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Russia & Eurasia

Since the end of the Cold War, leading the field on Eurasian security, including strategic nuclear weapons and nonproliferation, development, economic and social issues, governance, and the rule of law.

Presidential Elections in Russia - What's Next?

Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin is facing the most serious challenge since the establishment of his “power vertical.” Tens of thousands of people have taken to the streets across Russia, undeterred by plunging winter temperatures. Moscow is also facing challenges abroad—its recent veto of the United Nations Security Council resolution condemning the Syrian regime has threatened its relations with much of the Arab world, and the U.S.-Russia "reset" appears stuck in neutral.
 
Dmitri Trenin and Ambassador James F. Collins discussed how Russia’s presidential elections will influence its policies.  


 

 
  • Presidential Election in Russia

    The Next Phase of Russia's Awakening

    Russia's Demographic Crisis

    Vladimir Putin’s election as Russia’s president may mark the end of the first phase of Russia’s awakening, but the awakening is not over. A restructuring of the Russian political field has just begun.

    Life After the Russian Presidential Election. Vladimir Putin secured his return to power in Sunday’s Russian presidential election. Though that result came as no surprise, the issue of what will come next for Russia is still an open question.

    Russia: The More Things Change, the More They Stay the Same. Putin's economic agenda offers only more of the same heavy-handed policies that have failed to modernize Russia and made the country more vulnerable to external shocks.

    More on Russia>

  • U.S.-Russia Relations

    Congress Can Stand Up for U.S. Interests in Russia

    President Obama

    Restoration of a Congress-Duma track can send a clear message to Moscow that further improvements in the bilateral relations require progress on the issues of human rights and the rule of law.

  • Russia's Foreign Policy

    The Method to Putin's Syria Maddness

    Syria

    Russia’s intransigence in the face of intense international pressure to halt the violence in Syria is confusing to much of the world, but there are real Russian financial and strategic interests at stake over Syria.

    Russia Softens Stance on Syria.  The Russian government may be changing its attitude towards Syria and penalizing the Assad regime for failing to heed Moscow's advice.

    The Road to Syria Runs Through Moscow. The fact that the Red Cross has appealed to Putin for authorization to provide humanitarian relief to Syria proves that Russia has become an indispensable player in dealing with the Assad regime.


     

  • Eastern Europe

    The Underachiever: Ukraine's Economy Since 1991

    Ukraine

    Ukraine can begin to expose its economy to more foreign competition and investment and truly live up to its potential only if it cracks down on corruption and encourages domestic competition.

    Europe Closes the Door on Belarus. With the latest round of sanctions and the decision to recall ambassadors from Minsk, the European Union has effectively closed the door on Belarus.

    Transnistria Vote Highlights Tension Between Values and Interests. The election of a young reformer to the presidency in the breakaway region of Transnistria is a triumph for democracy, but it does not signal an irrevocable turn towards the West.

    More on Eastern Europe> 

  • 20 Years After the End of the Soviet Union

    How Gogol Explains the Post-Soviet World

    A close reading of classic Russian literature offers an important window onto politics and societies in post-Soviet Russia, Ukraine, and Georgia.

  • Caucasus

    Political Islam in the Caucasus

    Mosque in Grozny

    Islam is increasingly becoming a factor in the politics of the wider Caucasus region. In the south, Azerbaijan is experiencing a growth of religion in politics. Turkey and Iran compete for Islamic influence on their neighbors. In the North Caucasus, Moscow faces an ongoing insurgency that has many Islamic elements. Two panels of Carnegie and outside experts analyzed the current trends and likely responses from governments in the region. 

    President, an Interview, and a Tragic Anniversary. Twenty years ago, the worst episode of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict over Nagorny Karabakh occurred near the small town of Khojali, where more than 400 Azerbaijanis fleeing the town were killed by Armenian soldiers or paramilitary fighters.

    More Than Georgia on Obama's Mind. The Obama administration faces conflicting interests in its relations with Georgia, especially as the United States tries to pursue the reset in its bilateral relationship with Russia.

    More on Caucasus>

  • Central Asia

    Kazakhstan's Political (R)evolution

    Martha Brill Olcott

    Recent violence in Zhanaozen in December has forced Kazakhstan's authorities to rethink political, economic, and social policies. Only time will tell if the changes will have their desired effect, but it is the country's population that will make the ultimate judgment.

    The "Stans" at 20. Twenty years after the Soviet collapse, leaders of the five Central Asian republics have built functioning states but they have yet to fully implement democratic reforms, decentralize and share power, and develop strong intraregional relations.

    Kazakhstan's Soviet Legacy. Legacies of the Soviet era still pervade Kazakhstan, 20 years after independence, and leave most citizens unable to offer a detached judgment of what benefits Kazakhstan might have derived from seven decades of Soviet rule.

    More on Central Asia>

Carnegie Ukraine Program

U.S.-Russia Bilateral Presidential Commission

Featured Event
Friday, December 9, 2011 Washington, D.C.

Public Opinion 20 Years After the Collapse of the Former Soviet Union

Two decades after the fall of the Soviet Union, Russian, Ukrainian, and Lithuanian views of democracy, free markets, and political leadership have changed.

Resources
More Events
  • Friday, November 4, 2011 Washington, D.C.
    Eight Pieces of Empire: A 10-Year Journey Through the Soviet Collapse

    Told in eight parts, Eight Pieces of Empire follows the USSR’s disintegration and its aftermath through two decades of the author’s own reporting from the region.

  • Tuesday, November 29, 2011 Washington, D.C.
    The South Caucasus 20 Years After Independence

    Twenty years after the end of the Soviet Union, the South Caucasus countries can no longer be considered “in transition,” but questions remain about how well they are faring compared to the democratic countries of the European Union or the rising economies of Asia.

  • Wednesday, December 7, 2011 Brussels
    Transforming Belarus: Ways Ahead

    With independent polls indicating that Belarusians neither favor the current government’s course nor see any alternative in the opposition, the status quo must change in favor of the citizens.

Related Publications
  • Global Times, February 5, 2012
    Russia’s Syrian Stance Reasoned but Politically Costly

    Russia's position on Syria is often described as a result of Damascus being Moscow's political ally, a major arms client, and a fellow authoritarian regime, but the reality is more complex.

  • Global Times, January 29, 2012
    Grand Eurasian Alliance Needs More Thought

    While the project of “grand Eurasian alliance” between Russia and China currently appears unworkable, the Sino-Russian strategic partnership is a major boon for both countries and acts as one of the pillars of peace and stability in Asia.

  • Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2011
    Change or Decay: Russia's Dilemma and the West's Response

    Two decades after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the West has yet to adjust to the post-Soviet reality and Russia has not settled on its relationship with the rest of the world.

  • Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2011
    Russia in 2020: Scenarios for the Future

    While Vladimir Putin is unlikely to give up power any time soon, the political and economic system he created is incapable of dealing with Russia’s rapidly changing conditions. Crises are likely unavoidable unless Russia changes and modernizes.

 

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From Carnegie's Global Network

Lebanon Edges Closer to Syrian Crisis

Paul Salem
Thursday, May 17, 2012

As armed clashes last weekend show, north Lebanon is becoming a growing support base for the Syrian revolution. Sunni mobilization in support of the uprising in Syria is mounting and the Lebanese government is losing its ability to maintain its policy of neutrality.

Future Challenges for U.S.-China Relations

Michael D. Swaine, Yan Xuetong, Paul Haenle, John Pomfret, Yuan Peng
Tuesday, April 17, 2012

The U.S. pivot to the Asia-Pacific has created both tension and opportunity in its relations with China.

The EU’s Plan B for Ukraine

Olga Shumylo-Tapiola
Monday, May 14, 2012

Ukraine Relations between Ukraine and the EU have reached their lowest point yet. It could be time for the EU to come up with a new plan.

What Should We Expect During Putin’s Third Term?

Mykola Siruk, Lilia Shevtsova
Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Putin has returned to the Kremlin, but he faces a significantly different Russia, because the country's situation has changed drastically. The previous Putin’s consensus between those in power and society has fallen apart.

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