The smart way to proceed would be to keep the world’s powers united and the burden of proof on Iran.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s doctrine aims to oppose former U.S. President Barack Obama’s foreign policy, and the Iran deal is one of Obama’s signature foreign policy legacies.
Instead of putting the JCPOA in jeopardy, the United States would be well advised to permit the implementation of the agreement to go forward and, together with other parties, encourage the IAEA to vigorously pursue its obligations under the agreement.
If Donald Trump fails to recertify the nuclear deal with Iran, Congress faces a strategic choice on sanctions.
Gary Samore discusses the nuclear deal with Iran and says its flaws may eventually be corrected.
Over three decades of bipartisan consensus on American foreign policy toward Iran is being undone by the JCPOA, which stands a legitimate risk of being axed despite being successful in taking away the immediate threat of an Iranian bomb.
Fundamentally, it seems irrational to leave an agreement that’s working today out of a fixation on potential growth of Iran’s nuclear program more than a decade from now, when such growth could happen tomorrow if we unravel the agreement.
President Trump has the option to not certify Iranian compliance with the nuclear deal, breaking with European allies and signatories of the deal. If the United States chooses to re-impose sanctions, they will do so without international support, leaving empty sanctions against Iran.
As the U.S. and Iran find themselves on opposing sides of conflicts across the region, the Trump administration will decide in the coming weeks if they will recertify the Iran nuclear deal.
Concern over ballistic missiles should not be the impetus for withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal. Ballistic missiles were intentionally left out of the deal because of the lack of international consensus.