Until or unless Seoul abandons or downgrades it, the THAAD system will almost certainly remain a major irritant in China’s relations with its Northeast Asian neighbors for the foreseeable future.
President Trump’s only realistic option for stopping North Korea’s nuclear march is reinvigorated diplomacy, followed by significantly ratcheting up the pressure if it fails.
China’s leaders will focus on maintaining stable relations with the United States in 2017, particularly in the run-up to the 19th Party Congress.
The likelihood of North Korean nuclear and missile tests over the next six months is fairly high if the Trump administration continues the Obama administration’s unsuccessful approach of “strategic patience.”
President-Elect Donald Trump appears to have drawn a red line against North Korea’s acquiring the capability to threaten the United States with a nuclear-armed ballistic missile. Can he enforce it?
This half-day conference brings together experts on North Korea from the United States and Japan to sift through the latest information on North Korea’s economy, military, and society.
The United States is approaching a critical juncture in its policy towards North Korea. However, throwing in the towel on diplomacy is premature until it has been seriously tested, particularly since the downsides of military action are enormous.
The Donald Trump administration is beginning to take shape, but still has a long way to go in identifying personnel and defining policy goals, particularly in Asia.
Donald Trump could have an opportunity early in his presidency to prove his negotiating skills on a serious national-security challenge the United States will confront over the next four years.
Efforts by the United States or China to secure future predominance in the Western Pacific will prove futile and dangerous, given a host of security, economic, and diplomatic factors. Instead, creating a stable de facto balance of power is necessary and feasible for both countries.