The recent revival of Sino-Japanese animosity, triggered by bitter disputes over history, territory and maritime natural resources, has the potential not only to derail China’s self-proclaimed goal of a “peaceful rise” but to disrupt healthy momentum towards east Asian economic integration.
Administration officials have settled on a standard answer to questions about their pre-war claims of chemical, biological and nuclear weapons in Iraq: “much of the intelligence turned out to be wrong.” This explanation ignores the central role senior officials had in creating, shaping and selecting the intelligence.
On December 1, 2005, the China Program hosted a discussion of Sino-Japanese relations in conjunction with the release of a Policy Brief, entitled “Simmering Fire in East Asia: Averting Sino-Japanese Strategic Conflict,” by Carnegie's Minxin Pei and Michael Swaine.
Russian foreign policy is now entering a fourth stage. The first three were associated with Foreign Minister Kozyrev, Foreign Minister Primakov, and Putin during his first term. In the first two stages Russia's foreign policy was reactive. In the third Russian foreign policy became more active. Now Putin faces a choice between realpolitik and post-World War II international security cooperation.
On October 28, 2005, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace hosted an off-the-record talk by Taiwanese security expert Dr. Alexander Chieh-cheng Huang. Carnegie Endowment Senior Associate Michael Swaine moderated the discussion.
The U.S. faces potential risks from the prospects of greater destabilization within Russia, from the possible risks of regime collapse in Uzbekistan and Central Asia more generally, and from the chance that the frozen conflicts in the south Caucasus could “thaw.”
There is nothing remarkable about polls showing Americans wondering whether the recent Iraq war was "worth it." There's always a question. But demanding unmixed results and guarantees against the unintended consequences of war is as unrealistic as demanding absolute confidence in the "necessity" of going to war in the first place.
Jessica Mathews plays director of national intelligence in Atlantic-sponsored war game.
The Carnegie China Program invited Andrew Yang of the Taipei-based Chinese Council of Advanced Policy Studies to analyze recent developments in cross-Strait relations and their implications for the future stability of the Taiwan Strait. Michael Swaine of the Carnegie Endowment commented on the presentation and moderated the discussion.
A discussion on the lessons offered by America's past management of its global interests. Discussants examined whether the current organization of U.S. foreign policy around the War on Terror and democracy promotion is sustainable or whether a new set of concerns should be considered.