Security concerns are reshaping the economic and foreign policy trajectories of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia. As these nations navigate complex choices about their future paths, the EU should recognize the geostrategic importance of the South Caucasus and strengthen its ties with the region.
Putin’s war on Ukraine marks the end of the near abroad—the idea that Russia enjoys a special status in much of the post-Soviet space. But while Russia’s neighbors are seeking greater independence, they are not necessarily turning West.
Armenia is facing its most precarious moment in three decades. The loss of Karabakh, a region with a centuries-old history of Armenian habitation and heritage, will reverberate for generations.
Azerbaijan's use of force in Nagorno Karabakh has reignited violence in the long-running conflict between Baku and Yerevan.
By launching a military offensive in Nagorny Karabakh, President Aliyev forfeited the trust of Europeans. Azerbaijan’s status as a transport hub cannot be a reason for the EU to go soft on Baku.
Shifting alliances and the potential of a mass exodus could turn the conflict into a humanitarian disaster.
Prime Minister Pashinyan is taking risks to address his country’s long-running disputes and overdependence on Russia. But much of what happens next depends on Azerbaijan.
