Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Russia has no plans to leave Syria, but is increasingly unwilling to intervene in the country’s domestic affairs, whether militarily or financially.
The International Olympic Committee is seeking ways to allow Russian athletes to compete in the Paris Games. Their participation would give legitimacy to Moscow as it continues to bomb Ukraine.
Perhaps the more effective personnel are in reducing risk at the plant, the less nuclear safety will be threatened by combatants if diplomacy fails to achieve an accord not to attack the plant.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has upended geopolitics in Central Asia, but perhaps nowhere more than in Kazakhstan, where President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has been increasingly emboldened in managing ties with Moscow.
Crimea should not become an inviolable sanctuary for Russian troops, but Washington helping Ukraine to recapture — or even threaten to recapture — Crimea would be unlikely to lead to productive negotiations and could even spark a nuclear war.
Russia is swapping its dollar dependence for reliance on the yuan. Should relations with China deteriorate, Russia may face reserve losses and payment disruptions.
If Russia stomps all over Ukraine and takes it over, it affects the entire international order that we have been living under since World War II.
By using force to try to keep the splintering parts of the once-unified ROC together, Patriarch Kirill is only driving them away.
Plans to provide Ukraine with Western tanks, announced in recent days, indicate that America, Germany and others are settling in for a much longer war. But in a prolonged conflict, far more will perish.
Most of the world has been focused on the brutal kinetic war that has been waged in Ukraine for almost a year. But from day one, this conflict has predominantly been a societal confrontation.