• Commentary
  • Research
  • Experts
  • Events
Carnegie China logoCarnegie lettermark logo
{
  "authors": [],
  "type": "pressRelease",
  "centerAffiliationAll": "",
  "centers": [
    "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"
  ],
  "collections": [],
  "englishNewsletterAll": "",
  "nonEnglishNewsletterAll": "",
  "primaryCenter": "Carnegie Endowment for International Peace",
  "programAffiliation": "",
  "programs": [],
  "projects": [],
  "regions": [
    "East Asia",
    "South Korea"
  ],
  "topics": [
    "Nuclear Policy"
  ]
}
REQUIRED IMAGE

REQUIRED IMAGE

Press Release

North Korea’s Latest Nuclear Test

With North Korea recently conducting its third nuclear test, Carnegie experts assess Pyongyang’s nuclear capability and the security, geopolitical, and technological implications of this latest provocation.

Link Copied
Published on Feb 12, 2013

With North Korea recently conducting its third nuclear test, Carnegie experts are available to assess Pyongyang’s nuclear capability and the security, geopolitical, and technological implications of this latest provocation. 

To request an interview, please contact Charita Law at claw@ceip.org or +1 202 939 2233.

Here are rapid reactions from Carnegie's global experts: 

"North Korea's third test appears to be larger than its first two, but not dramatically so. In the coming hours and day, watch to see better yield estimates, whether the weapon was made from plutonium or uranium, and whether there will be a second test."

—James M. Acton

"At a time when the United States is poised to cut defense spending further, and the new defense secretary nominee has advocated in the past for reducing the U.S. nuclear arsenal, questions in Tokyo and Seoul about the long-term sustainability of the U.S. nuclear umbrella will arise anew. The fact is that the United States still has the capability to reassure its allies on this front, but it will require constant bilateral attention and the development of even closer defense relationships to maintain deterrence in this new nuclear age. Now is not the time for allies to think they need to go it alone." 

—James L. Schoff

"In the past North Korea had no choice but to deplete its small and finite inventory of plutonium to test nuclear weapons. Today and in the future, an unchecked and growing enrichment capability in North Korea is a game changer because it will allow Pyongyang to indefinitely stockpile highly enriched uranium fuel for an ever-larger nuclear weapons arsenal."

—Mark Hibbs

"In terms of what the nuclear test says about the behavior of the new North Korean government, does the test consolidate Kim Jong Un's power and allow him to pursue new six-party negotiations? Or does it foretell a hardening of security policy and therefore mean more provocations in the near future? It's too soon to tell."

—Toby Dalton

"The test shows that the North Korean government has strong and blind faith in the coercive influence of its nuclear-weapons capability. This is the wrong approach for its country and people."

—Li Bin

"North Korea's effort to impress its potential clients with its nuclear and missile prowess has reached new heights with the recent long-range missile test and the current nuclear test."

—Ariel Levite

"The test will likely cause certain voices in Japan to ramp up calls for the development of a next-generation ballistic missile defense system with the United States. A new system could trigger the expansion of armaments of both North Korea and China, which could cause instability in East Asia. It is highly recommended that the United States stays calm and encourages Japan not to overreact to North Korea's nuclear test." 

—Tomoko Kurokawa

Nuclear PolicyEast AsiaSouth Korea

Carnegie does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Carnegie, its staff, or its trustees.

More Work from Carnegie China

  • An aerial view shows containers stacked at a port in Taicang, in eastern China's Jiangsu province on May 18, 2025.
    Commentary
    How to Predict China’s Economic Performance for 2025: A Sectoral Approach

    GDP growth means something fundamentally different in China than in most countries.

      Michael Pettis

  • People wave Chinese flags as the plane carrying Chinese President Xi Jinping arrives for a two-day state visit at Hanoi's Noi Bai International Airport in Hanoi on April 14, 2025
    Article
    How Southeast Asia Sees Xi Jinping’s Regional Push Amid U.S.-China Tensions

    The Trump administration’s effort to reshape the global trading system and reset overseas security commitments is creating an historic inflection point.  Less clear is how far China will be able to capitalize on these dynamics.

      • +1

      Li Mingjiang, Le Hong Hiep, Ngeow Chow Bing, …

  • Article
    Northeast Asia Is for Deterrence and Southeast Asia Is (Mostly) for Freeriding: Appreciating Divergent East Asian Approaches to Order, Uncertainty, and Contestation

    Most Southeast Asian states behave as if the actions of their Northeast Asian neighbors and the Philippines will be sufficient to maintain a regional status quo from which they can benefit.

      Chong Ja Ian

  • Commentary
    Beyond the Putin-Kim Alliance: How Can the International Community Engage China to Contain Nuclear Risks Over the Korean Peninsula?

    Faced with an increase in strategic maneuvering by Moscow and Pyongyang, Beijing will not sit idly by and allow Putin and Kim to shape the security environment on its behalf.

      Tong Zhao

  • Collection
    China Through a Southeast Asian Lens

    A Q&A series where we ask scholars from Southeast Asia for their insights on China’s influence and relations with the region. 

Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie China
Carnegie China logo, white
Keck Seng Tower133 Cecil Street #10-01ASingapore, 069535
  • Research
  • About
  • Experts
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Careers
  • Privacy
  • For Media
Get more news and analysis from
Carnegie China
© 2026 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All rights reserved.