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Although Russians are closely watching the demonstrations and regime changes taking place across the Middle East and North Africa, it is the situation in Central Asia that is more likely to affect Russia in the long run.
Russia’s economic performance exceeded expectations in 2010, but inflation continues to worry policy makers. While they are attempting to curb rising prices, they are avoiding other necessary reforms for fear of inciting protests as elections approach.
Mikhail Gorbachev presided over the biggest upheaval in Russia’s history—the fall of the Soviet Union—with surprisingly little bloodshed.
Moscow’s reaction to the current upheaval in Egypt demonstrates the dramatically changed nature of Russian relations with, and presence in, the Middle East.
If Armenians and Azerbaijanis want to resolve their conflict peacefully, they need to start facing up to the acts of violence committed by both sides.
Elements of the Soviet political order remain deeply embedded in modern Russian politics, regardless of whether Lenin’s body remains in its mausoleum in Red Square.
The failure of the international community to recognize the Caucasus and Central Asia as a region with complex internal dynamics complicates efforts to respond to global challenges ranging from energy security and arms proliferation to humanitarian crises.
The South Caucasus, a region with a long history of conflict and failed foreign intervention, would benefit from a paradigm shift in the policies of external actors.
Amid an atmosphere of mistrust and a fragile ceasefire, the conflict around Nagorno-Karabakh could quickly become violent. The international community would be better served to spend extra resources now on preventative diplomacy to prevent tensions from flaring.
In post-Soviet countries, the leaders of national churches are increasingly exercising considerable influence on their populations and pursuing their own social and political agendas.
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