If separatist Transnistria is deprived of the cheap Russian gas that keeps its economy afloat, it would hand Moldova a historic opportunity to reunify the country.
Galiya Ibragimova is an Uzbekistan-born freelance journalist and researcher who examines political transformation of Central Asian and Eastern European states. Galiya is also a Ph.D. Candidate in political science (University of World Economy and Diplomacy, Tashkent).
If separatist Transnistria is deprived of the cheap Russian gas that keeps its economy afloat, it would hand Moldova a historic opportunity to reunify the country.
The issue of relations with Russia and the European Union is firmly back at the heart of electoral politics in Moldova.
A spate of arrests in Tajikistan come as President Emomali Rahmon prepares to step down in favor of his son.
The pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and an anti-migrant crackdown mean Russia is an increasingly unattractive destination for Central Asian laborers. Some are looking instead to other Asian and European countries.
Having lost much of its support among Moldovans following its invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin is prepared to use the Gagauzia region to destabilize the situation in Moldova and undermine its pro-EU president, Maia Sandu.
Not only will reabsorbing the breakaway region be expensive and complicated, but Russia is unlikely to cede its influence without a fight.
Infighting over the succession and growing frustration in the regions could shatter the stability that the Tajik president has been building for so many years.
Sensing the changing mood, many left-wing parties and politicians in Moldova have begun criticizing the war and reversing their pro-Russian positions.
Russia’s aggression against Ukraine is helping to consolidate Moldovan society in favor of EU integration and emancipation from Moscow, and no future leadership will be able to ignore that consensus.
The power transfer in Turkmenistan from father to son and back again is a stark example of how fragile the process of transition can be in authoritarian systems, even when the ideal conditions have been created.