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What Lies Ahead for Future U.S.-China Relations?

What factors will influence the future of U.S.-China relations? Evan Medeiros lays out the critical factors that will drive Washington and Beijing's relationship toward one of five different possible scenarios, ranging from a global condominium to a new cold war, and offers policy recommendations for managing competition.

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By Evan Medeiros
Published on October 18, 2024

The U.S.-China relationship is complicated. As tensions rise, fears of escalating conflict grow. What factors will influence the future of U.S.-China relations?

In Chapter 2 of the American Statecraft Program's newest volume, Evan Medeiros lays out the critical factors that will drive Washington and Beijing's relationship toward one of five different possible scenarios, ranging from a global condominium to a new cold war. Medeiros also offers recommendations for policymakers on managing competition through strategic uses of risk and friction and clear, credible, and consistent communication.

Find the volume, "U.S.-China Relations for the 2030s: Toward a Realistic Scenario for Coexistence," here: https://bit.ly/4ePjly8

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

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