Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
In the coming years, both sides are certain to seek advantages through intelligence collection, military posturing and other moves, but each side also has a vital interest in preventing an unintended spiral of escalation that could end in catastrophe.
The war can continue along three possible scenarios: a stalemate, Ukraine wins, or Russia wins. For now, a Ukrainian breakthrough in the south of the country could be as likely to trigger a dramatic escalation of the war as to end it.
Africa is becoming a battlefield of artificial narratives. The Kremlin pretends it is creating a “second front” and challenging the rules-based order, while the West feigns concern over the Kremlin’s actions there, while knowing perfectly well that the main threat to its interests in the region is actually China.
If the Europeans end up securing relative peace for Armenia and corroborate Azerbaijan’s border encroachments, it will be undeniable that Russia is not the only force Yerevan can rely on.
The EU’s economic clout makes it an important partner for both Washington and Beijing. But Europe lacks internal unity to effectively respond to U.S.-Chinese competition.
One year after the latest stage of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine began, there is still no sign of an end to the war. Despite the unanimity in supporting Kyiv in both Europe and the United States, the political consensus on stepping up assistance is not solid enough.
Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland joins Aaron David Miller to talk about the Biden administration's Ukraine policy and the future of the Russia-Ukraine war.
A full year into Russia’s full-scale invasion, an end to this war is not in sight.
The relationship between mineral deposits, conflict vulnerable zones, and high biodiversity areas creates interconnected risks to geopolitical and climate stability.
Please join Robert Zoellick, Susan Glasser, and Melvyn Leffler for a discussion of Leffler’s new book, Confronting Saddam Hussein, moderated by Chris Chivvis, director of the Carnegie Endowment American Statecraft Program.