Douglas H. Paal

Vice President for Studies
Paal previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.


PhD, History and East Asian Languages, Harvard University
AM, AB, Chinese Studies and Asian History, Brown University 


Chinese; Japanese


Douglas H. Paal is vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International (2006–2008) and was an unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan (2002–2006). He was on the National Security Council staffs of Presidents Reagan and George H. W. Bush between 1986 and 1993 as director of Asian Affairs and then as senior director and special assistant to the president.

Paal held positions in the policy planning staff at the State Department, as a senior analyst for the CIA, and at U.S. embassies in Singapore and Beijing. He has spoken and published frequently on Asian affairs and national security issues.

  • Op-Ed China Daily September 14, 2015 中文
    China, United States Need to Deal with Vital Issues First

    Instead of focusing on Chinese activities in the South China Sea, cyberspace, and the currency markets during the upcoming state visit of President Xi Jinping to the United States, the leaders should discuss the health of the global economy.

  • Op-Ed National Interest June 18, 2015 中文
    Why Congress Must Pass the TPP

    If America is to save its leading role in Asian politics, diplomacy, and security, it has to modernize the economic underpinnings of that role or suffer marginalization.

  • Article June 11, 2015 中文
    Why Hong Kong’s Challenges Matter

    In Hong Kong, a seemingly irresistible force—the expectation of democratic representation—appears to have met an immovable object.

  • Year in Crisis December 10, 2014 Русский 中文
    The World in 2015

    Our take on the year ahead.

  • Op-Ed China U.S. Focus November 14, 2014
    Xi-Obama Meeting: U.S.-China Relations Off to a More Promising Start

    After more than a year of increasingly scratchy relations between the United States and China, Presidents Barack Obama and Xi Jinping managed to strike a markedly improved tone and announce some accomplishments at the Asia Pacific Economic Forum meeting in Beijing.

  • Q&A November 6, 2014 中文
    Obama Is Back in Asia

    With fears mounting that Washington has lost focus on Asia, Obama’s summit-filled trip to the region is an opportunity to reconnect with leaders and chart a clear course.

  • Q&A August 14, 2014 Русский 中文
    Is the World Falling Apart?

    The world can be an awfully dangerous and unpredictable place.

  • Q&A March 27, 2014 Русский 中文
    What Are the Global Implications of the Ukraine Crisis?

    Russia’s annexation of Crimea and possible future incursions into eastern Ukraine could reshape the geopolitical map of Europe and derail cooperation between Moscow and the West for years to come.

  • How Does the Ukraine Crisis Impact China?
    Article March 24, 2014 中文
    How Does the Ukraine Crisis Impact China?

    Beijing has struck an ambivalent posture regarding the Ukrainian crisis and the severing of Crimea, but it is not hurting China’s interests.

  • Article February 5, 2014 中文
    Action Needed in Northeast Asia

    The Korean Peninsula is an increasingly dangerous, unstable place, and more provocations from Pyongyang are likely. It is time for responsible officials to show initiative.

  • CCTV September 27, 2015
    On President Xi’s U.S. Visit

    During his visit to the United States, President Xi conveyed to Chinese audiences that he could handle China’s most important bilateral relationship and reassured U.S. counterparts that Beijing understands contentious issues and will not ignore them.

  • CNBC September 22, 2015
    Will Xi’s State Visit Change U.S.-China Ties?

    What can the global community expect ahead of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s state visit to the United States?

  • NPR’s All Things Considered June 23, 2015
    U.S., China Face Tensions at the 7th Strategic and Economic Dialogue

    Xi Jinping’s upcoming summit visit to the United States in September will be on the minds of political figures throughout the Strategic and Economic Dialogue.

  • CCTV America December 5, 2014
    On the Zhou Yongkang Arrest

    It remains to be seen what Zhou’s arrest means for China’s anti-corruption campaign.

  • Russia Today November 15, 2014
    CrossTalk: World Without West

    As the world pivots to Asia, China has its own plans for this vast region.

  • RT’s Worlds Apart July 10, 2014
    Pivot Off-Balance?

    The U.S. rebalance toward East Asia is an effective strategy to unite diplomacy, economics and trade, and security in a critical and fast-growing region of the world.

  • CCTV America May 16, 2014
    Impact of the U.S. Pivot on the Asia Pacific Region

    The Obama administration’s pivot to Asia has not emboldened America’s regional partners, nor has U.S. reluctance to directly intervene in territorial disputes signaled waning support for U.S. allies.

  • CCTV America March 10, 2014
    Upcoming Highlights for the NPC

    The driving motivation behind the decision by the National People’s Congress to set the growth target at 7.5 percent is their desire to guarantee full employment.

  • Australia Network News February 17, 2014
    China-Taiwan Relations Warming Up

    The meeting between officials representing China and Taiwan is an important symbolic milestone and reflects broad progress in in improving cross-strait relations.

  • CCTV America January 3, 2014
    Weaknesses and Strengths of U.S.-China Ties

    It will take time and hard work to dispel the mistrust which currently characterizes U.S.-China relations.

  • September 9, 2015 Washington, DC 中文
    The Future of U.S.–South Korea Relations

    The U.S.–South Korea relationship is one of enduring friendship and mutual respect, but is nonetheless challenged by events, especially those involving North Korea.

  • July 15, 2015 Washington, DC 中文
    The Future of the U.S.-Korea Alliance and Northeast Asia

    The U.S.-ROK relationship has evolved from a strategic alliance designed to deter aggression from North Korea into a “comprehensive strategic alliance,” expanding well beyond the security realm. But this broader vision of the alliance is still in development.

  • March 24, 2015 Washington, DC 中文
    Taiwan’s Economic Role in the Asia-Pacific

    Taiwan’s economy is at the forefront of the IT revolution, plays an important role in the global supply chain, and partners successfully with American firms. It is actively extending its economic role in the Asia-Pacific to participate in regional economic integration.

  • February 27, 2015 Washington, DC 中文
    Wendy Sherman on Northeast Asia

    Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman spoke about how the United States has worked with partners and allies to build a peaceful and prosperous post-war order in Northeast Asia, and the future of U.S. policy in the region.

  • December 5, 2014 Washington, DC 中文
    Decoding Taiwan’s “Nine-In-One” Election Results

    As Taiwan gears up for its regional “nine-in-one” elections, which will select candidates for a slew of municipal and local offices, many campaigns have focused on local issues. However, interested observers will endeavor to draw larger implications for the 2016 presidential and legislative elections.

  • October 23, 2014
    Forging Cooperative U.S.-China Relations in an Increasingly Complex International Environment

    China and the United States should work closely together to develop comprehensive bilateral solutions to twenty-first century governance challenges.

  • October 23, 2014
    China’s Evolving Foreign Policy and Global Role

    The world order is changing amid a host of global challenges and Sino-U.S. bilateral relations are evolving in response to China’s growing capabilities and assertiveness.

  • September 8, 2014 Washington, DC 中文
    Admiral Greenert on the Asia-Pacific Rebalance

    China’s Navy is embarking on “new historic missions” that reflect China’s interest in expanding its operational reach and global influence. From cooperative piracy patrols in the Gulf of Aden, to China’s first participation in the Rim of the Pacific naval exercise, the U.S. and Chinese Navies are expanding the boundaries of their burgeoning relationship.

  • July 28, 2014 Washington, DC 中文
    Nuclear Politics on the Korean Peninsula

    The evolving security environment around the Korean Peninsula presents new challenges and opportunities for addressing the North Korean nuclear threat.

  • July 15, 2014 Washington, DC 中文
    The UK in the Asian Century

    The UK’s future in Asia extends far beyond China. Going beyond mutually beneficial bilateral relations, the UK is focused on reinforcing a multi-faceted approach encompassing business, security, and values.

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