A regular survey of experts on matters relating to Middle Eastern and North African politics and security.
The European Union, the most vocal supporter of the JCPOA, does not have the means to uphold the deal in the face of the United States and Iran, the two most crucial signatories, trying to kill it.
Regional connectivity projects give Afghanistan a substantive trading alternative to Pakistan and provide a powerful mechanism for trade and economic development.
Increased tensions between the United States and Iran over the last couple days, along with U.S. President Donald Trump’s calls to end the Iran Nuclear Deal, could put Iran on the same path as North Korea as an imminent threat potentially needing military consideration.
If the United States thrusts aside the nuclear deal with Iran—and uses contrived evidence to do so—the message to North Korea and others will be that America’s word is disposable and Washington cannot be trusted to honor its commitments.
India’s traditionally neutral position in the Middle East has ended with the landmark Israel visit. The future balancing of India’s westward pivot will be determined by a new regional order led assertively be Saudi Arabia, and one which sees Iran as enemy number one.
Recommendations on what the EU can do to maintain the Iran nuclear deal and slowly improve the regional outlook.
The Saudi-Iran rivalry for preeminence in the Middle East is more likely to escalate rather than deescalate in the coming years.
The core U.S. interests in the Persian Gulf are to maintain the free flow of oil, prevent terrorist attacks against the United States, and prevent Iran from establishing its hegemony over the region.
The administration needs to come up with a sensible strategy to confront Iran where it challenges core U.S. interests. But playing around with a nuclear agreement is both irresponsible and dangerous.