Whether the Israel-UAE deal holds and has an enduring impact on the region will depend on several factors.
It should be obvious that the timing of normalization efforts in the Middle East are tied to the political interests of the key players.
Perhaps a more accurate way to evaluate this agreement is the consolidation and formalization of ties that have been in the works, largely subterranean, for a decade or more. But the strategic impact, at least for now, won’t be nearly as consequential as Israel’s peace treaties.
The United Arab Emirates becomes the third Arab state to formally recognize Israel after Egypt and Jordan.
The loss of the Arab world’s commitment to an end of Israel’s occupation as a precondition for Middle East peace will spell the death knell for a negotiated political solution.
The Emirati-Israeli peace agreement will help refocus Palestinian objectives on securing equal rights.
Israel’s plans to annex parts of the West Bank may have been temporarily suspended, but anyone who believes the world is any closer to a negotiation, let alone an agreement to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, is mistaken.
In an interview, Armenak Tokmajyan discusses his recent paper on the Syrian regime’s return to the southern border area.
Spot analysis from Carnegie scholars on events relating to the Middle East and North Africa
As Israelis and Palestinians confront the future, prospects for serious negotiations, or even a conflict-ending solution, look particularly grim.