Douglas H. Paal

Vice President for Studies
Paal previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.
 

Education

PhD, History and East Asian Languages, Harvard University
AM, AB, Chinese Studies and Asian History, Brown University 

Languages

Chinese; Japanese

 

Douglas H. Paal is vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International (2006–2008) and was an unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan (2002–2006). He was on the National Security Council staffs of Presidents Reagan and George H. W. Bush between 1986 and 1993 as director of Asian Affairs and then as senior director and special assistant to the president.

Paal held positions in the policy planning staff at the State Department, as a senior analyst for the CIA, and at U.S. embassies in Singapore and Beijing. He has spoken and published frequently on Asian affairs and national security issues.

  • Report May 3, 2013
    China’s Military and the U.S.-Japan Alliance in 2030: A Strategic Net Assessment

    The first and only unclassified strategic net assessment of the future impact of China’s growing military power on Japan and the United States.

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  • Article May 1, 2013
    Malaysian Elections: Preserving Najib’s Gains

    Prime Minister Najib Razak has fundamentally repositioned Malaysia internationally. Regardless of the outcome of upcoming elections, the gains made must be preserved.

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  • Why Xi Is Going to Moscow First
    Article March 18, 2013 中文
    Why Xi Is Going to Moscow First

    Xi Jinping’s first foreign trip as China’s president reflects the remarkable progress made in the Chinese-Russian relationship. But potential pitfalls remain.

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  • Q&A March 13, 2013 中文
    The Xi Presidency

    China’s new leaders will stay focused on domestic issues. With its growing relative economic and military advantages, China is largely comfortable with its current foreign policies.

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  • Article February 14, 2013 中文
    North Korea: No Rush to React to Nuke Test

    The United States needs to take a patient, measured approach in dealing with North Korea and persuading China to clamp down on Pyongyang.

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  • Op-Ed China Daily December 24, 2012
    Sino-U.S. Ties Need New Approach

    The United States and China must find ways to cooperate if the rebalance of American policy toward Asia is to succeed.

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  • Global Ten November 29, 2012 中文
    A New Great-Power Relationship With Beijing

    The United States and China must find ways to cooperate if the rebalance of American policy toward Asia is to succeed.

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  • Q&A October 16, 2012 中文
    Territorial Disputes in Asian Waters

    Asia needs to first get past leadership transitions and elections and then give measured diplomacy a chance to cool tensions over disputed territories in Asian waters.

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  • Q&A October 3, 2012 中文
    New Leaders, New China?

    Fresh faces in China's leadership will hopefully usher in the economic and political reforms that China needs and loosen the state’s grip on society.

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  • Shintaro Ishihara
    Article September 29, 2012 中文
    Japan-China: Time to Climb Down

    Japan and China should defuse tensions over the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands in the East China Sea.

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More
  • BBC World News April 11, 2013
    North Korea Missile Threat

    In China, Kerry needs to focus on the broader context of the U.S.-China strategic relationship and how North Korea will harm this relationship.

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  • China Forum April 4, 2013
    The 12th National People's Congress: New Leaders, New Policies, New Priorities

    China watchers are looking at the new generation of leaders to assess their policy leanings and appetite for political and economic reform.

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  • BBC World News February 19, 2013
    Chinese Hacking

    Recent hacking attempts against the United States likely couldn't have penetrated the Great Firewall in such volume without some support by the Chinese government.

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  • RTE News February 17, 2013
    Reassessing North Korea's Strategic Value

    Pressure from Japan, South Korea, and the United States may be forcing China to reassess North Korea's strategic value.

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  • CCTV December 21, 2012
    China and the United States in a New Phase

    Building mutual trust between the United States and China will be a decades-long process that is dependent on good governance and each country's economic development.

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  • RTE News September 20, 2012
    Doug Paal on South China Sea

    Countries involved in South China Sea disputes should refrain from nationalist rhetoric and focus on diplomatic negotiations that promote shared interests.

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  • PBS Newshour September 18, 2012
    National Pride is at Heart of China and Japan Dispute Over Islands

    The current tension between Japan and China is as much about national pride as it is about potential natural resources.

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  • United States China
    CNTV September 5, 2012
    Secretary Clinton's Visit to Beijing

    Disputes over the South China Sea and China's upcoming leadership transitions should not affect the continuity of U.S.-China relations.

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  • BBC World News August 20, 2012
    Gu Kailai And Corruption in China

    Gu Kailai’s murder trial has placed a spotlight on corruption in the higher echelons of the Chinese government.

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  • Madeleine Brand Show December 19, 2011
    Death of North Korea's Leader Brings Hope, Fears of Instability

    The death of Kim Jong Il marks the beginning of a succession process that may last months or even years, as his son and designated heir Kim Jong Un attempts to consolidate power among the ruling elite.

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More
  • April 24, 2013 Washington, DC 中文
    China’s First Steps Since the National People’s Congress

    China’s new leadership has taken shape since November and March but programmatic policy statements are not expected until around the time of the Third Plenum of the Central Committee in the autumn.

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  • April 16, 2013 Washington, DC
    Assessing Taiwanese President Ma’s Message to America

    As Taiwan peacefully manages its differences with mainland China, it seeks dignity within the international system and believes it can play a positive role supporting its close unofficial relationship with the United States.

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  • April 2, 2013 Washington, DC
    A New Strategic Roadmap for Sino-American Relations

    China’s 12th National People’s Congress has concluded and Xi Jinping assumed the presidency of a country that is at a domestic crossroads and is simultaneously a rising international power.

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  • October 18, 2012 Washington, D.C.
    China and the Pivotal 18th Party Congress: Problems and Prospects

    The 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will convene on November 8, 2012, at which time seven of the nine Politburo Standing Committee members will retire, a new Central Committee will be elected, and Xi Jinping is expected to assume the presidency after a decade of preparation.

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  • September 13, 2012 Washington, D.C. 中文
    Forging U.S.-China Relations with Ambassador Gary Locke

    In recent decades, the world has witnessed an unprecedented degree of engagement between United States and China. More active cooperation between the two largest economies in Asia-Pacific will be crucial for both regional and global development.

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  • September 7, 2012 Washington, D.C. 中文
    How Can China Rebalance?

    Although China's government seems serious about rebalancing the country's economy away from its over-reliance on investment, historical precedents suggest that this will be very difficult.

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  • July 13, 2012 Washington, D.C.
    The Prospects and Challenges of Cross-Strait Relations

    With the upcoming U.S. presidential election and the 18th Party Congress in China, both countries are facing an important political year. The political climate in the region is influenced by a number of factors, including both countries' relationships with Taiwan.

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  • May 3, 2012 Washington, D.C. 中文
    Chinese Economy, Coal, and Sino-U.S. Relations

    Mao Yushi, economist and founder of the Unirule Institute for Economics, discussed China’s economic development, the consequences of China’s increasing demand for energy and reliance on coal, and Sino-U.S. relations.

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  • March 21, 2012 Washington, D.C.
    Assessing the National People's Congress

    The Fifth Session of the Eleventh National People’s Congress (NPC) has added significance given the impending anointment of China's next generation of senior leaders at this fall's National Congress of the Communist Party.

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  • "Rebalancing" America's Ties to Asia: An Assessmen
    December 6, 2011 Washington, D.C. 中文
    "Rebalancing" America's Ties to Asia: An Assessment of the Obama Initiative

    While much attention was paid to the competitive aspects of U.S.-China relations during President Obama's recent trip to Asia, the broader consequences and outcomes of the trip are more nuanced.

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More
Source: http://carnegieendowment.org/experts/index.cfm?fa=expert_view&expert_id=397

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