It remains to be seen if the Afghan National Army will be able to resist the Taliban, which has already rejected President Ghani’s invitation for peace talks.
As the deadline for withdrawal of U.S. troops in Afghanistan approaches, Afghanistan’s neighbors will have a greater impact on shaping the country’s uncertain future.
The entangled threat of crime, corruption, and terrorism remain important security challenges in the twenty-first century.
If common sense prevails and the West resumes its cooperation with Russia, the consolidated response to security threats in Afghanistan will be far more effective than the current disjointed efforts by various countries.
In 1996, the Taliban seized control of Kabul, Afghanistan, and imposed strict rules for Afghanis. That moment served as a pivot point for the rise of radical Islam and the roots of terrorism still being felt today.
The events in the Middle East in the last few months have muddled the primitive black-and-white picture painted by the advocates for the new Cold War. The modern world presents us with an incredibly complex, conflicting and at times somewhat bizarre picture.
The Afghan government is lacking the type of legitimacy that is required of a government confronting a robust insurgency.
The new Afghan government is unlikely to usher in much of a transition. Ghani and Abdullah or his appointee will preside over a contested and corrupt government, while Karzai will remain in the background.
Pakistan’s army has locked the country in an enduring rivalry with India to revise the maps in Kashmir and to resist India’s slow but inevitable rise. To prosecute these dangerous policies, the army employs non-state actors under the security of its ever-expanding nuclear umbrella.
Jihadist groups operating in Central Asia pose a real threat, but they are not the only or even the primary danger facing the region’s regimes.