Perhaps the most important thing for the Russian leadership in this episode was to prevent the need to actually go to war against Ukraine in the future. Going overkill in terms of military maneuvers on the Ukrainian border now may avoid the need to do terrible things at a later point.
Donbas should brace itself for a long time in the role of a Russian military protectorate like Transnistria or South Ossetia. Local elites will have to deal with Moscow’s efforts to optimize the region’s administration, while the people there will see the creeping integration of the republics with Russia.
In a region where every aspect of daily life is affected by the war, the degree of trust in local authorities in the Donbas will be a crucial factor in shaping the future.
Donbas is at the intersection of geopolitical, territorial, and cultural conflicts. These tensions are reflected in deep divisions in attitudes about the war and their future territorial status.
Join Carnegie for a timely conversation between Spanish Foreign Minister Arancha González Laya and former U.S. Ambassador to NATO Nicholas Burns, moderated by Steven Erlanger of the New York Times.
The coronavirus has been a wake-up call for global civil society. It will come out of the pandemic looking very different—and this change will be a significant factor in a now highly fluid international politics.
Join us for an in-depth conversation about the increasingly vexed relationship between Russia and its neighbors and the wider geopolitical implications of the crisis in Belarus.
On the precipice of fragmentation, can the world escape further economic downturn by refining existing systems or is more dramatic change necessary?
The temporary freezing of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s declining approval ratings will likely end when Ukraine begins to feel the coronavirus pandemic’s socioeconomic fallout.
Join us for a timely conversation on the implications of the global pandemic response on cybersecurity, privacy, and democracy with Estonian President Kersti Kaljulaid and New York Times national security correspondent David Sanger.