Commentary
Despite slick rhetoric from Taliban spokespeople, Afghanistan’s future under its new rulers is likely to be messy and uncertain.
Rudra Chaudhuri
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REQUIRED IMAGE
Press Release
Afghan warlords-turned-governors offer viable governance
Afghanistan’s weak central government and limited resources make the informal networks employed by local warlords a viable option for governance. The country’s former warlords, made powerful governors by President Hamid Karzai, use both formal and informal powers to achieve security objectives and deliver development in their provinces.
Published on Sep 23, 2009
WASHINGTON, Sept 23—Afghanistan’s weak central government and limited resources make the informal networks employed by local warlords a viable option for governance, concludes a new paper from the Carnegie Endowment. The country’s former warlords, made powerful governors by President Hamid Karzai, use both formal and informal powers to achieve security objectives and deliver development in their provinces.
Based on substantial in-country research and interviews, Dipali Mukhopadhyay examines the performance of two such governors, Atta Mohammed Noor and Gul Agha Sherzai, who govern the northern province of Balkh and the eastern province of Nangarhar, respectively.
Key points:
- Karzai’s reliance on warlord-governors can be attributed in part to the country’s security vacuum and the competing priorities of counterterrorism and state building, but is also part of a longer tradition of accommodation between the center and periphery in Afghanistan.
- The international community should acknowledge that the informal networks employed by warlord-governors have a productive, if less than desirable, role to play in Afghanistan. But, where practicable, they should check the warlords’ power and encourage formal institution building.
- Over time, informal actors like warlord-governors will be influenced by the slow but palpable emergence of effective formal institutions.
“A ‘good enough’ governor, who can demonstrate success in counternarcotics, security, and economic and infrastructural development, becomes a valuable asset in the absence of unlimited resources, troops, and political will,” writes Mukhopadhyay. “Acknowledgment of hybrid governance need not mean the abandonment of formal institutional capacity building on the part of international, intervening organizations. Rather, they must adopt more realistic expectations of formal institutions.”
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NOTES
- Dipali Mukhopadhyay is a doctoral candidate at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy and a Jennings Randolph Dissertation Scholar at the United States Institute of Peace. A former junior fellow in Carnegie’s Nonproliferation Program, Mukhopadhyay is writing her dissertation on state building and provincial governance in Afghanistan, particularly on the role of warlord commanders-turned-provincial governors.
- Mukhopadhyay presented her paper during an event at Carnegie on September 22 with Gilles Dorronsoro, Marvin Weinbaum, and Marina Ottaway. Audio is available here.
- Press Contact: David Kampf, 202/939-2233, dkampf@ceip.org
Carnegie India does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
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