Egyptians are unlikely to challenge their government over COVID-19 disruptions for now, but President Sisi could be exposed to anger over the longer-term impact of the virus.
Structural shortcomings in Egypt’s health care system, labor market, and economic and social policies curtail the government’s efforts to address a viral outbreak.
Couched as national security measures, a series of new laws and agreements are giving the military economy far-reaching control.
Violent clashes between elements of Sudan’s security forces threaten the country’s progress toward democracy.
Egypt's penal system, defined by severe punishment and pre-trial abuses, impacts the state’s legitimacy, the rise of radicalization, and prospects for a transition.
Russia’s increased involvement in Libya marks a turning point in the conflict, making an Ankara-Kremlin rapprochement all the more likely.
Sisi prioritizes large-scale infrastructure projects to galvanize support, but these projects deepen the military’s hold over the economy and provide no tangible broad economic benefit.
Haftar’s ability to frame coups as “wars on terror” ensures his international support, but masks a destructive manipulation of tribal dynamics.
The EU’s relationship with the Moroccan government reinforces the political status quo at a time when a growing number of Moroccans appear to want change.
As the Sudanese government and the opposition have reached an agreement on a political transition, Moscow focuses on preserving its political and economic influence in Sudan.
The dramatic death of the former president of Egypt, Mohammed Morsi, on June 17th, reignited debate about the future of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and political Islam across the region.
The internal debates over new amendments in Egypt reveal the renewed struggle between the president and the military for political dominance.
Libya’s escalating war is changing political realities, necessitating a new framework for conflict resolution and power sharing.
Backlash against capital punishment in Egypt has reduced the number of executions but led security forces to increase their use of extrajudicial killings and enforced disappearances.
In order to secure its economic interests in Libya, Russia is seeking to bolster Haftar’s influence over a future UN-brokered diplomatic settlement.
Tunisian women’s associations aim to lead efforts to prevent radicalization among women, but insufficient funding and inter-organizational divides hamper their efforts.
Moscow has a stake in ensuring that a negotiated transition in Algeria preserves the political and diplomatic status quo.
Algeria’s recent protests have highlighted existing divisions within the business class that are only likely to widen further.
Cairo hopes that support for Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir will convince Khartoum to make concessions on ongoing disputes and prevent instability from spilling over the border.
Proposed amendments to Egypt’s constitution will enshrine the military’s position above the state by giving it greater legal means to intervene against elected governments and prosecute political opponents.