Trilateral defense coordination offers Japan, South Korea, and the United States an important avenue to advance their mutual interests and support peace and security in the Asia Pacific.
Whether Pyongyang has the capacity and the resources for large-scale demobilization and reintegration—and is prepared to implement market reforms that would be required to make the most efficient use of these resources—remains an open question.
In the event a peace and security regime for the Korean Peninsula leads to North Korean agreement to reduce its conventional weapons and equipment, Kim may want to convert portions of the North’s defense industries to production of civilian goods.
The stakes for South Korean President Moon Jae-in could not have been higher when U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met in Hanoi in February 2019. The delicate relationship between Trump and Moon provides important context for their upcoming meeting on Thursday, April 11.
America’s dealmaker-in-chief should shed his illusions of a grand bargain with Kim Jong Un and embrace the art of the possible. For clues, President Trump should look at the experience of the Iran nuclear agreement.
Shortly after the success of The Art of the Deal (1987) made Donald Trump a supposed expert on negotiation, he lobbied the George H.W. Bush administration to put him in charge of arms reduction talks with the Soviet Union.
The United Nations North Korea Panel of Experts report released in March confirms that North Korea continues to evade U.N. sanctions. The implementation of financial sanctions remains one of the main challenges for governments and financial institutions around the world.
The United States needs a secretary of state who is tough but pragmatic and who understands that negotiations aren’t zero-sum games but need to be win/win propositions.
It is hard to visualize an enduring peace between North and South Korea that does not include robust measures to reduce the threat of conventional war.
Unpacking the second U.S.-North Korea summit is going to be a long term process but it will be seen as a major turning point—both positively and negatively—on prospects for North Korea’s denuclearization, the extent of inter-Korean détente, and the future of the U.S.-ROK alliance.