Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center Research

Recent Articles & Papers
paper
Borders Without a Nation: Syria, Outside Powers, and Open-Ended Instability

In Syria’s border regions, changes in demographics, economics, and security mean that an inter-Syrian peace process will require consensus among main regional powers that Syria must remain united, that no one side can be victorious, and that perennial instability threatens the region.

research
The Military and Private Business Actors in the Global South: The Politics of Market Access

The interaction of national armed forces and private business sectors offers a useful lens for viewing the politics of numerous countries of the so-called Global South. A rising trend of military political activism—often accompanied by military commercial activity—underlines the importance of drivers and outcomes in these relationships.

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How Gulf States Are Reinterpreting National Security Beyond Their Land Borders

Gulf states such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE have determined that their national security goes beyond their physical borders. It is just as important to shield their airspace, territorial waters, and even maritime trade routes.

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paper
Borders Without a Nation: Syria, Outside Powers, and Open-Ended Instability

In Syria’s border regions, changes in demographics, economics, and security mean that an inter-Syrian peace process will require consensus among main regional powers that Syria must remain united, that no one side can be victorious, and that perennial instability threatens the region.

· September 10, 2024
research
The Military and Private Business Actors in the Global South: The Politics of Market Access

The interaction of national armed forces and private business sectors offers a useful lens for viewing the politics of numerous countries of the so-called Global South. A rising trend of military political activism—often accompanied by military commercial activity—underlines the importance of drivers and outcomes in these relationships.

· August 19, 2024
article
How Gulf States Are Reinterpreting National Security Beyond Their Land Borders

Gulf states such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE have determined that their national security goes beyond their physical borders. It is just as important to shield their airspace, territorial waters, and even maritime trade routes.

· August 1, 2024
Fighters affiliated with Syria's "Hayat Tahrir al-Sham" (HTS) rebel-group display drugs previously seized at a checkpoint they control in Daret Ezza, in the western countryside of the northern Aleppo province, on April 10, 2022
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Border Traffic: How Syria Uses Captagon to Gain Leverage Over Saudi Arabia

Bashar al-Assad’s regime has used the drug partly as a means of ensuring that Syria is reintegrated into the Arab world, allowing its leadership to reinforce its position after years of isolation and conflict.

· July 9, 2024
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Climate Vulnerability in Libya: Building Resilience Through Local Empowerment

Libya’s climate-vulnerable regions of Jabal Nafusa, Fezzan, and Jabal Akhdar underscore the important role played by civil society and municipalities in protecting marginalized communities.

· June 6, 2024
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The GCC’s Multipolar Pivot: From Shifting Trade Patterns to New Financial and Diplomatic Alliances

The Gulf Cooperation Council has shifted its energy export focus to Asia, particularly India and China. This is part of a broader shift as GCC members look to expand their geopolitical alliances away from the West.

  • Alexandre Kateb
· May 28, 2024
Line of cars drive through Amman surrounded by fog/smog
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Assessing Climate Vulnerabilities in Amman City

How Jordan’s capital city articulates its policies responding and adapting to the climate crisis.

  • Reem Halaseh
· May 23, 2024
Ali Salih Atta, 84, who owns a farm in the Ajlun Governorate that includes the oldest olive trees in Jordan, close to the Jordan River, walks in his grove on September 25, 2023. (Photo by KHALIL MAZRAAWI/AFP via Getty Images)
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Vulnerability and Governance in the Context of Climate Change in Jordan

Through concerted efforts to strengthen adaptive capacity in the socioeconomic and urban sectors, Jordan can improve its prospects for resilience and prosperity in the face of climate change.

· May 16, 2024
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Pension Reform in Lebanon: Good Intentions, Uncertain Outcomes

Amid an ongoing economic and fiscal crisis, Lebanon’s Parliament has approved a major reform to the country’s pension system. But it is likely to face challenges related to benefits, solvency, and coverage.

· May 15, 2024
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On the Margins: Civil Society Activism and Climate Change in Egypt

Egypt’s official climate resilience plans highlight a key role for civil society. But empowered, networked, and resourced nonstate advocates face tangible obstacles.

  • Dina Zayed
· May 2, 2024