While the Egyptian and Ethiopian dispute over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam has high stakes for local stability, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are well-positioned to play a leading role in mediating the conflict.
In the response to the pandemic, Sisi’s security dominated government has focused on spreading misinformation, propaganda, and repression rather than addressing the health crisis.
Rather than eradicating a jihadist threat, the Egyptian Armed Forces strategy in North Sinai has aimed at containment, perpetuating a decade-old conflict.
Sisi’s government is instrumentalizing the coronavirus pandemic to pass new amendments related to Egypt’s emergency law, only expanding the military’s legal authority nationwide.
The shifting relationships between armies and civil society are revealing new balances within defense structures.
Tunisia’s economic fallout from a coronavirus outbreak and the rise of unemployment claims will further compound social and regional inequalities across the country.
Initial measures from the Moroccan government may have curbed the spread of a viral outbreak for now, but unsustainable policies risk aggravating social precarity and establishing new authoritarian norms.
Egyptians are unlikely to challenge their government over COVID-19 disruptions for now, but President Sisi could be exposed to anger over the longer-term impact of the virus.
Structural shortcomings in Egypt’s health care system, labor market, and economic and social policies curtail the government’s efforts to address a viral outbreak.
Couched as national security measures, a series of new laws and agreements are giving the military economy far-reaching control.
Violent clashes between elements of Sudan’s security forces threaten the country’s progress toward democracy.
Egypt's penal system, defined by severe punishment and pre-trial abuses, impacts the state’s legitimacy, the rise of radicalization, and prospects for a transition.
Russia’s increased involvement in Libya marks a turning point in the conflict, making an Ankara-Kremlin rapprochement all the more likely.
Sisi prioritizes large-scale infrastructure projects to galvanize support, but these projects deepen the military’s hold over the economy and provide no tangible broad economic benefit.
Haftar’s ability to frame coups as “wars on terror” ensures his international support, but masks a destructive manipulation of tribal dynamics.
The EU’s relationship with the Moroccan government reinforces the political status quo at a time when a growing number of Moroccans appear to want change.
As the Sudanese government and the opposition have reached an agreement on a political transition, Moscow focuses on preserving its political and economic influence in Sudan.
The dramatic death of the former president of Egypt, Mohammed Morsi, on June 17th, reignited debate about the future of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and political Islam across the region.
The internal debates over new amendments in Egypt reveal the renewed struggle between the president and the military for political dominance.
Libya’s escalating war is changing political realities, necessitating a new framework for conflict resolution and power sharing.