- +18
James M. Acton, Saskia Brechenmacher, Cecily Brewer, …
{
"authors": [
"Eugene Rumer"
],
"type": "legacyinthemedia",
"centerAffiliationAll": "dc",
"centers": [
"Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
],
"collections": [],
"englishNewsletterAll": "",
"nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
"primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
"programAffiliation": "russia",
"programs": [
"Russia and Eurasia"
],
"projects": [],
"regions": [
"Russia",
"Eastern Europe",
"Ukraine"
],
"topics": [
"Security",
"Foreign Policy"
]
}Source: Getty
Ukraine Crisis Hits a New Phase
The Ukraine crisis has reached a new phase that could lead to outright conflict between Ukraine and Russia. However, it is not clear what Russia’s strategy is in Ukraine and what it hopes to achieve.
Source: Bloomberg TV
Speaking on Bloomberg TV, Carnegie’s Eugene Rumer said that the Ukraine crisis has entered a new phase that could potentially lead to outright military conflict between Ukraine and Russia. However, he added, it is unclear what Russia’s political strategy is and what it hopes to achieve by destabilizing the new government in Kiev. Rumer stated that, regardless of Vladimir Putin’s goal, its actions against Ukraine will be detrimental to Russia in the longer term, as Moscow will eventually have to deal with Kiev in some form or another. In the near future, the United States will probably impose more economic sanctions on Russia, and this could do significant damage to the Russian economy. But sanctions are unlikely to dractically alter Russia’s actions, as the Russian leadership now sees the Ukraine crisis as an existential issue, Rumer concluded.
About the Author
Director and Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program
Rumer, a former national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the U.S. National Intelligence Council, is a senior fellow and the director of Carnegie’s Russia and Eurasia Program.
- Unpacking Trump’s National Security StrategyOther
- Europe Must Lead to Prevent the Worst in UkraineCommentary
Nate Reynolds, Eugene Rumer
Recent Work
Carnegie India does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
More Work from Carnegie India
- The Impact of U.S. Sanctions and Tariffs on India’s Russian Oil ImportsCommentary
This piece examines India’s response to U.S. sanctions and tariffs, specifically assessing the immediate market consequences, such as alterations in import costs, and the broader strategic implications for India’s energy security and foreign policy orientation.
Vrinda Sahai
- Military Lessons from Operation SindoorArticle
The India-Pakistan conflict that played out between May 6 and May 10, 2025, offers several military lessons. This article presents key takeaways from Operation Sindoor and breaks down how India’s preparations shaped the outcome and what more is needed to strengthen future readiness.
Dinakar Peri
- India and the Sovereignty Principle: The Disaggregation ImperativeBook
This book offers a comprehensive analysis of India's evolving relationship with sovereignty in a complex global order. Moving beyond conventional narratives, it examines how the sovereignty principle shapes India's behavior across four critical domains—from traditional military power to contemporary data governance.
Rudra Chaudhuri, Nabarun Roy
- NISAR Soars While India-U.S. Tariff Tensions SimmerCommentary
On July 30, 2025, the United States announced 25 percent tariffs on Indian goods. While diplomatic tensions simmered on the trade front, a cosmic calm prevailed at the Sriharikota launch range. Officials from NASA and ISRO were preparing to launch an engineering marvel into space—the NASA-ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR), marking a significant milestone in the India-U.S. bilateral partnership.
Tejas Bharadwaj
- Hidden Tides: IUU Fishing and Regional Security Dynamics for IndiaArticle
This article examines the scale and impact of Chinese IUU fishing operations globally and identifies the nature of the challenge posed by IUU fishing in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR). It also investigates why existing maritime law and international frameworks have struggled to address this growing threat.
Ajay Kumar, Charukeshi Bhatt