As Russia’s relationship with the West has deteriorated, the Kremlin’s view of the Taliban has changed. But substantive economic cooperation will be hard to achieve.
Ruslan Suleymanov
REQUIRED IMAGE
Rhetoric and missile tests may be flying, but for many Indians nuclear war seems a remote prospect. At the height of tensions between India and Pakistan, people in the bustling city of Bangalore, India's answer to California's Silicon Valley, had decided that they were far more concerned about the dismal state of the IT economy than they were concerned about nuclear Armageddon. Fear of nuclear war in this South Indian city is conspicuous in its absence.
Rhetoric and missile tests may be flying, but for many Indians nuclear war seems a remote prospect. At the height of tensions between India and Pakistan, people in the bustling city of Bangalore, India's answer to California's Silicon Valley, had decided that they were far more concerned about the dismal state of the IT economy than they were concerned about nuclear Armageddon. Fear of nuclear war in this South Indian city is conspicuous in its absence.
I just returned from three weeks in Bangalore and even after the Decemeber 13 terrorist attack on India's Parliament, I found no sense of impending nuclear doom. In part, this is due to the city's geographical distance from the actual tension; in part it is because India- Pakistan bickering is par-for-the-course to South Asian ears; in part it is a consequence of thinking that New Delhi's decisions really have little impact on their lives, and in part it reflects a fatalism that characterizes the people.
The reality of a nuclear-armed South Asia has virtually no impact on the daily lives of people here. The 1998 nuclear tests were popular because of the sense of scientific and military accomplishment they provided. The nukes, however, have long lost their ability to enamour the people. And, in what some may view as dangerous naiveté, the bomb has yet to strike terror in the hearts of people who go on with their lives far removed from New Delhi's political and security wrangling over Kashmir. Thus, even with the military build-up along the Line of Control in Kashmir, even as India cut its staff at the Indian embassy in Islamabad, even in the midst of news reports (denied by Islamabad) that Pakistan had moved its missile force to the border, Banglorians continued their daily life largely unaffected and undaunted.
In public and private conversations people voiced vociferous political opinions, of course. They shared the whole country's sense of outrage at what had been attempted on December 13 - a terrorist strike at the heart of Indian democracy. The foiled attack on India's parliament did change some of this city's nonchalance towards Kashmir and "cross-border terrorism." There was some glib talk of "solving" the Kashmir problem once and for all, drawing inevitable comparisons to the American response to September 11. For the most part, however, the people here recognized the need for restraint. There was consternation that this government could find itself trapped in its own rhetoric, leading the country to war. Numerous editorials expressed this fear and called for restraint both in rhetoric and action.
Meanwhile, as Washington worried about the prospect of nuclear war, many in Bangalore worried about their high-tech job prospects, quite oblivious, it seems, that they were inhabitants of "the most dangerous place in the world."
Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.
As Russia’s relationship with the West has deteriorated, the Kremlin’s view of the Taliban has changed. But substantive economic cooperation will be hard to achieve.
Ruslan Suleymanov
And how Russia’s war has upended ties in China, Turkey, and the Arctic.
Judy Dempsey, Alexander Gabuev, Rose Gottemoeller, …
Russian-Indian relations are traditionally good. The chemistry between the leaders is excellent, and members of the public are well disposed toward each other. Economic ties have long been stalling, however, and mutual suspicions have recently been creeping in over India’s relations with America, and Russia’s with China. To make the good relationship truly great, Moscow must rethink, adjust, and upgrade its approach to India. Vladimir Putin’s forthcoming visit to New Delhi could be a starting point.
Dmitri Trenin
Tajikistan has no intention of getting into a direct confrontation with the Taliban. Rather, by taking a few more risks than its neighbors, the Tajik leadership is counting on boosting its popularity, both at home and abroad.
Temur Umarov
It goes without saying that the crisis in Afghanistan will create new risks for the region, but Central Asia has long lived with chaos on its borders, and already has twenty years of experience in dealing with the Taliban.
Temur Umarov