Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Every time Russia has conflicts with the West and becomes more isolated and toxic, Uzbekistan understands that it needs to replace Russia where it's possible.
Russia is a far smaller economy and China is a stronger partner, but the war has exacerbated this trend. Russia is fairly isolated from its ties with the West and it has to turn to China, which gives China an increasing amount of leverage.
Many Russians are not aware of the situation on the front lines. For them it is still a special military operation happening somewhere in Ukraine.
This particular war is the latest attack from Azerbaijan on Armenia, in this case on Armenia's international borders, really makes it difficult, rattles the already ongoing peace process that was created, that was put in place after the 2020 war.
NPR's A Martinez talks to Paul Stronski of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how Russia's war with Ukraine is reshaping the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict.
While Yerevan seems to be in a weaker position and interested in negotiations, Baku is seeking to assert its advantage. The outbreak of a new conflict on Europe's borders would clearly be detrimental to EU security.
There's no doubt about it that the consensus among most countries is that the war will drag on but maybe it could be shortened if Ukraine could get a victory.
Ankara’s relationship with Moscow is becoming directly linked to his bid to win the Turkish elections in 2023. Meanwhile, a disruptive Turkey within NATO and President Erdogan’s continued balancing act with the Kremlin offer Putin a strategic advantage.
The framing of the document and initiative, which is around a partnership with African countries, is motivated by some of these global shifts. So, there's particularly an acknowledgment that Africa is important to U.S. global priorities which is really not the case in the past.
For much of the 20th century, the United States has toggled between two foreign policy impulses: to actively insert itself in the affairs of the world or to hang back and focus on its own domestic issues.