Source: Carnegie
Originally published in the June/July
edition of Policy
Review
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It is time to stop pretending that Europeans
and Americans share a common view of the world, or even that they occupy the
same world. On the all-important question of power - the efficacy of power,
the morality of power, the desirability of power - American and European perspectives
are diverging. Europe is turning away from power, or to put it a little differently,
it is moving beyond power into a self-contained world of laws and rules and
transnational negotiation and cooperation. It is entering a post-historical
paradise of peace and relative prosperity, the realization of Kant's "Perpetual
Peace." The United States, meanwhile, remains mired in history, exercising
power in the anarchic Hobbesian world where international laws and rules are
unreliable and where true security and the defense and promotion of a liberal
order still depend on the possession and use of military might. That is why
on major strategic and international questions today, Americans are from Mars
and Europeans are from Venus: They agree on little and understand one another
less and less. And this state of affairs is not transitory - the product of
one American election or one catastrophic event. The reasons for the transatlantic
divide are deep, long in development, and likely to endure. When it comes to
setting national priorities, determining threats, defining challenges, and fashioning
and implementing foreign and defense policies, the United States and Europe
have parted ways.
It is easier to see the contrast as an
American living in Europe. Europeans are more conscious of the growing differences,
perhaps because they fear them more. European intellectuals are nearly unanimous
in the conviction that Americans and Europeans no longer share a common "strategic
culture." The European caricature at its most extreme depicts an America
dominated by a "culture of death," its warlike temperament the natural
product of a violent society where every man has a gun and the death penalty
reigns. But even those who do not make this crude link agree there are profound
differences in the way the United States and Europe conduct foreign policy.
The United States, they argue, resorts
to force more quickly and, compared with Europe, is less patient with diplomacy.
Americans generally see the world divided between good and evil, between friends
and enemies, while Europeans see a more complex picture. When confronting real
or potential adversaries, Americans generally favor policies of coercion rather
than persuasion, emphasizing punitive sanctions over inducements to better behavior,
the stick over the carrot. Americans tend to seek finality in international
affairs: They want problems solved, threats eliminated. And, of course, Americans
increasingly tend toward unilateralism in international affairs. They are less
inclined to act through international institutions such as the United Nations,
less inclined to work cooperatively with other nations to pursue common goals,
more skeptical about international law, and more willing to operate outside
its strictures when they deem it necessary, or even merely useful.1
Europeans insist they approach problems
with greater nuance and sophistication. They try to influence others through
subtlety and indirection. They are more tolerant of failure, more patient when
solutions don't come quickly. They generally favor peaceful responses to problems,
preferring negotiation, diplomacy, and persuasion to coercion. They are quicker
to appeal to international law, international conventions, and international
opinion to adjudicate disputes. They try to use commercial and economic ties
to bind nations together. They often emphasize process over result, believing
that ultimately process can become substance.
This European dual portrait is a caricature,
of course, with its share of exaggerations and oversimplifications. One cannot
generalize about Europeans: Britons may have a more "American" view
of power than many of their fellow Europeans on the continent. And there are
differing perspectives within nations on both sides of the Atlantic. In the
U.S., Democrats often seem more "European" than Republicans; Secretary
of State Colin Powell may appear more "European" than Secretary of
Defense Donald Rumsfeld. Many Americans, especially among the intellectual elite,
are as uncomfortable with the "hard" quality of American foreign policy
as any European; and some Europeans value power as much as any American.
Nevertheless, the caricatures do capture
an essential truth: The United States and Europe are fundamentally different
today. Powell and Rumsfeld have more in common than do Powell and Hubert Védrine
or even Jack Straw. When it comes to the use of force, mainstream American Democrats
have more in common with Republicans than they do with most European Socialists
and Social Democrats. During the 1990s even American liberals were more willing
to resort to force and were more Manichean in their perception of the world
than most of their European counterparts. The Clinton administration bombed
Iraq, as well as Afghanistan and Sudan. European governments, it is safe to
say, would not have done so. Whether they would have bombed even Belgrade in
1999, had the U.S. not forced their hand, is an interesting question.2
What is the source of these differing
strategic perspectives? The question has received too little attention in recent
years, either because foreign policy intellectuals and policymakers on both
sides of the Atlantic have denied the existence of a genuine difference or because
those who have pointed to the difference, especially in Europe, have been more
interested in assailing the United States than in understanding why the United
States acts as it does -or, for that matter, why Europe acts as it does. It
is past time to move beyond the denial and the insults and to face the problem
head-on.
Despite what many Europeans and some
Americans believe, these differences in strategic culture do not spring naturally
from the national characters of Americans and Europeans. After all, what Europeans
now consider their more peaceful strategic culture is, historically speaking,
quite new. It represents an evolution away from the very different strategic
culture that dominated Europe for hundreds of years and at least until World
War I. The European governments - and peoples - who enthusiastically launched
themselves into that continental war believed in machtpolitik. While the roots
of the present European worldview, like the roots of the European Union itself,
can be traced back to the Enlightenment, Europe's great-power politics for the
past 300 years did not follow the visionary designs of the philosophes and the
physiocrats.
As for the United States, there is nothing
timeless about the present heavy reliance on force as a tool of international
relations, nor about the tilt toward unilateralism and away from a devotion
to international law. Americans are children of the Enlightenment, too, and
in the early years of the republic were more faithful apostles of its creed.
America's eighteenth- and early nineteenth-century statesmen sounded much like
the European statesmen of today, extolling the virtues of commerce as the soothing
balm of international strife and appealing to international law and international
opinion over brute force. The young United States wielded power against weaker
peoples on the North American continent, but when it came to dealing with the
European giants, it claimed to abjure power and assailed as atavistic the power
politics of the eighteenth- and nineteenth-century European empires.
Two centuries later, Americans and Europeans
have traded places - and perspectives. Partly this is because in those 200 years,
but especially in recent decades, the power equation has shifted dramatically:
When the United States was weak, it practiced the strategies of indirection,
the strategies of weakness; now that the United States is powerful, it behaves
as powerful nations do. When the European great powers were strong, they believed
in strength and martial glory. Now, they see the world through the eyes of weaker
powers. These very different points of view, weak versus strong, have naturally
produced differing strategic judgments, differing assessments of threats and
of the proper means of addressing threats, and even differing calculations of
interest.
But this is only part of the answer.
For along with these natural consequences of the transatlantic power gap, there
has also opened a broad ideological gap. Europe, because of its unique historical
experience of the past half-century - culminating in the past decade with the
creation of the European Union - has developed a set of ideals and principles
regarding the utility and morality of power different from the ideals and principles
of Americans, who have not shared that experience. If the strategic chasm between
the United States and Europe appears greater than ever today, and grows still
wider at a worrying pace, it is because these material and ideological differences
reinforce one another. The divisive trend they together produce may be impossible
to reverse.
The power gap: perception
and reality
Europe has been militarily weak for a
long time, but until fairly recently its weakness had been obscured. World War
II all but destroyed European nations as global powers, and their postwar inability
to project sufficient force overseas to maintain colonial empires in Asia, Africa,
and the Middle East forced them to retreat on a massive scale after more than
five centuries of imperial dominance - perhaps the most significant retrenchment
of global influence in human history. For a half-century after World War II,
however, this weakness was masked by the unique geopolitical circumstances of
the Cold War. Dwarfed by the two superpowers on its flanks, a weakened Europe
nevertheless served as the central strategic theater of the worldwide struggle
between communism and democratic capitalism. Its sole but vital strategic mission
was to defend its own territory against any Soviet offensive, at least until
the Americans arrived. Although shorn of most traditional measures of great-power
status, Europe remained the geopolitical pivot, and this, along with lingering
habits of world leadership, allowed Europeans to retain international influence
well beyond what their sheer military capabilities might have afforded.
Europe lost this strategic centrality
after the Cold War ended, but it took a few more years for the lingering mirage
of European global power to fade. During the 1990s, war in the Balkans kept
both Europeans and Americans focused on the strategic importance of the continent
and on the continuing relevance of nato. The enlargement of nato to include
former Warsaw Pact nations and the consolidation of the Cold War victory kept
Europe in the forefront of the strategic discussion.
Then there was the early promise of
the "new Europe." By bonding together into a single political and
economic unit - the historic accomplishment of the Maastricht treaty in 1992
- many hoped to recapture Europe's old greatness but in a new political form.
"Europe" would be the next superpower, not only economically and politically,
but also militarily. It would handle crises on the European continent, such
as the ethnic conflicts in the Balkans, and it would re-emerge as a global player.
In the 1990s Europeans could confidently assert that the power of a unified
Europe would restore, finally, the global "multipolarity" that had
been destroyed by the Cold War and its aftermath. And most Americans, with mixed
emotions, agreed that superpower Europe was the future. Harvard University's
Samuel P. Huntington predicted that the coalescing of the European Union would
be "the single most important move" in a worldwide reaction against
American hegemony and would produce a "truly multipolar" twenty-first
century.3
But European pretensions and American
apprehensions proved unfounded. The 1990s witnessed not the rise of a European
superpower but the decline of Europe into relative weakness. The Balkan conflict
at the beginning of the decade revealed European military incapacity and political
disarray; the Kosovo conflict at decade's end exposed a transatlantic gap in
military technology and the ability to wage modern warfare that would only widen
in subsequent years. Outside of Europe, the disparity by the close of the 1990s
was even more starkly apparent as it became clear that the ability of European
powers, individually or collectively, to project decisive force into regions
of conflict beyond the continent was negligible. Europeans could provide peacekeeping
forces in the Balkans - indeed, they could and eventually did provide the vast
bulk of those forces in Bosnia and Kosovo. But they lacked the wherewithal to
introduce and sustain a fighting force in potentially hostile territory, even
in Europe. Under the best of circumstances, the European role was limited to
filling out peacekeeping forces after the United States had, largely on its
own, carried out the decisive phases of a military mission and stabilized the
situation. As some Europeans put it, the real division of labor consisted of
the United States "making the dinner" and the Europeans "doing
the dishes."
This inadequacy should have come as no
surprise, since these were the limitations that had forced Europe to retract
its global influence in the first place. Those Americans and Europeans who proposed
that Europe expand its strategic role beyond the continent set an unreasonable
goal. During the Cold War, Europe's strategic role had been to defend itself.
It was unrealistic to expect a return to international great-power status, unless
European peoples were willing to shift significant resources from social programs
to military programs.
Clearly they were not. Not only were
Europeans unwilling to pay to project force beyond Europe. After the Cold War,
they would not pay for sufficient force to conduct even minor military actions
on the continent without American help. Nor did it seem to matter whether European
publics were being asked to spend money to strengthen nato or an independent
European foreign and defense policy. Their answer was the same. Rather than
viewing the collapse of the Soviet Union as an opportunity to flex global muscles,
Europeans took it as an opportunity to cash in on a sizable peace dividend.
Average European defense budgets gradually fell below 2 percent of gdp. Despite
talk of establishing Europe as a global superpower, therefore, European military
capabilities steadily fell behind those of the United States throughout the
1990s.
The end of the Cold War had a very different
effect on the other side of the Atlantic. For although Americans looked for
a peace dividend, too, and defense budgets declined or remained flat during
most of the 1990s, defense spending still remained above 3 percent of gdp. Fast
on the heels of the Soviet empire's demise came Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and
the largest American military action in a quarter-century. Thereafter American
administrations cut the Cold War force, but not as dramatically as might have
been expected. By historical standards, America's military power and particularly
its ability to project that power to all corners of the globe remained unprecedented.
Meanwhile, the very fact of the Soviet
empire's collapse vastly increased America's strength relative to the rest of
the world. The sizable American military arsenal, once barely sufficient to
balance Soviet power, was now deployed in a world without a single formidable
adversary. This "unipolar moment" had an entirely natural and predictable
consequence: It made the United States more willing to use force abroad. With
the check of Soviet power removed, the United States was free to intervene practically
wherever and whenever it chose - a fact reflected in the proliferation of overseas
military interventions that began during the first Bush administration with
the invasion of Panama in 1989, the Persian Gulf War in 1991, and the humanitarian
intervention in Somalia in 1992, continuing during the Clinton years with interventions
in Haiti, Bosnia, and Kosovo. While American politicians talked of pulling back
from the world, the reality was an America intervening abroad more frequently
than it had throughout most of the Cold War. Thanks to new technologies, the
United States was also freer to use force around the world in more limited ways
through air and missile strikes, which it did with increasing frequency.
How could this growing transatlantic
power gap fail to create a difference in strategic perceptions? Even during
the Cold War, American military predominance and Europe's relative weakness
had produced important and sometimes serious disagreements. Gaullism, Ostpolitik,
and the various movements for European independence and unity were manifestations
not only of a European desire for honor and freedom of action. They also reflected
a European conviction that America's approach to the Cold War was too confrontational,
too militaristic, and too dangerous. Europeans believed they knew better how
to deal with the Soviets: through engagement and seduction, through commercial
and political ties, through patience and forbearance. It was a legitimate view,
shared by many Americans. But it also reflected Europe's weakness relative to
the United States, the fewer military options at Europe's disposal, and its
greater vulnerability to a powerful Soviet Union. It may have reflected, too,
Europe's memory of continental war. Americans, when they were not themselves
engaged in the subtleties of détente, viewed the European approach as
a form of appeasement, a return to the fearful mentality of the 1930s. But appeasement
is never a dirty word to those whose genuine weakness offers few appealing alternatives.
For them, it is a policy of sophistication.
The end of the Cold War, by widening
the power gap, exacerbated the disagreements. Although transatlantic tensions
are now widely assumed to have begun with the inauguration of George W. Bush
in January 2001, they were already evident during the Clinton administration
and may even be traced back to the administration of George H.W. Bush. By 1992,
mutual recriminations were rife over Bosnia, where the United States refused
to act and Europe could not act. It was during the Clinton years that Europeans
began complaining about being lectured by the "hectoring hegemon."
This was also the period in which Védrine coined the term hyperpuissance
to describe an American behemoth too worryingly powerful to be designated merely
a superpower. (Perhaps he was responding to then-Secretary of State Madeleine
Albright's insistence that the United States was the world's "indispensable
nation.") It was also during the 1990s that the transatlantic disagreement
over American plans for missile defense emerged and many Europeans began grumbling
about the American propensity to choose force and punishment over diplomacy
and persuasion.
The Clinton administration, meanwhile,
though relatively timid and restrained itself, grew angry and impatient with
European timidity, especially the unwillingness to confront Saddam Hussein.
The split in the alliance over Iraq didn't begin with the 2000 election but
in 1997, when the Clinton administration tried to increase the pressure on Baghdad
and found itself at odds with France and (to a lesser extent) Great Britain
in the United Nations Security Council. Even the war in Kosovo was marked by
nervousness among some allies - especially Italy, Greece, and Germany - that
the United States was too uncompromisingly militaristic in its approach. And
while Europeans and Americans ultimately stood together in the confrontation
with Belgrade, the Kosovo war produced in Europe less satisfaction at the successful
prosecution of the war than unease at America's apparent omnipotence. That apprehension
would only increase in the wake of American military action after September
11, 2001.
The psychology of
power and weakness
Today's transatlantic problem, in short,
is not a George Bush problem. It is a power problem. American military strength
has produced a propensity to use that strength. Europe's military weakness has
produced a perfectly understandable aversion to the exercise of military power.
Indeed, it has produced a powerful European interest in inhabiting a world where
strength doesn't matter, where international law and international institutions
predominate, where unilateral action by powerful nations is forbidden, where
all nations regardless of their strength have equal rights and are equally protected
by commonly agreed-upon international rules of behavior. Europeans have a deep
interest in devaluing and eventually eradicating the brutal laws of an anarchic,
Hobbesian world where power is the ultimate determinant of national security
and success.
This is no reproach. It is what weaker
powers have wanted from time immemorial. It was what Americans wanted in the
eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries, when the brutality of a European
system of power politics run by the global giants of France, Britain, and Russia
left Americans constantly vulnerable to imperial thrashing. It was what the
other small powers of Europe wanted in those years, too, only to be sneered
at by Bourbon kings and other powerful monarchs, who spoke instead of raison
d'état. The great proponent of international law on the high seas in
the eighteenth century was the United States; the great opponent was Britain's
navy, the "Mistress of the Seas." In an anarchic world, small powers
always fear they will be victims. Great powers, on the other hand, often fear
rules that may constrain them more than they fear the anarchy in which their
power brings security and prosperity.
This natural and historic disagreement
between the stronger and the weaker manifests itself in today's transatlantic
dispute over the question of unilateralism. Europeans generally believe their
objection to American unilateralism is proof of their greater commitment to
certain ideals concerning world order. They are less willing to acknowledge
that their hostility to unilateralism is also self-interested. Europeans fear
American unilateralism. They fear it perpetuates a Hobbesian world in which
they may become increasingly vulnerable. The United States may be a relatively
benign hegemon, but insofar as its actions delay the arrival of a world order
more conducive to the safety of weaker powers, it is objectively dangerous.
This is one reason why in recent years
a principal objective of European foreign policy has become, as one European
observer puts it, the "multilateralising" of the United States.4 It
is not that Europeans are teaming up against the American hegemon, as Huntington
and many realist theorists would have it, by creating a countervailing power.
After all, Europeans are not increasing their power. Their tactics, like their
goal, are the tactics of the weak. They hope to constrain American power without
wielding power themselves. In what may be the ultimate feat of subtlety and
indirection, they want to control the behemoth by appealing to its conscience.
It is a sound strategy, as far as it
goes. The United States is a behemoth with a conscience. It is not Louis xiv's
France or George iii's England. Americans do not argue, even to themselves,
that their actions may be justified by raison d'état. Americans have
never accepted the principles of Europe's old order, never embraced the Machiavellian
perspective. The United States is a liberal, progressive society through and
through, and to the extent that Americans believe in power, they believe it
must be a means of advancing the principles of a liberal civilization and a
liberal world order. Americans even share Europe's aspirations for a more orderly
world system based not on power but on rules - after all, they were striving
for such a world when Europeans were still extolling the laws of machtpolitik.
But while these common ideals and aspirations
shape foreign policies on both sides of the Atlantic, they cannot completely
negate the very different perspectives from which Europeans and Americans view
the world and the role of power in international affairs. Europeans oppose unilateralism
in part because they have no capacity for unilateralism. Polls consistently
show that Americans support multilateral action in principle - they even support
acting under the rubric of the United Nations - but the fact remains that the
United States can act unilaterally, and has done so many times with reasonable
success. For Europeans, the appeal to multilateralism and international law
has a real practical payoff and little cost. For Americans, who stand to lose
at least some freedom of action, support for universal rules of behavior really
is a matter of idealism.
Even when Americans and Europeans can
agree on the kind of world order they would strive to build, however, they increasingly
disagree about what constitutes a threat to that international endeavor. Indeed,
Europeans and Americans differ most these days in their evaluation of what constitutes
a tolerable versus an intolerable threat. This, too, is consistent with the
disparity of power.
Europeans often argue that Americans
have an unreasonable demand for "perfect" security, the product of
living for centuries shielded behind two oceans.5 Europeans claim they know
what it is like to live with danger, to exist side-by-side with evil, since
they've done it for centuries. Hence their greater tolerance for such threats
as may be posed by Saddam Hussein's Iraq or the ayatollahs' Iran. Americans,
they claim, make far too much of the dangers these regimes pose.
Even before September 11, this argument rang a bit hollow. The United States
in its formative decades lived in a state of substantial insecurity, surrounded
by hostile European empires, at constant risk of being torn apart by centrifugal
forces that were encouraged by threats from without: National insecurity formed
the core of Washington's Farewell Address. As for the Europeans' supposed tolerance
for insecurity and evil, it can be overstated. For the better part of three
centuries, European Catholics and Protestants more often preferred to kill than
to tolerate each other; nor have the past two centuries shown all that much
mutual tolerance between Frenchmen and Germans.
Some Europeans argue that precisely because
Europe has suffered so much, it has a higher tolerance for suffering than America
and therefore a higher tolerance for threats. More likely the opposite is true.
The memory of their horrendous suffering in World War I made the British and
French publics more fearful of Nazi Germany, not more tolerant, and this attitude
contributed significantly to the appeasement of the 1930s.
A better explanation of Europe's greater
tolerance for threats is, once again, Europe's relative weakness. Tolerance
is also very much a realistic response in that Europe, precisely because it
is weak, actually faces fewer threats than the far more powerful United States.
The psychology of weakness is easy enough
to understand. A man armed only with a knife may decide that a bear prowling
the forest is a tolerable danger, inasmuch as the alternative - hunting the
bear armed only with a knife - is actually riskier than lying low and hoping
the bear never attacks. The same man armed with a rifle, however, will likely
make a different calculation of what constitutes a tolerable risk. Why should
he risk being mauled to death if he doesn't need to?
This perfectly normal human psychology
is helping to drive a wedge between the United States and Europe today. Europeans
have concluded, reasonably enough, that the threat posed by Saddam Hussein is
more tolerable for them than the risk of removing him. But Americans, being
stronger, have reasonably enough developed a lower threshold of tolerance for
Saddam and his weapons of mass destruction, especially after September 11. Europeans
like to say that Americans are obsessed with fixing problems, but it is generally
true that those with a greater capacity to fix problems are more likely to try
to fix them than those who have no such capability. Americans can imagine successfully
invading Iraq and toppling Saddam, and therefore more than 70 percent of Americans
apparently favor such action. Europeans, not surprisingly, find the prospect
both unimaginable and frightening.
The incapacity to respond to threats
leads not only to tolerance but sometimes to denial. It's normal to try to put
out of one's mind that which one can do nothing about. According to one student
of European opinion, even the very focus on "threats" differentiates
American policymakers from their European counterparts. Americans, writes Steven
Everts, talk about foreign "threats" such as "the proliferation
of weapons of mass destruction, terrorism, and 'rogue states.'" But Europeans
look at "challenges," such as "ethnic conflict, migration, organized
crime, poverty and environmental degradation." As Everts notes, however,
the key difference is less a matter of culture and philosophy than of capability.
Europeans "are most worried about issues . . . that have a greater chance
of being solved by political engagement and huge sums of money." In other
words, Europeans focus on issues - "challenges" - where European strengths
come into play but not on those "threats" where European weakness
makes solutions elusive. If Europe's strategic culture today places less value
on power and military strength and more value on such soft-power tools as economics
and trade, isn't it partly because Europe is militarily weak and economically
strong? Americans are quicker to acknowledge the existence of threats, even
to perceive them where others may not see any, because they can conceive of
doing something to meet those threats.
The differing threat perceptions in the
United States and Europe are not just matters of psychology, however. They are
also grounded in a practical reality that is another product of the disparity
of power. For Iraq and other "rogue" states objectively do not pose
the same level of threat to Europeans as they do to the United States. There
is, first of all, the American security guarantee that Europeans enjoy and have
enjoyed for six decades, ever since the United States took upon itself the burden
of maintaining order in far-flung regions of the world - from the Korean Peninsula
to the Persian Gulf - from which European power had largely withdrawn. Europeans
generally believe, whether or not they admit it to themselves, that were Iraq
ever to emerge as a real and present danger, as opposed to merely a potential
danger, then the United States would do something about it - as it did in 1991.
If during the Cold War Europe by necessity made a major contribution to its
own defense, today Europeans enjoy an unparalleled measure of "free security"
because most of the likely threats are in regions outside Europe, where only
the United States can project effective force. In a very practical sense - that
is, when it comes to actual strategic planning - neither Iraq nor Iran nor North
Korea nor any other "rogue" state in the world is primarily a European
problem. Nor, certainly, is China. Both Europeans and Americans agree that these
are primarily American problems.
This is why Saddam Hussein is not as
great a threat to Europe as he is to the United States. He would be a greater
threat to the United States even were the Americans and Europeans in complete
agreement on Iraq policy, because it is the logical consequence of the transatlantic
disparity of power. The task of containing Saddam Hussein belongs primarily
to the United States, not to Europe, and everyone agrees on this6 - including
Saddam, which is why he considers the United States, not Europe, his principal
adversary. In the Persian Gulf, in the Middle East, and in most other regions
of the world (including Europe), the United States plays the role of ultimate
enforcer. "You are so powerful," Europeans often say to Americans.
"So why do you feel so threatened?" But it is precisely America's
great power that makes it the primary target, and often the only target. Europeans
are understandably content that it should remain so.
Americans are "cowboys," Europeans
love to say. And there is truth in this. The United States does act as an international
sheriff, self-appointed perhaps but widely welcomed nevertheless, trying to
enforce some peace and justice in what Americans see as a lawless world where
outlaws need to be deterred or destroyed, and often through the muzzle of a
gun. Europe, by this old West analogy, is more like a saloonkeeper. Outlaws
shoot sheriffs, not saloonkeepers. In fact, from the saloonkeeper's point of
view, the sheriff trying to impose order by force can sometimes be more threatening
than the outlaws who, at least for the time being, may just want a drink.
When Europeans took to the streets by
the millions after September 11, most Americans believed it was out of a sense
of shared danger and common interest: The Europeans knew they could be next.
But Europeans by and large did not feel that way and still don't. Europeans
do not really believe they are next. They may be secondary targets - because
they are allied with the U.S. - but they are not the primary target, because
they no longer play the imperial role in the Middle East that might have engendered
the same antagonism against them as is aimed at the United States. When Europeans
wept and waved American flags after September 11, it was out of genuine human
sympathy, sorrow, and affection for Americans. For better or for worse, European
displays of solidarity were a product more of fellow-feeling than self-interest.
The origins of modern
European foreign policy
Important as the power gap may be in
shaping the respective strategic cultures of the United States and Europe, it
is only one part of the story. Europe in the past half-century has developed
a genuinely different perspective on the role of power in international relations,
a perspective that springs directly from its unique historical experience since
the end of World War II. It is a perspective that Americans do not share and
cannot share, inasmuch as the formative historical experiences on their side
of the Atlantic have not been the same.
Consider again the qualities that make
up the European strategic culture: the emphasis on negotiation, diplomacy, and
commercial ties, on international law over the use of force, on seduction over
coercion, on multilateralism over unilateralism. It is true that these are not
traditionally European approaches to international relations when viewed from
a long historical perspective. But they are a product of more recent European
history. The modern European strategic culture represents a conscious rejection
of the European past, a rejection of the evils of European machtpolitik. It
is a reflection of Europeans' ardent and understandable desire never to return
to that past. Who knows better than Europeans the dangers that arise from unbridled
power politics, from an excessive reliance on military force, from policies
produced by national egoism and ambition, even from balance of power and raison
d'état? As German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer put it in a speech
outlining his vision of the European future at Humboldt University in Berlin
(May 12, 2000), "The core of the concept of Europe after 1945 was and still
is a rejection of the European balance-of-power principle and the hegemonic
ambitions of individual states that had emerged following the Peace of Westphalia
in 1648." The European Union is itself the product of an awful century
of European warfare.
Of course, it was the "hegemonic
ambitions" of one nation in particular that European integration was meant
to contain. And it is the integration and taming of Germany that is the great
accomplishment of Europe - viewed historically, perhaps the greatest feat of
international politics ever achieved. Some Europeans recall, as Fischer does,
the central role played by the United States in solving the "German problem."
Fewer like to recall that the military destruction of Nazi Germany was the prerequisite
for the European peace that followed. Most Europeans believe that it was the
transformation of European politics, the deliberate abandonment and rejection
of centuries of machtpolitik, that in the end made possible the "new order."
The Europeans, who invented power politics, turned themselves into born-again
idealists by an act of will, leaving behind them what Fischer called "the
old system of balance with its continued national orientation, constraints of
coalition, traditional interest-led politics and the permanent danger of nationalist
ideologies and confrontations."
Fischer stands near one end of the spectrum
of European idealism. But this is not really a right-left issue in Europe. Fischer's
principal contention - that Europe has moved beyond the old system of power
politics and discovered a new system for preserving peace in international relations
- is widely shared across Europe. As senior British diplomat Robert Cooper recently
wrote in the Observer (April 7, 2002), Europe today lives in a "postmodern
system" that does not rest on a balance of power but on "the rejection
of force" and on "self-enforced rules of behavior." In the "postmodern
world," writes Cooper, "raison d'état and the amorality of
Machiavelli's theories of statecraft . . . have been replaced by a moral consciousness"
in international affairs.
American realists might scoff at this
idealism. George F. Kennan assumed only his naïve fellow Americans succumbed
to such "Wilsonian" legalistic and moralistic fancies, not those war-tested,
historically minded European Machiavels. But, really, why shouldn't Europeans
be idealistic about international affairs, at least as they are conducted in
Europe's "postmodern system"? Within the confines of Europe, the age-old
laws of international relations have been repealed. Europeans have stepped out
of the Hobbesian world of anarchy into the Kantian world of perpetual peace.
European life during the more than five decades since the end of World War II
has been shaped not by the brutal laws of power politics but by the unfolding
of a geopolitical fantasy, a miracle of world-historical importance: The German
lion has laid down with the French lamb. The conflict that ravaged Europe ever
since the violent birth of Germany in the nineteenth century has been put to
rest.
The means by which this miracle has been
achieved have understandably acquired something of a sacred mystique for Europeans,
especially since the end of the Cold War. Diplomacy, negotiations, patience,
the forging of economic ties, political engagement, the use of inducements rather
than sanctions, the taking of small steps and tempering ambitions for success
- these were the tools of Franco-German rapprochement and hence the tools that
made European integration possible. Integration was not to be based on military
deterrence or the balance of power. Quite the contrary. The miracle came from
the rejection of military power and of its utility as an instrument of international
affairs - at least within the confines of Europe. During the Cold War, few Europeans
doubted the need for military power to deter the Soviet Union. But within Europe
the rules were different.
Collective security was provided from
without, meanwhile, by the deus ex machina of the United States operating through
the military structures of nato. Within this wall of security, Europeans pursued
their new order, freed from the brutal laws and even the mentality of power
politics. This evolution from the old to the new began in Europe during the
Cold War. But the end of the Cold War, by removing even the external danger
of the Soviet Union, allowed Europe's new order, and its new idealism, to blossom
fully. Freed from the requirements of any military deterrence, internal or external,
Europeans became still more confident that their way of settling international
problems now had universal application.
"The genius of the founding fathers,"
European Commission President Romano Prodi commented in a speech at the Institute
d'Etudes Politiques in Paris (May 29, 2001), "lay in translating extremely
high political ambitions . . . into a series of more specific, almost technical
decisions. This indirect approach made further action possible. Rapprochement
took place gradually. From confrontation we moved to willingness to cooperate
in the economic sphere and then on to integration." This is what many Europeans
believe they have to offer the world: not power, but the transcendence of power.
The "essence" of the European Union, writes Everts, is "all about
subjecting inter-state relations to the rule of law," and Europe's experience
of successful multilateral governance has in turn produced an ambition to convert
the world. Europe "has a role to play in world 'governance,'" says
Prodi, a role based on replicating the European experience on a global scale.
In Europe "the rule of law has replaced the crude interplay of power .
. . power politics have lost their influence." And by "making a success
of integration we are demonstrating to the world that it is possible to create
a method for peace."
No doubt there are Britons, Germans,
French, and others who would frown on such exuberant idealism. But many Europeans,
including many in positions of power, routinely apply Europe's experience to
the rest of the world. For is not the general European critique of the American
approach to "rogue" regimes based on this special European insight?
Iraq, Iran, North Korea, Libya - these states may be dangerous and unpleasant,
even evil. But might not an "indirect approach" work again, as it
did in Europe? Might it not be possible once more to move from confrontation
to rapprochement, beginning with cooperation in the economic sphere and then
moving on to peaceful integration? Could not the formula that worked in Europe
work again with Iran or even Iraq? A great many Europeans insist that it can.
The transmission of the European miracle
to the rest of the world has become Europe's new mission civilatrice. Just as
Americans have always believed that they had discovered the secret to human
happiness and wished to export it to the rest of the world, so the Europeans
have a new mission born of their own discovery of perpetual peace.
Thus we arrive at what may be the most
important reason for the divergence in views between Europe and the United States.
America's power, and its willingness to exercise that power - unilaterally if
necessary - represents a threat to Europe's new sense of mission. Perhaps the
greatest threat. American policymakers find it hard to believe, but leading
officials and politicians in Europe worry more about how the United States might
handle or mishandle the problem of Iraq - by undertaking unilateral and extralegal
military action - than they worry about Iraq itself and Saddam Hussein's weapons
of mass destruction. And while it is true that they fear such action might destabilize
the Middle East and lead to the unnecessary loss of life, there is a deeper
concern.7 Such American action represents an assault on the essence of "postmodern"
Europe. It is an assault on Europe's new ideals, a denial of their universal
validity, much as the monarchies of eighteenth- and nineteenth-century Europe
were an assault on American republican ideals. Americans ought to be the first
to understand that a threat to one's beliefs can be as frightening as a threat
to one's physical security.
As Americans have for two centuries,
Europeans speak with great confidence of the superiority of their global understanding,
the wisdom they have to offer other nations about conflict resolution, and their
way of addressing international problems. But just as in the first decade of
the American republic, there is a hint of insecurity in the European claim to
"success," an evident need to have their success affirmed and their
views accepted by other nations, particularly by the mighty United States. After
all, to deny the validity of the new European idealism is to raise profound
doubts about the viability of the European project. If international problems
cannot, in fact, be settled the European way, wouldn't that suggest that Europe
itself may eventually fall short of a solution, with all the horrors this implies?
And, of course, it is precisely this
fear that still hangs over Europeans, even as Europe moves forward. Europeans,
and particularly the French and Germans, are not entirely sure that the problem
once known as the "German problem" really has been solved. As their
various and often very different proposals for the future constitution of Europe
suggest, the French are still not confident they can trust the Germans, and
the Germans are still not sure they can trust themselves. This fear can at times
hinder progress toward deeper integration, but it also propels the European
project forward despite innumerable obstacles. The European project must succeed,
for how else to overcome what Fischer, in his Humboldt University speech, called
"the risks and temptations objectively inherent in Germany's dimensions
and central situation"? Those historic German "temptations" play
at the back of many a European mind. And every time Europe contemplates the
use of military force, or is forced to do so by the United States, there is
no avoiding at least momentary consideration of what effect such a military
action might have on the "German question."
Perhaps it is not just coincidence that
the amazing progress toward European integration in recent years has been accompanied
not by the emergence of a European superpower but, on the contrary, by a diminishing
of European military capabilities relative to the United States. Turning Europe
into a global superpower capable of balancing the power of the United States
may have been one of the original selling points of the European Union - an
independent European foreign and defense policy was supposed to be one of the
most important byproducts of European integration. But, in truth, the ambition
for European "power" is something of an anachronism. It is an atavistic
impulse, inconsistent with the ideals of postmodern Europe, whose very existence
depends on the rejection of power politics. Whatever its architects may have
intended, European integration has proved to be the enemy of European military
power and, indeed, of an important European global role.
This phenomenon has manifested itself
not only in flat or declining European defense budgets, but in other ways, too,
even in the realm of "soft" power. European leaders talk of Europe's
essential role in the world. Prodi yearns "to make our voice heard, to
make our actions count." And it is true that Europeans spend a great deal
of money on foreign aid - more per capita, they like to point out, than does
the United States. Europeans engage in overseas military missions, so long as
the missions are mostly limited to peacekeeping. But while the eu periodically
dips its fingers into troubled international waters in the Middle East or the
Korean Peninsula, the truth is that eu foreign policy is probably the most anemic
of all the products of European integration. As Charles Grant, a sympathetic
observer of the eu, recently noted, few European leaders "are giving it
much time or energy."8 eu foreign policy initiatives tend to be short-lived
and are rarely backed by sustained agreement on the part of the various European
powers. That is one reason they are so easily rebuffed, as was the case in late
March when Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon blocked eu foreign policy chief
Javier Solana from meeting with Yasser Arafat (only to turn around the next
day and allow a much lower-ranking American negotiator to meet with the Palestinian
leader).
It is obvious, moreover, that issues
outside of Europe don't attract nearly as much interest among Europeans as purely
European issues do. This has surprised and frustrated Americans on all sides
of the political and strategic debate: Recall the profound disappointment of
American liberals when Europeans failed to mount an effective protest against
Bush's withdrawal from the abm treaty. But given the enormous and difficult
agenda of integration, this European tendency to look inward is understandable.
eu enlargement, the revision of the common economic and agricultural policies,
the question of national sovereignty versus supranational governance, the so-called
democracy deficit, the jostling of the large European powers, the dissatisfaction
of the smaller powers, the establishment of a new European constitution - all
of these present serious and unavoidable challenges. The difficulties of moving
forward might seem insuperable were it not for the progress the project of European
integration has already demonstrated.
American policies that are unwelcome
on substance - on a missile defense system and the abm treaty, belligerence
toward Iraq, support for Israel - are all the more unwelcome because for Europe,
they are a distraction. Europeans often point to American insularity and parochialism.
But Europeans themselves have turned intensely introspective. As Dominique Moisi
noted in the Financial Times (March 11, 2002), the recent French presidential
campaign saw "no reference . . . to the events of September 11 and their
far-reaching consequences." No one asked, "What should be the role
of France and Europe in the new configuration of forces created after September
11? How should France reappraise its military budget and doctrine to take account
of the need to maintain some kind of parity between Europe and the United States,
or at least between France and the uk?" The Middle East conflict became
an issue in the campaign because of France's large Arab and Muslim population,
as the high vote for Le Pen demonstrated. But Le Pen is not a foreign policy
hawk. And as Moisi noted, "for most French voters in 2002, security has
little to do with abstract and distant geopolitics. Rather, it is a question
of which politician can best protect them from the crime and violence plaguing
the streets and suburbs of their cities."
Can Europe change course and assume a
larger role on the world stage? There has been no shortage of European leaders
urging it to do so. Nor is the weakness of eu foreign policy today necessarily
proof that it must be weak tomorrow, given the eu's record of overcoming weaknesses
in other areas. And yet the political will to demand more power for Europe appears
to be lacking, and for the very good reason that Europe does not see a mission
for itself that requires power. Its mission is to oppose power. It is revealing
that the argument most often advanced by Europeans for augmenting their military
strength these days is not that it will allow Europe to expand its strategic
purview. It is merely to rein in and "multilateralize" the United
States. "America," writes the pro-American British scholar Timothy
Garton Ash in the New York Times (April 9, 2002), "has too much power for
anyone's good, including its own." Therefore Europe must amass power, but
for no other reason than to save the world and the United States from the dangers
inherent in the present lopsided situation.
Whether that particular mission is a
worthy one or not, it seems unlikely to rouse European passions. Even Védrine
has stopped talking about counterbalancing the United States. Now he shrugs
and declares there "is no reason for the Europeans to match a country that
can fight four wars at once." It was one thing for Europe in the 1990s
to increase its collective expenditures on defense from $150 billion per year
to $180 billion when the United States was spending $280 billion per year. But
now the United States is heading toward spending as much as $500 billion per
year, and Europe has not the slightest intention of keeping up. European analysts
lament the continent's "strategic irrelevance." nato Secretary General
George Robertson has taken to calling Europe a "military pygmy" in
an effort to shame Europeans into spending more and doing so more wisely. But
who honestly believes Europeans will fundamentally change their way of doing
business? They have many reasons not to.
The U.S. response
In thinking about the divergence of their
own views and Europeans', Americans must not lose sight of the main point: The
new Europe is indeed a blessed miracle and a reason for enormous celebration
- on both sides of the Atlantic. For Europeans, it is the realization of a long
and improbable dream: a continent free from nationalist strife and blood feuds,
from military competition and arms races. War between the major European powers
is almost unimaginable. After centuries of misery, not only for Europeans but
also for those pulled into their conflicts - as Americans were twice in the
past century - the new Europe really has emerged as a paradise. It is something
to be cherished and guarded, not least by Americans, who have shed blood on
Europe's soil and would shed more should the new Europe ever fail.
Nor should we forget that the Europe
of today is very much the product of American foreign policy stretching back
over six decades. European integration was an American project, too, after World
War II. And so, recall, was European weakness. When the Cold War dawned, Americans
such as Dean Acheson hoped to create in Europe a powerful partner against the
Soviet Union. But that was not the only American vision of Europe underlying
U.S. policies during the twentieth century. Predating it was Franklin Delano
Roosevelt's vision of a Europe that had been rendered, in effect, strategically
irrelevant. As the historian John Lamberton Harper has put it, he wanted "to
bring about a radical reduction in the weight of Europe" and thereby make
possible "the retirement of Europe from world politics."9
Americans who came of age during the
Cold War have always thought of Europe almost exclusively in Achesonian terms
- as the essential bulwark of freedom in the struggle against Soviet tyranny.
But Americans of Roosevelt's era had a different view. In the late 1930s the
common conviction of Americans was that "the European system was basically
rotten, that war was endemic on that continent, and the Europeans had only themselves
to blame for their plight."10 By the early 1940s Europe appeared to be
nothing more than the overheated incubator of world wars that cost America dearly.
During World War II Americans like Roosevelt, looking backward rather than forward,
believed no greater service could be performed than to take Europe out of the
global strategic picture once and for all. "After Germany is disarmed,"
fdr pointedly asked, "what is the reason for France having a big military
establishment?" Charles DeGaulle found such questions "disquieting
for Europe and for France." Even though the United States pursued Acheson's
vision during the Cold War, there was always a part of American policy that
reflected Roosevelt's vision, too. Eisenhower undermining Britain and France
at Suez was only the most blatant of many American efforts to cut Europe down
to size and reduce its already weakened global influence.
But the more important American contribution
to Europe's current world-apart status stemmed not from anti-European but from
pro-European impulses. It was a commitment to Europe, not hostility to Europe,
that led the United States in the immediate postwar years to keep troops on
the continent and to create nato. The presence of American forces as a security
guarantee in Europe was, as it was intended to be, the critical ingredient to
begin the process of European integration.
Europe's evolution to its present state
occurred under the mantle of the U.S. security guarantee and could not have
occurred without it. Not only did the United States for almost half a century
supply a shield against such external threats as the Soviet Union and such internal
threats as may have been posed by ethnic conflict in places like the Balkans.
More important, the United States was the key to the solution of the German
problem and perhaps still is. Germany's Fischer, in the Humboldt University
speech, noted two "historic decisions" that made the new Europe possible:
"the usa's decision to stay in Europe" and "France's and Germany's
commitment to the principle of integration, beginning with economic links."
But of course the latter could never have occurred without the former. France's
willingness to risk the reintegration of Germany into Europe - and France was,
to say the least, highly dubious - depended on the promise of continued American
involvement in Europe as a guarantee against any resurgence of German militarism.
Nor were postwar Germans unaware that their own future in Europe depended on
the calming presence of the American military.
The United States, in short, solved the
Kantian paradox for the Europeans. Kant had argued that the only solution to
the immoral horrors of the Hobbesian world was the creation of a world government.
But he also feared that the "state of universal peace" made possible
by world government would be an even greater threat to human freedom than the
Hobbesian international order, inasmuch as such a government, with its monopoly
of power, would become "the most horrible despotism."11 How nations
could achieve perpetual peace without destroying human freedom was a problem
Kant could not solve. But for Europe the problem was solved by the United States.
By providing security from outside, the United States has rendered it unnecessary
for Europe's supranational government to provide it. Europeans did not need
power to achieve peace and they do not need power to preserve it.
The current situation abounds in ironies.
Europe's rejection of power politics, its devaluing of military force as a tool
of international relations, have depended on the presence of American military
forces on European soil. Europe's new Kantian order could flourish only under
the umbrella of American power exercised according to the rules of the old Hobbesian
order. American power made it possible for Europeans to believe that power was
no longer important. And now, in the final irony, the fact that United States
military power has solved the European problem, especially the "German
problem," allows Europeans today to believe that American military power,
and the "strategic culture" that has created and sustained it, are
outmoded and dangerous.
Most Europeans do not see the great
paradox: that their passage into post-history has depended on the United States
not making the same passage. Because Europe has neither the will nor the ability
to guard its own paradise and keep it from being overrun, spiritually as well
as physically, by a world that has yet to accept the rule of "moral consciousness,"
it has become dependent on America's willingness to use its military might to
deter or defeat those around the world who still believe in power politics.
Some Europeans do understand the conundrum.
Some Britons, not surprisingly, understand it best. Thus Robert Cooper writes
of the need to address the hard truth that although "within the postmodern
world [i.e., the Europe of today], there are no security threats in the traditional
sense," nevertheless, throughout the rest of the world - what Cooper calls
the "modern and pre-modern zones" - threats abound. If the postmodern
world does not protect itself, it can be destroyed. But how does Europe protect
itself without discarding the very ideals and principles that undergird its
pacific system?
"The challenge to the postmodern
world," Cooper argues, "is to get used to the idea of double standards."
Among themselves, Europeans may "operate on the basis of laws and open
cooperative security." But when dealing with the world outside Europe,
"we need to revert to the rougher methods of an earlier era - force, preemptive
attack, deception, whatever is necessary." This is Cooper's principle for
safeguarding society: "Among ourselves, we keep the law but when we are
operating in the jungle, we must also use the laws of the jungle."
Cooper's argument is directed at Europe,
and it is appropriately coupled with a call for Europeans to cease neglecting
their defenses, "both physical and psychological." But what Cooper
really describes is not Europe's future but America's present. For it is the
United States that has had the difficult task of navigating between these two
worlds, trying to abide by, defend, and further the laws of advanced civilized
society while simultaneously employing military force against those who refuse
to abide by those rules. The United States is already operating according to
Cooper's double standard, and for the very reasons he suggests. American leaders,
too, believe that global security and a liberal order - as well as Europe's
"postmodern" paradise - cannot long survive unless the United States
does use its power in the dangerous, Hobbesian world that still flourishes outside
Europe.
What this means is that although the
United States has played the critical role in bringing Europe into this Kantian
paradise, and still plays a key role in making that paradise possible, it cannot
enter this paradise itself. It mans the walls but cannot walk through the gate.
The United States, with all its vast power, remains stuck in history, left to
deal with the Saddams and the ayatollahs, the Kim Jong Ils and the Jiang Zemins,
leaving the happy benefits to others.
An acceptable division?
Is this situation tolerable for the United
States? In many ways, it is. Contrary to what many believe, the United States
can shoulder the burden of maintaining global security without much help from
Europe. The United States spends a little over 3 percent of its gdp on defense
today. Were Americans to increase that to 4 percent - meaning a defense budget
in excess of $500 billion per year - it would still represent a smaller percentage
of national wealth than Americans spent on defense throughout most of the past
half-century. Even Paul Kennedy, who invented the term "imperial overstretch"
in the late 1980s (when the United States was spending around 7 percent of its
gdp on defense), believes the United States can sustain its current military
spending levels and its current global dominance far into the future. Can the
United States handle the rest of the world without much help from Europe? The
answer is that it already does. The United States has maintained strategic stability
in Asia with no help from Europe. In the Gulf War, European help was token;
so it has been more recently in Afghanistan, where Europeans are once again
"doing the dishes"; and so it would be in an invasion of Iraq to unseat
Saddam. Europe has had little to offer the United States in strategic military
terms since the end of the Cold War - except, of course, that most valuable
of strategic assets, a Europe at peace.
The United States can manage, therefore,
at least in material terms. Nor can one argue that the American people are unwilling
to shoulder this global burden, since they have done so for a decade already.
After September 11, they seem willing to continue doing so for a long time to
come. Americans apparently feel no resentment at not being able to enter a "postmodern"
utopia. There is no evidence most Americans desire to. Partly because they are
so powerful, they take pride in their nation's military power and their nation's
special role in the world.
Americans have no experience that would
lead them to embrace fully the ideals and principles that now animate Europe.
Indeed, Americans derive their understanding of the world from a very different
set of experiences. In the first half of the twentieth century, Americans had
a flirtation with a certain kind of internationalist idealism. Wilson's "war
to end all wars" was followed a decade later by an American secretary of
state putting his signature to a treaty outlawing war. fdr in the 1930s put
his faith in non-aggression pacts and asked merely that Hitler promise not to
attack a list of countries Roosevelt presented to him. But then came Munich
and Pearl Harbor, and then, after a fleeting moment of renewed idealism, the
plunge into the Cold War. The "lesson of Munich" came to dominate
American strategic thought, and although it was supplanted for a time by the
"lesson of Vietnam," today it remains the dominant paradigm. While
a small segment of the American elite still yearns for "global governance"
and eschews military force, Americans from Madeleine Albright to Donald Rumsfeld,
from Brent Scowcroft to Anthony Lake, still remember Munich, figuratively if
not literally. And for younger generations of Americans who do not remember
Munich or Pearl Harbor, there is now September 11. After September 11, even
many American globalizers demand blood.
Americans are idealists, but they have
no experience of promoting ideals successfully without power. Certainly, they
have no experience of successful supranational governance; little to make them
place their faith in international law and international institutions, much
as they might wish to; and even less to let them travel, with the Europeans,
beyond power. Americans, as good children of the Enlightenment, still believe
in the perfectibility of man, and they retain hope for the perfectibility of
the world. But they remain realists in the limited sense that they still believe
in the necessity of power in a world that remains far from perfection. Such
law as there may be to regulate international behavior, they believe, exists
because a power like the United States defends it by force of arms. In other
words, just as Europeans claim, Americans can still sometimes see themselves
in heroic terms - as Gary Cooper at high noon. They will defend the townspeople,
whether the townspeople want them to or not.
The problem lies neither in American
will or capability, then, but precisely in the inherent moral tension of the
current international situation. As is so often the case in human affairs, the
real question is one of intangibles - of fears, passions, and beliefs. The problem
is that the United States must sometimes play by the rules of a Hobbesian world,
even though in doing so it violates European norms. It must refuse to abide
by certain international conventions that may constrain its ability to fight
effectively in Robert Cooper's jungle. It must support arms control, but not
always for itself. It must live by a double standard. And it must sometimes
act unilaterally, not out of a passion for unilateralism but, given a weak Europe
that has moved beyond power, because the United States has no choice but to
act unilaterally.
Few Europeans admit, as Cooper does implicitly,
that such American behavior may redound to the greater benefit of the civilized
world, that American power, even employed under a double standard, may be the
best means of advancing human progress - and perhaps the only means. Instead,
many Europeans today have come to consider the United States itself to be the
outlaw, a rogue colossus. Europeans have complained about President Bush's "unilateralism,"
but they are coming to the deeper realization that the problem is not Bush or
any American president. It is systemic. And it is incurable.
Given that the United States is unlikely
to reduce its power and that Europe is unlikely to increase more than marginally
its own power or the will to use what power it has, the future seems certain
to be one of increased transatlantic tension. The danger - if it is a danger
- is that the United States and Europe will become positively estranged. Europeans
will become more shrill in their attacks on the United States. The United States
will become less inclined to listen, or perhaps even to care. The day could
come, if it has not already, when Americans will no more heed the pronouncements
of the eu than they do the pronouncements of asean or the Andean Pact.
To those of us who came of age in the
Cold War, the strategic decoupling of Europe and the United States seems frightening.
DeGaulle, when confronted by fdr's vision of a world where Europe was irrelevant,
recoiled and suggested that this vision "risked endangering the Western
world." If Western Europe was to be considered a "secondary matter"
by the United States, would not fdr only "weaken the very cause he meant
to serve - that of civilization?" Western Europe, DeGaulle insisted, was
"essential to the West. Nothing can replace the value, the power, the shining
example of the ancient peoples." Typically, DeGaulle insisted this was
"true of France above all." But leaving aside French amour propre,
did not DeGaulle have a point? If Americans were to decide that Europe was no
more than an irritating irrelevancy, would American society gradually become
unmoored from what we now call the West? It is not a risk to be taken lightly,
on either side of the Atlantic.
So what is to be done? The obvious answer
is that Europe should follow the course that Cooper, Ash, Robertson, and others
recommend and build up its military capabilities, even if only marginally. There
is not much ground for hope that this will happen. But, then, who knows? Maybe
concern about America's overweening power really will create some energy in
Europe. Perhaps the atavistic impulses that still swirl in the hearts of Germans,
Britons, and Frenchmen - the memory of power, international influence, and national
ambition - can still be played upon. Some Britons still remember empire; some
Frenchmen still yearn for la gloire; some Germans still want their place in
the sun. These urges are now mostly channeled into the grand European project,
but they could find more traditional expression. Whether this is to be hoped
for or feared is another question. It would be better still if Europeans could
move beyond fear and anger at the rogue colossus and remember, again, the vital
necessity of having a strong America - for the world and especially for Europe.
Americans can help. It is true that
the Bush administration came into office with a chip on its shoulder. It was
hostile to the new Europe - as to a lesser extent was the Clinton administration
- seeing it not so much as an ally but as an albatross. Even after September
11, when the Europeans offered their very limited military capabilities in the
fight in Afghanistan, the United States resisted, fearing that European cooperation
was a ruse to tie America down. The Bush administration viewed nato's historic
decision to aid the United States under Article V less as a boon than as a booby
trap. An opportunity to draw Europe into common battle out in the Hobbesian
world, even in a minor role, was thereby unnecessarily lost.
Americans are powerful enough that they
need not fear Europeans, even when bearing gifts. Rather than viewing the United
States as a Gulliver tied down by Lilliputian threads, American leaders should
realize that they are hardly constrained at all, that Europe is not really capable
of constraining the United States. If the United States could move past the
anxiety engendered by this inaccurate sense of constraint, it could begin to
show more understanding for the sensibilities of others, a little generosity
of spirit. It could pay its respects to multilateralism and the rule of law
and try to build some international political capital for those moments when
multilateralism is impossible and unilateral action unavoidable. It could, in
short, take more care to show what the founders called a "decent respect
for the opinion of mankind."
These are small steps, and they will
not address the deep problems that beset the transatlantic relationship today.
But, after all, it is more than a cliché that the United States and Europe
share a set of common Western beliefs. Their aspirations for humanity are much
the same, even if their vast disparity of power has now put them in very different
places. Perhaps it is not too naïvely optimistic to believe that a little
common understanding could still go a long way.
Notes
1One representative French observer
describes "a U.S. mindset" that "tends to emphasize military,
technical and unilateral solutions to international problems, possibly at the
expense of co-operative and political ones." See Gilles Andreani, "The
Disarray of U.S. Non-Proliferation Policy," Survival (Winter 1999-2000).
2The case of Bosnia in the early 1990s
stands out as an instance where some Europeans, chiefly British Prime Minister
Tony Blair, were at times more forceful in advocating military action than first
the Bush and then the Clinton administration. (Blair was also an early advocate
of using air power and even ground troops in the Kosovo crisis.) And Europeans
had forces on the ground in Bosnia when the United States did not, although
in a un peacekeeping role that proved ineffective when challenged.
3Samuel P. Huntington, "The Lonely
Superpower," Foreign Affairs (March-April 1999).
4Steven Everts, "Unilateral America,
Lightweight Europe?: Managing Divergence in Transatlantic Foreign Policy,"
Centre for European Reform working paper (February 2001).
5For that matter, this is also the view
commonly found in American textbooks.
6Notwithstanding the British contribution
of patrols of the "no-fly zone."
7The common American argument that European
policy toward Iraq and Iran is dictated by financial considerations is only
partly right. Are Europeans greedier than Americans? Do American corporations
not influence American policy in Asia and Latin America, as well as in the Middle
East? The difference is that American strategic judgments sometimes conflict
with and override financial interests. For the reasons suggested in this essay,
that conflict is much less common for Europeans.
8Charles Grant, "A European View
of ESDP," Centre for European Policy Studies working paper (April 2001).
9John Lamberton Harper, American Visions
of Europe: Franklin D. Roosevelt, George F. Kennan, and Dean G. Acheson (Cambridge
University Press, 1996), 3. The following discussion of the differing American
perspectives on Europe owes much to Harper's fine book.
10William L. Langer and S. Everett Gleason,
The Challenge to Isolation, 1937-1940 (Harper Bros., 1952), 14.
11See Thomas L. Pangle and Peter J.
Ahrensdorf, Justice Among Nations: On the Moral Basis of Power and Peace (University
Press of Kansas, 1999), 200-201.