A bloody six-week war in Nagorno-Karabakh is over, after a peace agreement brokered by Moscow was signed by the leaders of Azerbaijan and Armenia. As the dust settles, Azerbaijan appears to be the clear winner, while Armenia has suffered a bitter defeat. There are, however, two other powers that have benefited from the conflict and the resolution effort: Turkey and Russia.
The second Karabakh War is seemingly over, and as one side celebrates and another mourns, experts, opinion makers and their ilk are trying to gauge what the Kremlin-brokered, Erdogan-approved truce might bring. How will the power balance change in the region, who are the winners and losers, and, finally, what impact will it have on Georgia? These are the topics GEORGIA TODAY put to one of the Moscow Carnegie Center's most prominent faces, Dmitri Trenin.
In an interview, Alexander Gabuev discusses the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and identifies winners and losers.
The six-week war between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh has ended, shifting the regional landscape in the Caucasus. Yet the fragile peace has come at great cost to Armenia, which feels betrayed by Russia and abandoned the West.
Russia and Turkey have brokered a peace deal for the Nagorny Karabakh conflict that greatly enhances their military presence in a region where they were losing influence.
Nagorny Karabakh remains one of the most tragic and persistent disputes in Europe. Unless Armenia and Azerbaijan conclude that resolving the conflict is more in their common interest than persisting with force or allowing others to resolve it for them, it will likely remain unresolved for another generation.
As the battle between Armenia and Azerbaijan heats up, Russia struggles to contend with a vastly more complicated landscape in the South Caucasus.
With the United States shrugging off its erstwhile role as the world’s policeman, can anyone stop the fierce fighting now raging between Armenia and Azerbaijan?
The European Union’s soft line with Turkey at a recent meeting may ultimately represent a strategic risk.
A new and deadly conflict has broken out between Armenia and Azerbaijan that has already cost hundreds of lives, including those of many civilians, and upended regional stability in the South Caucasus.