make the UK a rule-taker, not a rule-maker, perhaps indefinitely.
The EU’s most important leaders are hobbled by domestic crises, leaving the bloc almost rudderless to deal with major foreign and security policy issues.
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