Michael Pettis
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}Source: Getty
Why the United States Shouldn’t Worry About the AIIB
The reaction from the United States over the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) translates into a victory for China.
Source: CNBC
Speaking on CNBC, Carnegie’s Michael Pettis asserted that it is not yet clear how the governance structure of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is going to operate. Moreover, he argued that the popular narrative contending that the AIIB represents an unprecedented move by China is simply incorrect. He concluded by maintaining that the renminbi would become—at best—a minor reserve currency.
About the Author
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Carnegie China
Michael Pettis is a nonresident senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. An expert on China’s economy, Pettis is professor of finance at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets.
- Who Paid for China’s Last Debt Cleanup, and Who Will Pay for the Next?Commentary
- Is China’s High-Quality Investment Output Economically Viable?Commentary
Michael Pettis
Recent Work
More Work from Carnegie India
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After the chill in ties between 2020 and 2024 that brought India–China relations to their lowest point in several decades, the two countries have engaged each other afresh. This paper argues that there are predominantly four imperatives guiding India’s approach to China, and they exist in an order of priority.
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Vrinda Sahai
- India’s Press Note 3 Gamble: Opening the FDI Door to ChinaArticle
On March 10, 2026, India’s Union Cabinet approved amendments to Press Note 3, a regulation that mandated government approval on all foreign direct investment (FDI) from countries sharing a land border with India. This amendment raises questions primarily about whether its stated benefits will materialize and if the risks have been adequately weighed. This piece will address the same.
Konark Bhandari
- The Impact of U.S. Sanctions and Tariffs on India’s Russian Oil ImportsCommentary
This piece examines India’s response to U.S. sanctions and tariffs, specifically assessing the immediate market consequences, such as alterations in import costs, and the broader strategic implications for India’s energy security and foreign policy orientation.
Vrinda Sahai
- India-China Economic Ties: Determinants and PossibilitiesPaper
This paper examines the evolution of India-China economic ties from 2005 to 2025. It explores the impact of global events, bilateral political ties, and domestic policies on distinct spheres of the economic relationship.
Santosh Pai