A fierce debate is raging in China over the best policy for dealing with North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs.
To reduce danger, we need less bombast and better communication.
While the sixth nuclear test did not cross a Chinese “red line”, there are actions North Korea could take that would do so.
The United States needs to reconsider its objective of denuclearizing North Korea and its demand for denuclearization before dialogue in order to solve the North Korea dilemma that it faces.
Amid escalating tensions, South Koreans have begun voicing their concerns about a nuclear-armed North Korea-and debating bringing U.S. tactical nuclear weapons back to the Korean peninsula.
Washington and Pyongyang will eventually need to resume direct talks. With neither party ready for that yet, at first secret contacts will have to be organized in third countries. In the meantime, de-escalation is the order of the day, and Russia one of its unlikely brokers.
Two veteran diplomats deeply involved with the last set of intense negotiations with North Korea will discuss their experiences and consider options in light of today’s dynamics, and will be joined by both U.S. and Japanese experts.
For a new nuclear state like North Korea, questions concerning strategic implementation abound.
Deterring North Korea is less risky than a preventative war.
Policymakers should adopt a more realistic focus on deterring Pyongyang from using its nuclear weapons rather than pursuing low-probability attempts to denuclearize the peninsula in short order.