More Work from Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

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  Commentary

  Emissary

  A Thousand Days After October 7, Washington Still Has No Strategic Plan

  Five major trends are shaping U.S. policy in the Middle East.

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    Daniel C. Kurtzer, Aaron David Miller

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  Paper

  Will American Power in Europe Run Out?

  American power is entrenched in Europe. Yet the depth of this relationship has become a source of unease in Europe and Europeans are working to reduce their exposure to the vicissitudes of U.S. politics wherever they can.

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    Sophia Besch, Tara Varma

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  Paper

  When AI Agents Attack: Autonomous Cyber Operations and Europe’s Governance Gap

  Autonomous AI agents are increasingly prevalent in cyberspace. The EU needs a real-time monitoring strategy, to invest in AI defenses, and to reduce its strategic dependence on U.S. frontier models.

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    Raluca Csernatoni, Patryk Pawlak

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  Paper

  Nuclear Weapons and the Future of American Power

  It seems likely that, no matter what, the power of the U.S. nuclear arsenal will face erosion, not least in the credibility of its commitments to defend allies and the political durability of those alliances.

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    James M. Acton, Ankit Panda

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  Commentary

  Carnegie Politika

  Lukashenko’s Concessions to Kyiv Reflect Russia’s Weakness

  The recent damage inflicted by Ukrainian drones and missiles on Russia has made Belarus aware of its own vulnerabilities—and surprisingly amenable to Kyiv’s demands.

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    Artyom Shraibman