Defense and Security

    • Commentary

    A Vicious Sino-Japanese Cycle of Rhetoric

    The recent revival of Sino-Japanese animosity, triggered by bitter disputes over history, territory and maritime natural resources, has the potential not only to derail China’s self-proclaimed goal of a “peaceful rise” but to disrupt healthy momentum towards east Asian economic integration.

    • Research

    Tortured Truths

    Administration officials have settled on a standard answer to questions about their pre-war claims of chemical, biological and nuclear weapons in Iraq: “much of the intelligence turned out to be wrong.” This explanation ignores the central role senior officials had in creating, shaping and selecting the intelligence.

    • Event

    A Simmering Fire in East Asia

    On December 1, 2005, the China Program hosted a discussion of Sino-Japanese relations in conjunction with the release of a Policy Brief, entitled “Simmering Fire in East Asia: Averting Sino-Japanese Strategic Conflict,” by Carnegie's Minxin Pei and Michael Swaine.

    • Event

    Russian Foreign Policy: A New Stage of Development

    Russian foreign policy is now entering a fourth stage. The first three were associated with Foreign Minister Kozyrev, Foreign Minister Primakov, and Putin during his first term. In the first two stages Russia's foreign policy was reactive. In the third Russian foreign policy became more active. Now Putin faces a choice between realpolitik and post-World War II international security cooperation.

    • Event

    Security Through Procurement? The Debate Over Taiwan's Defense Spending

    On October 28, 2005, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace hosted an off-the-record talk by Taiwanese security expert Dr. Alexander Chieh-cheng Huang. Carnegie Endowment Senior Associate Michael Swaine moderated the discussion.

    • Testimony

    Russia, Central Asia and Caucasian Threats: A Four Year Assessment

    • Martha Brill Olcott
    • September 22, 2005
    • Testimony prepared for the House Committee on Armed Services (HASC) Threat Panel Hearing on Threat In Eurasia

    The U.S. faces potential risks from the prospects of greater destabilization within Russia, from the possible risks of regime collapse in Uzbekistan and Central Asia more generally, and from the chance that the frozen conflicts in the south Caucasus could “thaw.”

    • Commentary

    Whether This War Was Worth It

    There is nothing remarkable about polls showing Americans wondering whether the recent Iraq war was "worth it." There's always a question. But demanding unmixed results and guarantees against the unintended consequences of war is as unrealistic as demanding absolute confidence in the "necessity" of going to war in the first place.

    • Commentary

    North Korea: The War Game

    • Scott Stossel
    • June 01, 2005
    • Atlantic

    Jessica Mathews plays director of national intelligence in Atlantic-sponsored war game.

    • Event

    Recent Developments Across the Taiwan Strait: A View from Taipei

    The Carnegie China Program invited Andrew Yang of the Taipei-based Chinese Council of Advanced Policy Studies to analyze recent developments in cross-Strait relations and their implications for the future stability of the Taiwan Strait. Michael Swaine of the Carnegie Endowment commented on the presentation and moderated the discussion.

    • Event

    Foreign Policy in the Age of Ambiguity: How the Future Will Differ From the Past

    A discussion on the lessons offered by America's past management of its global interests. Discussants examined whether the current organization of U.S. foreign policy around the War on Terror and democracy promotion is sustainable or whether a new set of concerns should be considered.

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